stormtracker Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 While the EUro is more progressive with the front, it's still to our west as precip begins to surge north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 30 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: We've wasted a few great ones since but that was the last classic hit. Last year had some great blocking. Upper air looked great plenty but when you opened up the 850 temp panels... ooof.... what a disaster. Lol Last year was very frustrating in that regard. It started in November, which was a ++++++AO nightmare which torched our source regions. That broke down but was instantly replaced with weeks-long Pac puke in December. By January even with great blocking there was no cold to be had in the entire hemisphere. By mid February that finally changed, but by then our blocking went "poof" and the cold dumped into the southern plains leading to historic events there. C'est la vie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 It's now a race between the slug of moisture and the front to our west on the Euro...but I can say that the Euro is in a MUCH better position than the GFS. GFS has cold front back in Indiana. Euro has it sinking a little past Pittsburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Front inching further south and east, now drapped southwest to northeast in Garret county. GFS has it in central OH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 144 more UKMET like. 0 line cross DC while moisture is on top of us 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 It's a modest hit at 144 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 4" line literally on DC nw border at 150 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Maybe on more panel of light snow to go...waiting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 4" line literally on DC nw border at 150Dman that came out of nowhere lol..i was Looking at the 6th 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Ok, didn't increase much, snow clears the area. Looks like 4-6? NW, and 2-4 DC S and E 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: It's a modest hit at 144 This is a pretty good setup for a "lower stress" event. Seems a bit quick but the trend to press down heights in the east started 2 days ago. Getting interesting now and it seemed like a big longshot just a day or 2 ago 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Folks, I could be a shade off on totals. I mean not by a lot tho. These snow maps are terrible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Summary is, Euro is much more in line with UKMET 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 This is a pretty good setup for a "lower stress" event. Seems a bit quick but the trend to press down heights in the east started 2 days ago. Getting interesting now and it seemed like a big longshot just a day or 2 ago The perfect event is one that shows up 3 days out. 5 days out works. I just like seeing the UKIE actually be a good sign that the EURO will improve for once. I want a return to model normalcy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Ok, didn't increase much, snow clears the area. Looks like 4-6? NW, and 2-4 DC S and E I’m in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: Folks, I could be a shade off on totals. I mean not by a lot tho. These snow maps are terrible. As much as I had first attempt sledding down the neighborhood road this morning, any 1-2” event is just as welcomed as a warning + level one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 That gradient tho… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Ok, onward. 168. Euro and GFS vastly different. Euro has s/w coming from Molson land...also has a vort in front of it over OK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Well this has shown some interesting developments in the past couple of days. I'm getting slightly more than mildly interested...hmmm. @Bob Chill and @stormtracker, is this the same system that last week was an all-out cutter, pretty much? I seem to recall that, and then it started getting pushed more south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 WxBell maps say it’s some snow + ice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 GFS has the OK vort, but nothing coming down from Canada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Ji and Cape were shot callers early this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: WxBell maps say it’s some snow + ice. oof..that zr tho 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 oof..that zr thoIt’s a lot of rain first but temps fall into the upper twenties in the metros (colder north, significantly) so I’d guess it accretes anyways, least on trees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: The perfect event is one that shows up 3 days out. 5 days out works. I just like seeing the UKIE actually be a good sign that the EURO will improve for once. I want a return to model normalcy. It's the type of event that I like. Mostly an overunnner and not developing synoptics that gets us. Models can hone in on these further out than anything like this weekend. The more a front aligns W-E, the better our chances. We have some good history here with this type of event. My main concern is It's pretty abrupt after the warmup and it's the first cold air to hit. No models showed this 3 days ago. It was universally amplified and warm for this event. Not anymore and it's not far away. Interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: oof..that zr tho Yeah I was looking at that. Talk about a glacier! There was a run or maybe 2 of the GFS that hinted at an icing event with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Ok, didn't increase much, snow clears the area. Looks like 4-6? NW, and 2-4 DC S and E Pivotal doesn’t align with this. But too far out for specifics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Ok, Northern Vort, still swinging down, but not quite sure if it's digging or just swinging east, southeast. Sourthern Vort over AR. SFC unimpressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just now, snowfan said: Pivotal doesn’t align with this. But too far out for specifics. Ok..like I said a few posts up, I could be off...snowmaps are terrible at SV, so... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: oof..that zr tho Considering this entire evolution was an amped warm sector with little chance at the cold beating precip, recent developments are attention grabbing. I haven't seen a set of runs in the last 6 that didnt lower heights in the east leading in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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