Bubbler86 Posted February 20, 2022 Author Share Posted February 20, 2022 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: I'm honestly afraid to say this here...I said to my wife when we got back to our car - I kind of wish winter was over. It felt really good out there on the trail. I would agree if no snow but appears we have some shots at snow upcoming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Streak Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 7 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Spectacular Sunday! Sunday and 41. Just back from a glorious walk along the river. “Glorious” is a perfect description Only 37 here but sunny and not much wind; when the wind is still it feels much warmer. I did/do have spring fever, but I don’t mind another couple months of winter as long as we have plenty of days like this scattered throughout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I would agree if no snow but appears we have some shots at snow upcoming. We need at least one warning event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Streak Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 25 minutes ago, canderson said: My guess is we getting most rain and maybe a little sleet. Another stork wheee warm arm rushes in quicker than precip - the tend all season. Kickin’ back with some Troegs? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 5 minutes ago, paweather said: We need at least one warning event We had a Warning event in early January when MDT got over 5 inches of snow. CTP upgraded us to a Warning in the middle of the event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 18 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 7AM on March 1. This I can MOST CERTAINLY do without. No need for it to be that cold going into March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 35 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Euro is still mostly a nothing burger for the LSV. A very slight improvement from 0Z if looking for LSV ice. Mostly rain or light/borderline too warm frz. Concentrates the ice storm in Northern PA. The 12z Euro has a significant ice event for most of us from around the PA turnpike on north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Here is the 12z Euro freezing rain for Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 25 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Euro does make up for it, as to tracking, for next weekend. Parade of storms. I won’t mind Friday if it ends up as a mostly icy mix as long as we are tracking a Moderate snowstorm for next Sunday as the 12z Euro shows for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Here are some more photos of the 12z Euro for the next Sunday snow chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Here are some more photos of the 12z Euro for the next Sunday snow chance. The snow map is only for the next Sunday snow chance on the 12z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: We had a Warning event in early January when MDT got over 5 inches of snow. CTP upgraded us to a Warning in the middle of the event. OK sounds good I want a true start to finish one LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 2 hours ago, MAG5035 said: I installed an Ambient WS-5000 (the model with the sonic wind sensor) back on Jan 14th and I had been wondering how it was going to do with a decent wind event. I considered mounting it at the highest point of the house on my center chimney that’s not used anymore but decided to high mount it off the shed. This pic is looking in a NW direction so I was wondering if it was going to get shielded some by the house. I have a pretty open yard but there is a tree line on one side and houses so I felt this was the best compromise for positioning the station. The highest gust it recorded prior to yesterday was Friday’s wind advisory event which was like 39mph, which I thought was reasonable because I never really had advisory type winds here for that one. Yesterday though, it registered a 42mph wind gust during the snow squall passage and then later in the afternoon a sustained 40mph/63mph gust. So while the siting for wind isn’t completely ideal, it apparently is exposed enough to record bigger gusts. That and I guess I mounted it well enough to withstand at least 63mph winds haha. That’s awesome. Whatever you’re doing is working if you’re getting results like that. Well done lad, well done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 2 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: Spectacular Sunday! Sunday and 41. Just back from a glorious walk along the river. Did you happen to see a guy in all penn state gear walking a labradoodle and an eight-month pregnant wife pushing a stroller with a baby in it? We were on the part by Chickies Rock from about 2-3pm. Looks like I’m topping out at 39 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 20, 2022 Author Share Posted February 20, 2022 2 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 12z Euro has a significant ice event for most of us from around the PA turnpike on north. As you probably saw on the map I posted, the Pivotal panels are not as enthusiastic as these maps you posted. Actually has rain North of MDT at 114. That was my issue with the situation. If its so close that it is rain on some panels and frz on another, its not going to be a big deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: As you probably saw on the map I posted, the Pivotal panels are not as enthusiastic as these maps you posted. Actually has rain North of MDT at 114. That