Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 The next weekend storm is still there on the 12z GFS, but it goes off of the NC coast this run. Miller A look this run with a week to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Well my prediction for my low overnight came true. I broke into the negative with a -0.6 degrees, which rounds to -1.0 officially. Solid snowpack definitely helped, even though it's only 2-3". It got the sleet/zr crust on top preserving it. My dog can walk on top of it without falling through. He only weighs 14 pounds. Temp has rebounded all the way up to 19 degrees on its way to close to 25 in a few hours. So, no snowmelt today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 54 minutes ago, Voyager said: So here's the new Jeep in its new environment! It's beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 16 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: It's beautiful. Thanks! Just an FYI though, those aren't some really cool graphics on the side. It's a reflection of the snow bank across the street...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 The GEFS has the storm signal off of the east coast for next Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 2 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: 12z HRRR & NAM agree with you. Lol why is this storm so dry and dumb looking with precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 3 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Lol why is this storm so dry and dumb looking with precip It’s a Clipper….that’s what most of them are around here…better than nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 CTP has this for the Clipper tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Next weekend needs to be the KING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 hour ago, paweather said: Next weekend needs to be the KING The Euro was wide right at 12z like the other models today. Have no fear, because it has another coastal for us for February 1st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 my bday storm lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Have weird feeling tomorrow over performs for most….lol no idea why but I do. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 32 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Have weird feeling tomorrow over performs for most….lol no idea why but I do. Both NAMS get 1 to 2 inches of snow to most of CTP with the Clipper tomorrow pm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 For the first time in a coupe years the Susquehanna is completely jammed with ice from east shore to west shore between the 81 bridge and the dam. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Long range NAM for what it’s worth had the @pasnownut Tuesday pm storm chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 23 minutes ago, canderson said: For the first time in a coupe years the Susquehanna is completely jammed with ice from east shore to west shore between the 81 bridge and the dam. I'll find out on Monday if it looks the same way upstream in Herndon and Sunbury. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 hour ago, Wmsptwx said: Have weird feeling tomorrow over performs for most….lol no idea why but I do. It certainly could simply because it will be a high ratio snow, likely of the 18-20:1 variety overall and perhaps even higher ratios in the mountains where there will be some extra upslope lift on the westerly flow. Whole column from 850mb up is in the ideal temp range for snow growth. I think the Laurels counties probably could get an advisory type deal (PBZ already has them out). The big thing will be seeing how the precip makes it away from the Laurel’s and how much of a downsloping shadow gets cast towards the Sus Valley. Good chance most see a minimum coating to an inch though. This whole process looks like it may repeat itself to some degree Monday evening regardless of what the southern stream wave Tuesday does because the second clipper low running the northern branch now looks like it’s going to run ahead of it. Then later Tuesday would be the timeframe for the southern stream system to do something. GFS/Euro have become extremely disinterested in doing anything with it and instead squashing it into the Gulf of Mexico. Our newly anointed guru of the 60-84hr range the NAM brings it up enough to generate some light snow in PA on the arctic frontal boundary, which I think is what we should look for from that system as a best case scenario since we have the northern branch clipper low coming out ahead and thus not much opportunity to amplify and try to turn up. Either way though, that’s three distinct chances at snowfall for C-PA the next 3 days even if they’re lighter events. And I have pretty high confidence in the first 2 doing something. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 We have to fight the dry air too. 26 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: It certainly could simply because it will be a high ratio snow, likely of the 18-20:1 variety overall and perhaps even higher ratios in the mountains where there will be some extra upslope lift on the westerly flow. Whole column from 850mb up is in the ideal temp range for snow growth. I think the Laurels counties probably could get an advisory type deal (PBZ already has them out). The big thing will be seeing how the precip makes it away from the Laurel’s and how much of a downsloping shadow gets cast towards the Sus Valley. Good chance most see a minimum coating to an inch though. This whole process looks like it may repeat itself to some degree Monday evening regardless of what the southern stream wave Tuesday does because the second clipper low running the northern branch now looks like it’s going to run ahead of it. Then later Tuesday would be the timeframe for the southern stream system to do something. GFS/Euro have become extremely disinterested in doing anything with it and instead squashing it into the Gulf of Mexico. Our newly anointed guru of the 60-84hr range the NAM brings it up enough to generate some light snow in PA on the arctic frontal boundary, which I think is what we should look for from that system as a best case scenario since we have the northern branch clipper low coming out ahead and thus not much opportunity to amplify and try to turn up. Either way though, that’s three distinct chances at snowfall for C-PA the next 3 days even if they’re lighter events. And I have pretty high confidence in the first 2 doing something. We have to fight off the dry air too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 27 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: It certainly could simply because it will be a high ratio snow, likely of the 18-20:1 variety overall and perhaps even higher ratios in the mountains where there will be some extra upslope lift on the westerly flow. Whole column from 850mb up is in the ideal temp range for snow growth. I think the Laurels counties probably could get an advisory type deal (PBZ already has them out). The big thing will be seeing how the precip makes it away from the Laurel’s and how much of a downsloping shadow gets cast towards the Sus Valley. Good chance most see a minimum coating to an inch though. This whole process looks like it may repeat itself to some degree Monday evening regardless of what the southern stream wave Tuesday does because the second clipper low running the northern branch now looks like it’s going to run ahead of it. Then later Tuesday would be the timeframe for the southern stream system to do something. GFS/Euro have become extremely disinterested in doing anything with it and instead squashing it into the Gulf of Mexico. Our newly anointed guru of the 60-84hr range the NAM brings it up enough to generate some light snow in PA on the arctic frontal boundary, which I think is what we should look for from that system as a best case scenario since we have the northern branch clipper low coming out ahead and thus not much opportunity to amplify and try to turn up. Either way though, that’s three distinct chances at snowfall for C-PA the next 3 days even if they’re lighter events. And I have pretty high confidence in the first 2 doing something. yeah things really "went south"...lol....for my Tuesday gig. NS got a bit out ahead and instead of working with the SS vort....it screwed things up. Just get my ground white and I'll be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 18Z GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 The @Itstrainingtime storm for next weekend is alive & well on the 18z GFS! Here is the CTP close up…Lancaster county bullseye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 22, 2022 Author Share Posted January 22, 2022 9 minutes ago, anotherman said: 18Z GFS Night in Rouzerville ruined :-) (Joking) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Here are some of the maps as the low next weekend tracks up the coast. What a slow moving storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 7 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Here are some of the maps as the low next weekend tracks up the coast. What a slow moving storm! I like it Blizz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Festus Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 If modeled snow actually happened…Reality… 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 38 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The @Itstrainingtime storm for next weekend is alive & well on the 18z GFS! Here is the CTP close up…Lancaster county bullseye. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 9 minutes ago, Superstorm said: . Lol - Mechanicsburg snow hole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 51 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The @Itstrainingtime storm for next weekend is alive & well on the 18z GFS! Here is the CTP close up…Lancaster county bullseye. I’m just going to bump this all night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 55 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Night in Rouzerville ruined :-) (Joking) Paw Paw Gypped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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