Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...


Typhoon Tip
 Share

Recommended Posts

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

I've seen biggies leave at this stage before, that said, NAM likely will not happen. That seems classic, only to correct a bit at 00z.

This is also why tracking these threats for 2 weeks is ultimately a losing game.

Its totally conceivable at this lead that models bail on the threat, and it’s really not even bad model performance 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

This is also why tracking these threats for 2 weeks is ultimately a losing game.

Its totally conceivable at this lead that models bail on the threat, and it’s really not even bad model performance 

This is why I said wait until this aftn. And of course, now the waters got muddy.

  • Sad 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

17 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

I think this is Wiz's first winter melt.  Welcome to the club.

Not just them.  A whole bunch of people will.  Lots of 'boy who cried wolf' scenarios.

I really won't be surprised this is a whiff. Between piss poor models and days of hyping and the general crappy snow tenor of this winter so far, I just kinda laugh at this point. Just bring the cutter and 50F and pull the damn band aid off already. The cold has been nice and I'll give Jan an A- in that dept.

  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I've seen biggies leave at this stage before, that said, NAM likely will not happen. That seems classic, only to correct a bit at 00z.

Ya, even if this whiffed for most, it certainly would not be an unprecedented fail.  It happens when you start tracking hypothetical storm scenarios a week in advance. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said:

the RGEM actually looks improved with both the southern and northern vorts, as it progresses the S piece faster and it has the N piece more meridionally oriented. would lead to a cleaner phase

didn't translate to the surface, but that's not very important

1597835629_ezgif.com-gif-maker(1).thumb.gif.dc54a8372443029f3a69a398990ea895.gif

I will be in a plane Saturday and let you know how it is working out at 5K. :)

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

Wait wait wait Waaaait.  

 

You guys have been hyping this up to be like the grand puba's of 2005, 2013, 2015.... and I NEED TO GET HOME.....

 

And I'm projected to be 9"-16"????  With confidence Getting Lower by the run?  Baaahahaha.  OK.  I'll be in LA.  

Your neck must hurt from the whiplash 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

One of the biggest problems is the fact that NAM/ICON are early especially when NAM is on clown range.  People react (including me).   A world about long tracking-I enjoy it immensely storm or no storm.  If your emotions can’t handle the possibility of losing it you may want to stay out of it.

  • Like 6
Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

Wait wait wait Waaaait.  

 

You guys have been hyping this up to be like the grand puba's of 2005, 2013, 2015.... and I NEED TO GET HOME.....

 

And I'm projected to be 9"-16"????  With confidence Getting Lower by the run?  Baaahahaha.  OK.  I'll be in LA.  

Thanks for locking in a KU for us by staying in LA :lol:

  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...