was my issue with the situation. If its so close that it is rain on some panels and frz on another, its not going to be a big deal. This is a different situation than the last event. We have cold air in place as the precip arrives this time. Also, we are 4 days out, lots of times to see how this plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 20, 2022 Author Share Posted February 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: This is a different situation than the last event. We have cold air in place as the precip arrives this time. Also, we are 4 days out, lots of times to see how this plays out. No doubt, it just was not a good look on Pivotal Euro output. Surface temps were above 30 the entire time and rose to the mid 40's middle of the day Friday. Hoping for something more interesting than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 The 18z GFS has mostly sleet & freezing rain for the southern half of PA. This would be ugly if this played out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 4 hours ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Was there any damage around town? Going off the Beaufort scale you’re looking at uprooted trees and minor structural damage. I had around 15 trees blown over at course and I’m estimating 60 to 65 mph gust There actually weren’t too many issues damage wise, there were a couple power outages here and there but nothing in the neighborhood. I was trying to review the hard data, it data-logs on the console once a minute so it looks like the gust occurred in between minutes. It still notes the highest wind gust for the day. The highest that got logged for the data were a couple shots above 40. I’m sure there were probably more than that since the station itself reports wind back every 5 seconds. My guess is that big gust was probably a brief one off at the time of the afternoon that probably had the best mixing with diurnal heating while most other high gusts were in the 40-45 mph range. Otherwise there would have definitely been issues with frequent gusts say in the 55+ range. Still learning the station and how well it does. It seems to be pretty accurate overall. The rain gauge logged 0.90” total from the rain event Thur-Fri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 @MAG5035 What are your current thoughts for the Thursday/Friday event in CTP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 1 hour ago, MAG5035 said: There actually weren’t too many issues damage wise, there were a couple power outages here and there but nothing in the neighborhood. I was trying to review the hard data, it data-logs on the console once a minute so it looks like the gust occurred in between minutes. It still notes the highest wind gust for the day. The highest that got logged for the data were a couple shots above 40. I’m sure there were probably more than that since the station itself reports wind back every 5 seconds. My guess is that big gust was probably a brief one off at the time of the afternoon that probably had the best mixing with diurnal heating while most other high gusts were in the 40-45 mph range. Otherwise there would have definitely been issues with frequent gusts say in the 55+ range. Still learning the station and how well it does. It seems to be pretty accurate overall. The rain gauge logged 0.90” total from the rain event Thur-Fri. Like others said, wind is a hard ob to capture. I have 2 anemometers on a 10 m tower in a very open area trying to get as close as possible to ASOS data. I’ve managed to capture a 71 mph gust back on thunderstorm in 2009 which is my highest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 5th consecutive run of the GFS that moved towards the Euro. Good. I want no part of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 21, 2022 Author Share Posted February 21, 2022 Joel embid unstoppable from 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Monday looks niiiiice. Sunny and 60. This late week storm looks like a nothingburger in the LSV due to temps. Maybe some sleet/snow mix but mostly all rain - it’ll be warm and nothing will stick regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 22 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Joel embid unstoppable from 3. Steph is unstoppable from 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 21, 2022 Author Share Posted February 21, 2022 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Steph is unstoppable from 3. He is but I thought Joel hit 3 or 4 in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 30 minutes ago, canderson said: Monday looks niiiiice. Sunny and 60. This late week storm looks like a nothingburger in the LSV due to temps. Maybe some sleet/snow mix but mostly all rain - it’ll be warm and nothing will stick regardless. Every model disagrees with this… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 3 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: 5th consecutive run of the GFS that moved towards the Euro. Good. I want no part of ice. But many were saying that the GFS was the new king… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Lol some are being worse downers than even me on here…you guys are catching up!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 6 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 18z GFS has mostly sleet & freezing rain for the southern half of PA. This would be ugly if this played out. no ones gonna buy this ice storm after the failure at predicting the last one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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