Ahoff Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, north pgh said: Hey let’s not forget as the snow is tapering to 1-3 inches by lunch time tomorrow wind are going to gust to 30 mph. Lots of blowing and drifting. Are you thinking only 1-3" total, or do you mean another 1-3" tomorrow inadditional to tonight's total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 The latest RAP is pretty bad. A huge shift west and takes the bullseye over cleveland. I hope it isn't picking up on a short term trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 First flakes falling now in Chalk Hill-ready for my big rain storm in a few hours…good luck to my Pgh neighbors-you all should do well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 8 minutes ago, Ahoff said: Are you thinking only 1-3" total, or do you mean another 1-3" tomorrow inadditional to tonight's total. 1-3 additional 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Little nervous the air temp is 28, but I guess it's not too bad as it's 1pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 15 minutes ago, north pgh said: Hey let’s not forget as the snow is tapering to 1-3 inches by lunch time tomorrow wind are going to gust to 30 mph. Lots of blowing and drifting. If we can avoid the snow cone, the blowing and drifting might be understated to this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 16z HRRR to drive you guys crazy has 10 inches on the ground and it's still snowing pretty good at the end of the run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, Rd9108 said: 16z HRRR to drive you guys crazy has 10 inches on the ground and it's still snowing pretty good at the end of the run. As a counterpoint, the Euro is probably one of our worst runs in a while. "only" gives 8 inches while Youngstown sees nearly 16. Must really kill us with the dryslot, and unfortunately it has been extremely consistent with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 16 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: The latest RAP is pretty bad. A huge shift west and takes the bullseye over cleveland. I hope it isn't picking up on a short term trend. 1 minute ago, Rd9108 said: 16z HRRR to drive you guys crazy has 10 inches on the ground and it's still snowing pretty good at the end of the run. Yea, i'm not woprrie about the RAP because the HRRR has been better with that dry slot with every run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, KPITSnow said: As a counterpoint, the Euro is probably one of our worst runs in a while. "only" gives 8 inches while Youngstown sees nearly 16. Must really kill us with the dryslot, and unfortunately it has been extremely consistent with that. I guess we will find out tonight if that dry slot is that bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 8 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: I guess we will find out tonight if that dry slot is that bad. 17z HRRR look like it might just completely eliminate the dry slot. If that happens it is bombs away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 8 inches in the north and west part of the county by midnight on the 17z HRRR. There is a ridiculous snow "crack" I'd call it where parts of Westmoreland get like an inch. It also looks like it is not going to dry slot. To quote the great Bob Prince, this is going to be a gnat's eyelash sort of deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity87 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Think it's time we all take a break from everything and enjoy what's about to happen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, SteelCity87 said: Think it's time we all take a break from everything and enjoy what's about to happen tracking is half the fun though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 It has begun to spit snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: tracking is half the fun though I agree but once ensembles are gone and it’s short range models I don’t get quite the dopamine rush. It’s time for radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 I feel like the trends are back in the good direction. It’s go time! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ecanem Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Flakes are falling at springs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity87 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: tracking is half the fun though Absolutely but these minute changes are just adding stress it seems lol. I can't even keep up. It's gonna be a good storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 14 minutes ago, Mailman said: It has begun to spit snow. Keep those southern obs coming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Definitely a big dry slot in WV, wonder if that's coming for us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ahoff said: Definitely a big dry slot in WV, wonder if that's coming for us? That is modeled and not a concern. That is not the dry slot that is the big concern. Should fill in rapidly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: That is modeled and not a concern. That is not the dry slot that is the big concern. Should fill in rapidly. Ok, that's good. I just getting nervous now. Seems the trends weren't great today, or am I wrong there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, Ahoff said: Ok, that's good. I just getting nervous now. Seems the trends weren't great today, or am I wrong there? I think the trends with the models that are now in range have been good. 3K had a slight east shift. HRRR has been moving east and lessening the dry slot since its 12z run. GFS and CMC and RGEM have all been steady and good. We are in the game. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 I think once the snow starts I'll be less nervous, just want to get going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, Burghblizz said: Official total maybe higher than the city's. Still a chance it is even further east than that too. Great to see 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Temps up to 30 (ugh) and dew point down to 3. Still really dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 27 degrees here. A little white outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 11 minutes ago, Ahoff said: Temps up to 30 (ugh) and dew point down to 3. Still really dry. Dry yes. It'll take a little to overcome the dry air. The wetbulb is at 22° though. Once the air saturates, the temp shouldn't rise anymore once the precip starts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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