Mount Joy Snowman Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Low of 27 here overnight. National high and low of 91 and -36 at Miles City, FL and Grand Lake, CO, respectively, for an impressive national diurnal range of 127 degrees. Welp, things seem to have escalated overnight with respect to tomorrow's events. Who woulda thunk that on March 12 we finally get one to trend our way. Think I'm gonna have to up my amounts to 3-6" for down this way, with a slight potential to boom even beyond that. All I know is this is really throwing a wrench into my plans to drive to Hershey tomorrow morning for the state wrestling championships. Timing couldn't be worse ugh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 11, 2022 Author Share Posted March 11, 2022 King HRRR is outputting right now. Let's reverse the curse on the jackpot going to Philly. They do not deserve it after the debacle last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 While I don't think the record low of 8 from 1896 is in play for Sunday, I do think we could take down the daily snowfall record for Harrisburg tomorrow, 4.1" in 1959. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 11, 2022 Author Share Posted March 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: While I don't think the record low of 8 from 1896 is in play for Sunday, I do think we could take down the daily snowfall record for Harrisburg tomorrow, 4.1" in 1959. I do think some of our forum's more Western members have a shot to get in the 5-8 area. Not related to MDT's record but still note worthy this late in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 30 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Mesos -Nams , Rgem, Hrdps lookin solid for our general area . Electrical work dipping into my model time as usaul LOL. Nice to see us getting one while the last legit window is still open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I do think some of our forum's more Western members have a shot to get in the 5-8 area. Not related to MDT's record but still note worthy this late in the season. Oh yeah no doubt. This is really turning into quite the potent interaction between the two pieces of energy. Throwing heavy snow back into northern Alabama and all through central Tennessee overnight tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 11, 2022 Author Share Posted March 11, 2022 Snow spreads into the LSV at the last 11z=6AM of the season. (HRRR) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Blizz, while we all may enjoy the event, this storm is for you. You did a great job of keeping hope alive. Now that this one is getting close and can see the runway lights...I'm hoping it doesnt crash while landing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 11, 2022 Author Share Posted March 11, 2022 Heavy snow spreading up into the LSV out of VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 11, 2022 Author Share Posted March 11, 2022 The HRRR is doubling down on this being an Eastern PA jackpot. Including parts of the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 11, 2022 Author Share Posted March 11, 2022 Winding down for most of this forum at this point. Still snowing a bit far east. 3PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The HRRR is doubling down on this being an Eastern PA jackpot. Including parts of the LSV. Yep 6-8" for all of York and Lancaster. 8am to noon tomorrow could be downright treacherous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 8 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The HRRR is doubling down on this being an Eastern PA jackpot. Including parts of the LSV. I'm in I like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChesterfieldVa80 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 7 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Kuchera Hrrr'd Is there still any upslope in the Alleghany front after this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChesterfieldVa80 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Just now, losetoa6 said: I'm sure after CF passage Sat afternoon and overnight. I was just asking if there was more fluff after 01z to add to the map you posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Spring is officially here. I just seen the phoebe he's starting to make a nest at my barn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 41 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The HRRR is doubling down on this being an Eastern PA jackpot. Including parts of the LSV. I had a feeling back on Monday that this could be the real deal. I'm going all in now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 11, 2022 Author Share Posted March 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I had a feeling back on Monday that this could be the real deal. I'm going all in now. The Canderson Blizzard of 2022. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: The Canderson Blizzard of 2022. Why? Because the Candy Man can! LOL Elliott at MU now calling for heavy snow tomorrow... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 The NAM has the Philly Jackpot special 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 11, 2022 Author Share Posted March 11, 2022 5 minutes ago, paweather said: The NAM has the Philly Jackpot special That seems to be the trend. Starting to fall out of favor over my way (for jackpot) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: That seems to be the trend. Starting to fall out of favor over my way. But still good snow for you and me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 11, 2022 Author Share Posted March 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, paweather said: But still good snow for you and me. No doubt, just watching the trends. Yesterday PSU/State College was going to get a foot and a half on the Nam and Philly basically nothing. Most of the places that have WSW's do not get WSW snows on the Nam...the places that do not have the Watch, get them. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 HGood Luck tomorrow to everyone!! Wind is a little concerning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: No doubt, just watching the trends. Yesterday PSU/State College was going to get a foot and a half on the Nam and Philly basically nothing. Most of the places that have WSW's do not get WSW snows on the Nam...the places that do not have the Watch, get them. Yep, once again the storm is generally falling apart for Central PA in terms of anything really significant. Probably a moderate event for most. For me it is definitely colder and could be a surprise couple of inches, but in general the storm seems lamer/strung out instead so it doesn’t really nail anyone. Oh well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: No doubt, just watching the trends. Yesterday PSU/State College was going to get a foot and a half on the Nam and Philly basically nothing. Most of the places that have WSW's do not get WSW snows on the Nam...the places that do not have the Watch, get them. Yep agreed it is amazing the trend went east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 The FV3 (which I believe the NWS puts a good bit of stock in?) loves our area too. Squall game will be strong Saturday afternoon across the NW as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Not liking what the HRRR is depicting. Once again targeting I-95. I hate when that happens. I'd much rather miss big snow to the northwest to the southeast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 34 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: No doubt, just watching the trends. Yesterday PSU/State College was going to get a foot and a half on the Nam and Philly basically nothing. Most of the places that have WSW's do not get WSW snows on the Nam...the places that do not have the Watch, get them. Yeah this storm is weird lol, gonna cause a lot of egg on faces. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 I just had to bun a lot of you weenies. All of a sudden we're poo-pooing 3-6"?? That's warning criteria down here...and it's almost mid-March! CTP mentions in the a.m. write up that those to the west missing the heavy QPF are going to get good ratios, so can we temper the bridge jumping? Now if all the 12Z runs shift east...I'll be right there with you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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