Snowcrazed71 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 hour ago, JC-CT said: when do we start getting excited at roof damage prospects You must not be a home owner. Trust me.. You would feel completely different 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just got a Winter Storm Watch: https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=VTZ005&warncounty=VTC007&firewxzone=VTZ005&local_place1=Burlington VT&product1=Winter+Storm+Watch&lat=44.4836&lon=-73.2114#.YeHdJP7MJPY For the Winter Storm Watch, heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches possible across northern New York and portions of south-central Vermont, while 5 to 8 inches across the Champlain Valley and northern Vermont. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 Since we're taking the entire shaft on this thing... do we have to have the wind chill advisory/warning and high temp of 10 tomorrow, too ? This whole thing - echoing Will's sentiment from earlier ... - really is setting the table the best that can possible be signed, just maximize the scale and degree of a failing climate. Maybe this is one of those little oddities that is easy to dismiss as flukey, but is in fact a tendency in present climate/moving forward. 40, 10, 40-rain, spanning 36 hours. amazing really .. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 18z NAM coming in toasty. Guess I should drop the idea of thinking we could see a colder solution. This is going to blow here. Time to start thinking about May. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Nam coming in a bit E and colder, at least on the margins. No big changes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 The NAM is a hideous beast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: 18z NAM coming in toasty. Guess I should drop the idea of thinking we could see a colder solution. This is going to blow here. Time to start thinking about May. 1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said: Nam coming in a bit E and colder, at least on the margins. No big changes. Umm ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, PhineasC said: The NAM is a hideous beast. Isn't that a song lyric from Cats? "The rum pum tiger is a hideous beast" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Since we're taking the entire shaft on this thing... do we have to have the wind chill advisory/warning and high temp of 10 tomorrow, too ? This whole thing - echoing Will's sentiment from earlier ... - really is setting the table the best that can possible be signed, just maximize the scale and degree of a failing climate. Maybe this is one of those little oddities that is easy to dismiss as flukey, but is in fact a tendency in present climate/moving forward. 40, 10, 40-rain, spanning 36 hours. amazing really .. It’s possible many areas hit 60 if warm models are correct. And then you bring all that wind down to the surface even interior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Nam is hot garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: Isn't that a song lyric from Cats? "The rum pum tiger is a hideous beast" I'd rather watch that terrible Cats movie they made then have to see this NAM run again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: Umm ? NAM def colder than 12z....but 12z was an epic torch....18z is just merely a torch. Still warmer than the global guidance despite being colder than its own 12z run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, dryslot said: Nam is hot garbage. Messy as hell and I don't like the mix all around me. If PF is ZR I am not going to be doing much better, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 fugly, but aren't these the classic NW NAM runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: It’s possible many areas hit 60 if warm models are correct. And then you bring all that wind down to the surface even interior Heh.... maybe - nah, I think folks should count on triple point scooting out SE Mass, with this going over to 34 F rain after 2-6" of snow, less SE, more NW... but since N of said feature, the wind don't mix down. Basically, low redemption event. Any snow at all is probably saving it, otherwise, Phin's right - 'hideous' proportion is probably most apropos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spaizzo Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Umm ? Being a usual lurker this whole thread has been like back and forth like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Umm ? didn't mean to imply that it was any warmer or colder than the 12z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 Here's the 18z NAM's 24 hr 2-M temp layout... just so this makes more sense as a rain maker 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Winter storm watch for D.C Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Here's the 18z NAM's 24 hr 2-M temp layout... just so this makes more sense as a rain maker Nothing makes sense anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Its like they drew that 4-6" line right over my head, Its right though. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Heh.... maybe - nah, I think folks should count on triple point scooting out SE Mass, with this going over to 34 F rain after 2-6" of snow, less SE, more NW... but since N of said feature, the wind don't mix down. Basically, low redemption event. Any snow at all is probably saving it, otherwise, Phin's right - 'hideous' proportion is probably most apropos I agree. I have 3-6” for my area up thru ORH and then light rain / drizzle at 34-35 for a few hours before it ends as a period of light snow Monday night . I highly doubt any 50’s or 60 except perhaps the Cape . Climo always has these form weak secondary along coast. It’s just physics. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Nothing makes sense anymore Beer does 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Beer does I don't drink 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, MJO812 said: I don't drink Start 2 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Winter storm watch for D.C NAM with 1" or less of snow for Albany Monday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Start Does water count ? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Does water count ? With bourbon whiskey? Yes 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I agree. I have 3-6” for my area up thru ORH and then light rain / drizzle at 34-35 for a few hours before it ends as a period of light snow Monday night . I highly doubt any 50’s or 60 except perhaps the Cape . Climo always has these form weak secondary along coast. It’s just physics. aside from you, who has called for temps 50's or 60's in this thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Does water count ? Yes bud light counts. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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