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Upstate/Eastern New York-Pattern Change Vs Tughill Curse?


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57 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Most March storms don't have snow last long as average temps by mid/late March are in the 40s. You need to move up to the Keeweenaw peninsula/Northern Maine/New Hampshire to get the winter you're after east of the rockies. 

I know what you're saying, and I agree with you. However, these winters have been far from even being on the "weaker" side of average. 

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1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said:

Canadian, for one run, trying to bring some hope for next week via several systems:

sn10_acc.us_ne.png

I've been eyeballing next weekend like a hawk as presidents day weekend is usually one of our big trips upstate and all i've been seeing (mostly) is rain. I hope this comes true and we see some changes over the next 3-5 days, would be dope to get dumped on again while up there!


And would be dope to see you guys get more snow of course :)

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16 minutes ago, CoolMikeWx said:

I've been eyeballing next weekend like a hawk as presidents day weekend is usually one of our big trips upstate and all i've been seeing (mostly) is rain. I hope this comes true and we see some changes over the next 3-5 days, would be dope to get dumped on again while up there!


And would be dope to see you guys get more snow of course :)

Thanks! Would be nice to see a cutter track further and further south (and get weaker, unfortunately) as we get closer in time. That has been one of the very few positives about this season.

Note: The GFS and Euro have both shifted further south for the end of next week from their 0Z runs. Perhaps we can keep pushing it south.

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Plains ground blizzard.

Blizzard Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1252 PM CST Thu Feb 10 2022

MNZ003-029-NDZ039-053-111500-
/O.CAN.KFGF.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-220210T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KFGF.BZ.W.0006.220211T0600Z-220211T1500Z/
Clay-Wilkin-Cass-Richland-
Including the cities of Moorhead, Breckenridge, Fargo,
and Wahpeton
1252 PM CST Thu Feb 10 2022

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CST
FRIDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of
  up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph.

* WHERE...In Minnesota, Clay and Wilkin Counties. In North
  Dakota, Cass and Richland Counties.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 9 AM CST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions as temperatures fall
  rapidly. Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce
  visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning
  commute. Cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero could cause
  frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong north winds combined with falling
  snow will lead to whiteout conditions during the overnight
  period and into Friday morning. These conditions could last into
  early Friday afternoon if snow showers persist.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must
travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded,
stay with your vehicle.
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1 hour ago, WaistDeepSnow said:

Plains ground blizzard.

Blizzard Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1252 PM CST Thu Feb 10 2022

MNZ003-029-NDZ039-053-111500-
/O.CAN.KFGF.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-220210T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KFGF.BZ.W.0006.220211T0600Z-220211T1500Z/
Clay-Wilkin-Cass-Richland-
Including the cities of Moorhead, Breckenridge, Fargo,
and Wahpeton
1252 PM CST Thu Feb 10 2022

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CST
FRIDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of
  up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph.

* WHERE...In Minnesota, Clay and Wilkin Counties. In North
  Dakota, Cass and Richland Counties.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 9 AM CST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions as temperatures fall
  rapidly. Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce
  visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning
  commute. Cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero could cause
  frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong north winds combined with falling
  snow will lead to whiteout conditions during the overnight
  period and into Friday morning. These conditions could last into
  early Friday afternoon if snow showers persist.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must
travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded,
stay with your vehicle.

1”. Sounds awful. Delta and maybe Buf are the only members I can think of that would like this. 

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12 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

Euro solution could yield ice invof LO and the SLRV. I'll take my rain over that shit lol.

ecmwf-deterministic-nystate-instant_ptype-5185600.thumb.png.962985a78558acef9edc2406edba6fd2.pngecmwf-deterministic-nystate-frzr_total-5293600.thumb.png.7ff1509c185be785a98b0be0a047ddc6.png

Yeah, we lost a week of snowmobiling because of the ice we got last Friday.  Trees/branches are either bent to the ground or broken and laying on the ground.  We actually needed this warmer weather to melt that ice, as crazy as that sounds for a winter enthusiast to say in February…..

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