Itstrainingtime Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 PSUHoffman making a couple of very good points on why he's concerned that this next system will NOT come north - he's not saying it won't, but a couple of things that are happening now on models are giving him pause: 1) The SW is trending faster and thus less spacing out in front 2) The NS system over New England is trending stronger and south, which is flattening the flow and not allowing for ridging Just something to keep in mind - it is totally possible that we lose out to the DC crew once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: PSUHoffman making a couple of very good points on why he's concerned that this next system will NOT come north - he's not saying it won't, but a couple of things that are happening now on models are giving him pause: 1) The SW is trending faster and thus less spacing out in front 2) The NS system over New England is trending stronger and south, which is flattening the flow and not allowing for ridging Just something to keep in mind - it is totally possible that we lose out to the DC crew once again. Plus we have 8 months of storms not coming north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 4, 2022 Author Share Posted January 4, 2022 5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: PSUHoffman making a couple of very good points on why he's concerned that this next system will NOT come north - he's not saying it won't, but a couple of things that are happening now on models are giving him pause: 1) The SW is trending faster and thus less spacing out in front 2) The NS system over New England is trending stronger and south, which is flattening the flow and not allowing for ridging Just something to keep in mind - it is totally possible that we lose out to the DC crew once again. Kind of like the Caps beating the Fly Boys? Bob Chill was high on someone getting the Miller B middle finger this AM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 4, 2022 Author Share Posted January 4, 2022 UK North but still not overly moist....keep in mind the ratios will be higher with this setup and this is just a 10:1 map. And this precip pattern is some type of Miller Hybrid or B. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 1 hour ago, pawatch said: I actually got a stoker coal stove which burns rice coal. A lot less work. Stoker coal stove brings back a bad memory for me. Am sure what I experienced was due to an old unit probably improperly maintained. But I was living in an old house with a bunch of young hippies in Steamboat and woke up during the night with the house full of smoke from the coal furnace. The fire had somehow jumped to the stoker belt. Will never forget that smell. Probably lucky I woke up. Damn I miss that Steamboat winter and the snow! This was before Steamboat became a big-time resort and they didn’t plow the streets to the pavement. Remember a big horse drawn sleigh pulled a Christmas tree through town. Still pretty much a cow town with a ski jump back then. The resort was just being constructed and I was working in construction. Those were the days! Enough reminiscing. Sorry to go OT. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 4, 2022 Author Share Posted January 4, 2022 @Cashtown_Coop 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: @Cashtown_Coop Excuses Excuses. I just want to see my maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 4, 2022 Author Share Posted January 4, 2022 1 minute ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Excuses Excuses. I just want to see my maps. You are sounding like a tried and true 'Murican. In 'Murica we get what we want. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Welp were into a battle and very much be DOA to the DC crew Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 4, 2022 Author Share Posted January 4, 2022 10 minutes ago, paweather said: Welp were into a battle and very much be DOA to the DC crew Though 24 the Euro is very similar to 0Z. Boundary might be a smidge south. Lead wave in the same place. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Though 24 the Euro is very similar to 0Z. Boundary might be a smidge south. Lead wave in the same place. Looks weak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Not a winning EC run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Punt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 4, 2022 Author Share Posted January 4, 2022 Just now, paweather said: Not a winning EC run DT special. Low is farther South when it transfer off shore. Basically a non event here. Do not think it ever goes neutral much less negative (prior to transfer.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 4, 2022 Author Share Posted January 4, 2022 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: We would need Kuch to see much. 10-1 would be bad. Under 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 1 minute ago, Cashtown_Coop said: It's more than we got yesterday, so there's that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Going to need a change in the pattern to keep the rich from becoming richer. I haven't cared to inquire about anything past this weekend, but I imagine it gets warm again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: We would need Kuch to see much. 10-1 would be bad. Under 2" Yeah. Falling at night prob maximizes ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 4, 2022 Author Share Posted January 4, 2022 4 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: Going to need a change in the pattern to keep the rich from becoming richer. I haven't cared to inquire about anything past this weekend, but I imagine it gets warm again. MA does not like this run. They get the Miller Middle Finger. Ice storm on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 0.2” falling at night still 2-3” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Euro is kind of meh. Taking the entire suite of guidance into consideration, I'm kind of leaning towards a scenario similar to yesterday with the heaviest totals just to our south, albeit not quite as extreme on the high end. The one crucial difference for us this time is that the column looks fairly saturated, so I don't think we'll have any of the dry air issues that plagued us last time. So in that sense, I do think most of the forum will see at least a couple inches. I'd call that a win, to say nothing of some northward nudging that could yet take place. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 A decent CAD signature consistently showing up for Sunday morning as well, should lead to some icing possibilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Lol woooo I’ll take my .3 and be happy about it!!! We don’t live in the snow belts of DC/VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 In all honesty this is a weaksauce not interesting storm in any way. It’s like getting a light rainstorm when it’s cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 I’d be okay with 2-3” of snow from this. Providing it’s all snow. Call me crazy, but I only count certain types of snow events as actual winter storms/events. It has to be 2” or more and can’t end as sleet, ice, or rain. If it doesn’t match that criteria, it never happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 It is getting cold again on the EURO but no precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 4, 2022 Author Share Posted January 4, 2022 3 minutes ago, kerplunk said: I’d be okay with 2-3” of snow from this. Providing it’s all snow. Call me crazy, but I only count certain types of snow events as actual winter storms/events. It has to be 2” or more and can’t end as sleet, ice, or rain. If it doesn’t match that criteria, it never happened. Understandable. For me I am thinking if less than 3", Kuch or 10:1, its not much of an event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 4 minutes ago, kerplunk said: I’d be okay with 2-3” of snow from this. Providing it’s all snow. Call me crazy, but I only count certain types of snow events as actual winter storms/events. It has to be 2” or more and can’t end as sleet, ice, or rain. If it doesn’t match that criteria, it never happened. I sort of agree with this, but there are exceptions... ...like March 1993 when I had 17" of snow and 6" of sleet. THAT was something that definitely happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Streak Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 8 hours ago, Festus said: From the semi but not totally useless department, today is the latest sunrise around these parts. And to really wow your friends, today is also coincidentally Earth's closest orbital distance to the sun. I love this kind of info. Thanks for sharing it. Someone (was it you?) also recently linked to an article explaining why the earliest sunset occurs a week or two *before* the winter solstice. I think that same article also mentioned that the latest sunrise was a week or two after the solstice. Good stuff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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