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Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...


Typhoon Tip
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1 hour ago, moneypitmike said:

now we're talking.

gfs-ememb_lowlocs_us_23.png

gfs-ememb_lowlocs_us_24.png

The "uncertainty spread" is to the west of the mean.  So for the WOTR-ites, let's have Euro strength with GFS track....while avoiding a Boxing Day repeat.  Even if the track is further east, I think we could be OK WOTR.  Canadian depicts a nice weenie band well left of center.

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2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

We mentioned that yesterday. But ironically your longitude may help. There isn’t anything stopping this from coming due north if this does try to phase.  We have many runs left to iron it out.

No doubt

5 days out is eternity

No one should have pants tent yet

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2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

We mentioned that yesterday. But ironically your longitude may help. There isn’t anything stopping this from coming due north if this does try to phase.  We have many runs left to iron it out.

White Snake winter. Fully expect this to run up Hudson by the time we’re to Wednesday runs. 

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1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

We mentioned that yesterday. But ironically your longitude may help. There isn’t anything stopping this from coming due north if this does try to phase.  We have many runs left to iron it out.

That's why i wasn't worried about this one slipping away up here, And same, Longitude is going to help in this.

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10 minutes ago, Heisy said:

@psuhoffmanmentioned it last night. Storm analog could be Feb3-4 1995. PNA driven storm. Storm that probably started my love of snow. Woke up as a scared 9 year old to thundersnow at around 5 or 6 am in Philly. Snow map looks very similar to 6z gfs output 

500mb-18Z-04Feb95.gif

NJSnow-04Feb95.png

I have a hard time believing those are complete totals sometime. That donut around Hartford seems sus.

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4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

We mentioned that yesterday. But ironically your longitude may help. There isn’t anything stopping this from coming due north if this does try to phase.  We have many runs left to iron it out.

Is this gonna be like that Feb 2010 storm that shafted eastern SNE while areas west got slammed.

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  • Typhoon Tip changed the title to Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...
  • dendrite unpinned this topic

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