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Central PA - Winter 2021/2022


Bubbler86
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1 minute ago, KPITSnow said:

Thanks for posting this. I know it sucks for you guys but I am stoked by this!

We still do fairly well....at least Harrisburg and west.  Fairly well consider some other depictions.  The HRRR does look a lot like the Nam once the low charges up into PA.  Mix well up into NY.  Lots of rain in SE PA. 

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3 minutes ago, Ruin said:

I wont be surprised if models shows this going to lake Erie 

Pretty consistent right now.  The Nam looks worse but its more about it just being warmer....the low positions are similar.  Would be a shocker for large movements at this point.  HRRR gives us several more hours of snow in the LSV.   Nam3K was about 4 hours and HRRR was about 7.  Maybe a combo of thermal differences in models and a slower progression to the new primary on the HRRR, 

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2 minutes ago, Superstorm said:


Which is more believable.


.

They are very similar but the small difference adds 2-4 extra inches for many lsv locations.  But I personally do not see a lot of differences with the models its just so close for the lsv, a small difference can be big.  I thing all the models rain a good bit east of the susky. 

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