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Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...


Typhoon Tip
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13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Canadian shows you what happens when the srn end of that s/w doesn't split off.

It also shows how quickly this can amp north. I honestly don’t hate where the guidance is right now.  If that GGEM solution happens a shade west, it will send the storm up logan11’s Fanny. 

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6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

It also shows how quickly this can amp north. I honestly don’t hate where the guidance is right now.  If that GGEM solution happens a shade west, it will send the storm up logan11’s Fanny. 

Yeah exactly. :lol:   I’m with you, perfectly fine with what is shown.

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11 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

GEFS is generally a lot more favorable. better amplification of the PNA ridge allows for the downstream trough axis to shift W and dig 

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Yeah... ( personally ) not really motivated one way or the other on this ... exactly where I am at thread start - plenty of room for this thing to tact along with the western members - which by the way folks, that spread contains all the intensity ( for the most part...). That's telling in the sense that intensity of the S/W feed is very important in this thing.  Brian makes a wonderful point about that...    And not attempting to take from his insight, but I mentioned that a couple pages ago ..the overnight runs seem to be waffling on that handling over the continent once it is delivered off the Pac in ...96 hours ( like uhhh, that too -)

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Just now, weathafella said:

That’s huge improvement in uncle from 0z

The larger scale trough positions have improved since 00z. We’re still working out the nuances with the two pieces of energy but I like where the larger features are at the moment. We’ve had some huge New England specials with the ridge axis over Dakotas/Wyoming/Colorado. Feb 2013 Mar 2001, and Feb 1978 come to mind off the top of my head but I’m sure there are others. 

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4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

The larger scale trough positions have improved since 00z. We’re still working out the nuances with the two pieces of energy but I like where the larger features are at the moment. We’ve had some huge New England specials with the ridge axis over Dakotas/Wyoming/Colorado. Feb 2013 Mar 2001, and Feb 1978 come to mind off the top of my head but I’m sure there are others. 

Massively underrated post, folks  ^^

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  • Typhoon Tip changed the title to Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...
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