Ruin Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: CBS 21in Harrisburg is saying 2-4 snow and the event is over by midnight Sunday night. So many different forecast solutions. yes this abc27 was saying like 930 10pm rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 30 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: One of the infamous 1994 storms laid down 6 inches of heavy sleet here . It was incredibly loud for hours and hours . it was very pretty I dunno if they have different types of sleet but it looked like snow. i was off school for 2 days cause it wouldnt melt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Does any one know whats up with this cloud cover near harrisburg? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 4 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Its brief . At least around here .Only 2 hours in the low 40s here then back to mid 30s quickly Yea, its not at all extreme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ruin said: Does any one know whats up with this cloud cover near harrisburg? It's actually clearing out here so it will be your way shortly. Thinking we have a shot at zero tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: It's actually clearing out here so it will be your way shortly. Thinking we have a shot at zero tonight. yeah its thinned out but I didnt see any cloud cover for tonight or even today. was afraid it would keep the temps up high enough to almost confirm the torch. so many times clouds come in and help the temps over night. but said storm is due tomorrow after noon so clouds maybe 10am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 minute ago, Ruin said: yeah its thinned out but I didnt see any cloud cover for tonight or even today. was afraid it would keep the temps up high enough to almost confirm the torch. so many times clouds come in and help the temps over night. but said storm is due tomorrow after noon so clouds maybe 10am It could be -20 2M temp right now but if we get an easterly fetch straight from the Atlantic, it will raise fast. Water temp is 46 in VA beach right now and 43 at Cape May. Not happy just talking what the model is showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Squall line developing in the gulf https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=us&product=ir I know sometimes weenies over emphazie this stuff, but there have been many storms that had drastically changed results due to non forecasted convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: It could be -20 2M temp right now but if we get an easterly fetch straight from the Atlantic, it will raise fast. Water temp is 46 in VA beach right now and 43 at Cape May. Not happy just talking what the model is showing. ah that kind of sucks hope they dont stuck around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 I did follow @canderson ‘s scientific advice last night and install my weather station outside lol. So currently I got a 16.3ºF temp and a 1.3ºF dewpoint. Should be interesting to see how low it goes tonight. Only got to 19ºF for a high. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 6 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I remember being glued to TWC during 1993 watching the dozens of tornadoes coming ashore. Agree about the convection robbing moisture sometimes in systems . Or a low jumping to the convection. Yep. Sometimes its just weenie hopes but it has robbed us in the past so it could stand to pay us back sometime, right? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 Just now, MAG5035 said: I did follow @canderson ‘s advice last night and install my weather station outside lol. So currently I got a 16.3ºF temp and a 1.3ºF dewpoint. Should be interesting to see how low it goes tonight. Only got to 19ºF for a high. He also advised you to put something in/on the tap (PM, right?) so which way did you go? LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 36 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: It does have that and its due to the strong SE fetch with the low over Atomix. But it is in the middle of the night. 6Z. Lol, I expect a change to ice, but not 50! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 46 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Best thing is it's in mid range ... No long range unicorn. I love shoveling while tracking another event that is in the short or medium range! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Local news now saying we go down to 8 tonight hmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 My high today was back at midnight at 24.3 degrees. My high this afternoon was 22.3 degrees. Low this morning 14.5. Temp right now 16.0, dew point +1.8 F. If we have to go through all the transitions from snow to rain, I really hope to first get at least 4" of snow, which really should be doable with a rate of 1.5"/hr for 3 hours. Follow that with as much sleet as possible (several inches), followed by 0.1" freezing rain, followed by plain rain, light, and less than 0.1" and a temp no higher than 36. That will provide incredible pack retention which should easily hang around until the next storm? next Friday (lol). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 9.7 degrees here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Got to plug the phone in so after three hours I will temporarily stopping watching the synagogue hostage situation on the tv while being on my phone and thinking about Sunday's storm. It has been a strange day so far for sure. Seeing that tremendous cloud over Tonga from the nearby undersea volcano erupting was a strange surprise last night, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Euro holding steady 10 to 1 below 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 The 18z Euro held serve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 18z Euro 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Warmest panel on Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 23 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Euro holding steady 10 to 1 below Something is going to bust....Nam/GFS/Rgem -OR- HRRR/Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 11 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Warmest panel on Euro Happening at night preserves the pack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 15 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Something is going to bust....Nam/GFS/Rgem -OR- HRRR/Euro I can’t trust the euro for temps. It’s been pretty bad with them for more than a year and it’s notorious for not being great with thermal temps. iBut I hope it scores a coup! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Euro has a 982 mb low sitting just a few miles north of Hagerstown and my column supports snow here on the m/d line People camping at Caledonia in the eye. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, canderson said: I can’t trust the euro for temps. It’s been pretty bad with them for more than a year and it’s notorious for not being great with thermal temps. iBut I hope it scores a coup! Well it is not just temps. Check out this 36 hour map from the 12Z Euro. Inland Low still at or below the "coastal". Less easterly push, longer snow. If you look closely you can see a 998 down and to the right of the 996. That is the coastal. Still looks like a dual low to me. Of course this has HUGE chance for failure to the good or bad. a dual low to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 Come on HRRR. Crank that 850 over KY/WV up. Daddy needs a new snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, losetoa6 said: Sometimes Hrrrrrrrrr sniffs a trend And the "HRRR cannot be used outside of XXX hours" gang is running out of time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 13/0 at 8PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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