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Thursday 1/20/22 Stat Padder Discussion and Observations


stormtracker
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2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Boy, the Nam has been leading the way on this as to having it first (earlier this week)  but its really minimalizing it up this way now. 

Alot of the guidance is focusing the best precip just to the east of us.

I'd feel better about this one if I was from Carroll County east.

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      I'm always a big fan of the NAM Nest for this type of event, but it's worth noting that it's a bit later with the changeover than other CAMs, and it's also less aggressive with the temperature crash during and just after the event.     Actually, the HiRes Window FV3 is also a bit slower with the change to snow and is a bit closer to the NAM Nest temperatures (although it still drops lower as the event gets cranking).      I'm going to watch these details in later CAM runs today.

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  • WxUSAF changed the title to Thursday 1/20/22 Stat Padder Discussion and Observations
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