Ephesians2 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Just now, IronTy said: Exactly, more than everything since 09-10 combined here. 13-14 and 14-15 weren't at least decent for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ephesians2 said: 13-14 and 14-15 weren't at least decent for you? We did ok but it wasn't as good as further inland. I'm basically right on the bay so we often get mixing which kills accumulation. I'm sure that'll happen here too even in the best scenario. I'm getting a little bit too pumped up but like I said earlier this shit rarely happens down here so I'm giving myself a free pass. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 This is the GFS we had known and loved and missed. Welcome back. -Ji 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 I don’t hate this look on the GEFS for the threat on the 7th. 7 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Short Pump ftw? In all seriousness that late week storm has the potential to be a big one. It really bombs out off the coast. A little earlier and we get wrecked. It's nice to have some stuff to track at least. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 The GEFS sucks, but this is impressive for a 24 hour mean. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Short Pump ftw? In all seriousness that late week storm has the potential to be a big one. It really bombs out off the coast. A little earlier and we get wrecked. It's nice to have some stuff to track at least. It has potential to be big for someone for sure, but the track is going to be touchy and I wouldn’t be surprised to see it bounce around more. Without any blocking, it’s just a shortwave riding along the longwave trough and where that longwave trough axis is will dictate where the storm develops and tracks. Also a stronger shortwave would cut in this situation because there’s no blocking. But there’s a lot of baroclinicity to tap into between warm ocean and a solidly chilly airmass. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: It has potential to be big for someone for sure, but the track is going to be touchy and I wouldn’t be surprised to see it bounce around more. Without any blocking, it’s just a shortwave riding along the longwave trough and where that longwave trough axis is will dictate where the storm develops and tracks. Also a stronger shortwave would cut in this situation because there’s no blocking. But there’s a lot of baroclinicity to tap into between warm ocean and a solidly chilly airmass. Yeah I don't see the potential for it to be big. No blocking means it just zips along. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: It has potential to be big for someone for sure, but the track is going to be touchy and I wouldn’t be surprised to see it bounce around more. Without any blocking, it’s just a shortwave riding along the longwave trough and where that longwave trough axis is will dictate where the storm develops and tracks. Also a stronger shortwave would cut in this situation because there’s no blocking. But there’s a lot of baroclinicity to tap into between warm ocean and a solidly chilly airmass. I was going to say…there’s nothing keeping this storm from racing to the NE. With the current look, I think someone could get 8-10 hours of good snow, but not what we usually think of as a really big one. Maybe like a 6-8” event, which would be awesome, but not a truly big boy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, mattie g said: I was going to say…there’s nothing keeping this storm from racing to the NE. With the current look, I think someone could get 8-10 hours of good snow, but not what we usually think of as a really big one. Maybe like a 6-8” event, which would be awesome, but not a truly big boy. Yeah. It could be a warning level event for some, but it’s not a ton more. Definitely reminds me of some of the 13-14 type events without Atlantic side blocking. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 the late week threat pops a surface low in a pretty good spot, but would like to see the trough a little further west and an earlier development. monday seems a little more of a wishcasting event, but either way both are a nice diversion from having to prep for PI planning the following week (if you work in agile you'll know what i'm talking about). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 hour ago, 87storms said: the late week threat pops a surface low in a pretty good spot, but would like to see the trough a little further west and an earlier development. monday seems a little more of a wishcasting event, but either way both are a nice diversion from having to prep for PI planning the following week (if you work in agile you'll know what i'm talking about). Ah shit…I have PI Planning this Tuesday and Wednesday. Only good thing is that my scrum masters will be taking the reins for my dev teams this time around (with my guidance), whereas I used to handle it all for my team of 30. The Friday deal is going to be all over the guidance until 48-72 hours out. As long as we remain in the game, it’ll make this week much more bearable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 00z icon has no storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 hours ago, mattie g said: Ah shit…I have PI Planning this Tuesday and Wednesday. Only good thing is that my scrum masters will be taking the reins for my dev teams this time around (with my guidance), whereas I used to handle it all for my team of 30. The Friday deal is going to be all over the guidance until 48-72 hours out. As long as we remain in the game, it’ll make this week much more bearable. Lol I’m just a ba though do fill in for my sm. Definitely don’t think I’d want that job. Need to have some legitimate referee skills. I mostly feel bad for the devs because we have a deliverable around that timeframe though I think I need to present this time. It is what it is. re weather…agreed. Snow on snow for dc would be cool. We’re still pretty decent at jan/Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 Uh-oh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Uh-ohDisaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 WB 0Z GFS is a coastal event only for late week storm on latest run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, Ji said: 10 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Uh-oh Disaster H5 looks pretty much the same as Mondays storm did from d5+. If it snows Monday, late week is a lock. If Monday fails, see you in Feb. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 12 minutes ago, Ji said: 13 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Uh-oh Disaster Disaster for what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Wrong thread @IronTy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, IronTy said: Disaster for what? They are talking about the Friday system currently looking way SE on the latest GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: Wrong thread @IronTy Ah geez. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 H5 looks pretty much the same as Mondays storm did from d5+. If it snows Monday, late week is a lock. If Monday fails, see you in Feb. Feb? Thats a +13 month 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Ji said: 8 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: H5 looks pretty much the same as Mondays storm did from d5+. If it snows Monday, late week is a lock. If Monday fails, see you in Feb. Feb? Thats a +13 month Uh oh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Uh ohThis is a 2 week winter like 99-00 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Ukulele looks good for next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, Ji said: Ukulele looks good for next week 0z GEFS & 0z Canadian look good for Friday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 47 minutes ago, Ji said: 52 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Uh oh This is a 2 week winter like 99-00 Awesome. Destroys last year that only lasted 2 minutes. Kinda like prom night. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 hour ago, Ji said: 1 hour ago, Bob Chill said: Uh oh This is a 2 week winter like 99-00 I liked this one right from the start and you know it from when you ribbed me about Pitt vs Boston. Pitt will be colder so that’s good and I said high wouldn’t suppress nor shunt East. Now it’s models but satellite stuff currently is looking right and the analogs showed this and cold that follows. Lots of different methods in agreement !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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