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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion


WinterWxLuvr
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7 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Oh wow seriously? All 2'+ of that wasn't a bomb but a boatload of moisture like that? Amazing!

Pretty much.  I mean there was a wave/low that formed but it wasn't some bomb with a ton of wind.  It really was a boatload of moisture and strong uplift over a very cold airmass.  Many areas actually went to sleet for some time, after over a foot or more already fell.  I remember the snow came in like a wall predawn on Sunday (Feb. 16), and by early-mid Sunday morning there were already like 6" on the ground where I was at.

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On the 12z gfs, the setup is obvious by 174. Looked like a solid winter storm on the way for the east. Big precip field as expected. So far this year, I haven't been close to as interested as I am now. Gfs may or may not have the right shortwave to grow but it doesn't matter. Give us that upper level setup, let it spin and wobble for 10-14 days, and the odds of a region wide warning event with cold temps is as good as it gets without classic blocking. 

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29 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Really tempted to name it the LeakingGut Storm.   First, because it's my favorite member screenname, but more important, it could be a description of what we all will be doing after the tracking and fail.  

DO IT!  I wont shit the bed.

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