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Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...


Typhoon Tip
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Too be fair...there is actually value in naming winter storms but IMO that should come from NOAA. I'm not opposed to TWC doing it, but the issue is you get many different outlets which do it (such as local news) and the same storm can have different names. 

but it terms of communication purposes (if you're forecasting for multiple geographic areas or have a large client-base if you're in the private sector) it actually provides tremendous value, especially if it's a storm that will impact a large geographic area or multiple regions (cross country storm, for example). 

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Winter storms are too frequent here to name them...and if you aren't following TWC all the time, you'd have no idea anyway, but most people do remember the date (or close to the date) that something happened. They aren't required to watch TWC to remember it either.

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WPC:

"...Close to the immediate Atlantic coastline, strong winds combined with high astronomical tides may lead to coastal flooding. Please continue to monitor for future updates as this system develops..."

This is an under the present scope of awareness, major problem. 

It's one thing to hat astronomical tide ... but coupling that with surface pressure depths approaching historic proportions, and the real possibility of a brief retro toward the coast near max... this could be headline material -

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2 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

Despite all the kvetching we have enough time to pull off a good winter.

I don't get the poo-poo-ing. Guess you need a dog in the fight to critique. The more it changes accuracy wise, (as the models turn) the more it's the same. Accept no control and you have control. Will never be an exact science; acceptance is the key.  
Contemplating a "road-trip" if only my health where better!

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2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

WPC:

"...Close to the immediate Atlantic coastline, strong winds combined with high astronomical tides may lead to coastal flooding. Please continue to monitor for future updates as this system develops..."

This is an under the present scope of awareness, major problem. 

It's one thing to hat astronomical tide ... but coupling that with surface pressure depths approaching historic proportions, and the real possibility of a brief retro toward the coast near max... this could be headline material -

It would have to be Saturday morning peak because evening tides more manageable. 

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Just now, dryslot said:

Dates or names i won't remember what happened on either lol

:poster_stupid:

 

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Winter storms are too frequent here to name them...and if you aren't following TWC all the time, you'd have no idea anyway, but most people do remember the date (or close to the date) that something happened. They aren't required to watch TWC to remember it either.

Nope, see above

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2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Winter storms are too frequent here to name them...and if you aren't following TWC all the time, you'd have no idea anyway, but most people do remember the date (or close to the date) that something happened. They aren't required to watch TWC to remember it either.

Don't need to name every storm but that could be left for bigger events. At least TWC does have a criteria for doing so. 

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I would just like to point out the comical line for 0" to 12" of snow for .01 degrees increase of latitude on the GFS :lol:

EDIT - According to my math, and google, 1 degree of latitude is equal to 69 miles, so .01 would be approximately 2/3 of a mile between 0" and 12" of snow, verbatim, from this clown map LOL!!!

 

Screen Shot 2022-01-24 at 3.12.44 PM.png

Screen Shot 2022-01-24 at 3.13.46 PM.png

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9 minutes ago, SJonesWX said:

i had to google Juno to find out the date. the naming of storms is just plain dumb.

I have to say the names are easier to remember than dates for us average joes. I can tell you I got 36”from Nemo but couldn’t tell you even what yesr it was unless I googled it lol

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6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Winter storms are too frequent here to name them...and if you aren't following TWC all the time, you'd have no idea anyway, but most people do remember the date (or close to the date) that something happened. They aren't required to watch TWC to remember it either.

most people? no, only cyborgs like you remember the dates of every damn storm.

whenver anyone here throws out a date, i have to look it up on my spreadsheet to see what i got.

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1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

It would have to be Saturday morning peak because aftn tides more manageable. 

I had checked tides for here a couple days ago as i was going to go smelt fishing this coming saturday, That has been rescheduled,  Looks like they will be a problem for Portland's high tides.

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18 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Ah, what the hell...let's porn it:

 

image.png.c7db01b8ce8eeb3c2868abd92412d532.png

Holy shit, is that the Canadian? Canadian and Euro both have 2ft+ over the area. Low deepens to the 970s on the Canadian and the 950s on the Euro, with blizzard conditions! I think it’s safe to say there will be a monster blizzard somewhere with how far west the models have moved over the last couple of days.

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8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

WPC:

"...Close to the immediate Atlantic coastline, strong winds combined with high astronomical tides may lead to coastal flooding. Please continue to monitor for future updates as this system develops..."

This is an under the present scope of awareness, major problem. 

It's one thing to hat astronomical tide ... but coupling that with surface pressure depths approaching historic proportions, and the real possibility of a brief retro toward the coast near max... this could be headline material -

When a new moon and a big dog coincide… the ante’s upped for something historical…

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9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It would have to be Saturday morning peak because evening tides more manageable. 

If this storm is in the process of hooking back toward the Cape during that time, it could be an epic tide.....major coastal flooding.

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  • Typhoon Tip changed the title to Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...
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