TimB Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 16 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: Actually, the NAM is still pretty bad. Amazingly it has the best snows almost out in freaking dayton OH, and going through Youngstown and Cleveland. It's absurd there could be a 200 mile difference between the HRRR and NAM. Luckily the NAM is massively on its own. The NAM is not terrible. Hardly any mixing. Yes, there’s a dry slot after a 4” front end thump, then it fills in and drops another 5”+. I’d say it caved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 17 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: Actually, the NAM is still pretty bad. Amazingly it has the best snows almost out in freaking dayton OH, and going through Youngstown and Cleveland. It's absurd there could be a 200 mile difference between the HRRR and NAM. Luckily the NAM is massively on its own. NAM is a little more east. By tomorrow morning 12z it will come in line with the others. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 I haven’t seen anything in the trends today that gives me reason to complain, and I’m a big time complainer at times. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 fv3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 Down to 15 at age and pit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 RGEM pounds us with 14” and very little mixing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Go bills 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gordo74 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 20 minutes ago, meatwad said: Down to 15 at age and pit “Down”… I think any of us would take that willingly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, Gordo74 said: “Down”… I think any of us would take that willingly. Agc, autocorrect goes to age for some reason . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, Gordo74 said: “Down”… I think any of us would take that willingly. Current temp, I think. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gordo74 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Current temp, I think. LOL Well that makes more sense. It’s 13 here at my weather station in Ross. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Checking in from the east. Think you guys get hammered at our expense and that’s totally ok - Pittsburgh deserves a major snow. Enjoy! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 AHem, you might want to check that spelling of our city. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 8 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: AHem, you might want to check that spelling of our city. Oops. I blame the beer. Drinking away the impending rainstorm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 very close to something bigger too. I think we'd be happy with 10-12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 GFS looks to take a very similar path to HRRR but the deform band is about 50 miles further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, Mailman said: We shall see. Damn... That deform band lined up in eastern ohio. Man, how sweet would that be. Looks like most models have set that deform band a little further west than the metro area. Could totally see it moving a little east, but we will see. For the record, I would absolutely take 15+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 00z HREF looks good too. 10-12" for AGC. Heaviest right on the board of PA/OH. In line with everything else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 HREF also showed 70% odd of seeing 1"/hr rates from 1am-4 am. That'll be fun to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 I want the death band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, Rd9108 said: I want the death band so bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 This really does have the potential to be a top 10 all time storm for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Interesting thing i noticed here. The temps have consistently been lower than forecasted for. Thats a good sign that the cold air is a little more stubborn than the models are predicting. Obviously this is different at 850 than at the surface, but still thought it was interesting to see the temps are starting colder than forecasted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 32 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: GFS looks to take a very similar path to HRRR but the deform band is about 50 miles further west. I really hope we can get that to slide SE, crazy stuff can happen in those deform bands if your really looking for 12+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, MikeB_01 said: Interesting thing i noticed here. The temps have consistently been lower than forecasted for. Thats a good sign that the cold air is a little more stubborn than the models are predicting. Obviously this is different at 850 than at the surface, but still thought it was interesting to see the temps are starting colder than forecasted Could you say that the cold air has snuck down a little farther south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Lol, like all 4 of us just had the same thought at the same time. 5 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: I want the death band 5 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: so bad 3 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: This really does have the potential to be a top 10 all time storm for us 2 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: I really hope we can get that to slide SE, crazy stuff can happen in those deform bands if your really looking for 12+ 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ruin said: Could you say that the cold air has snuck down a little farther south Also worth noting. Again, these are just some observations. The NAM (3K)which is our furthest west solution is struggle with certain key features only 4 hours off of its run time. First the temperature. Temps are significantly colder than what the NAM (3K) modeled for 4z. Forecasted 4z Actual 4z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now