CoolHandMike Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: For my area, I'm just taking it (guessing) as a couple inches then some sort of changeover heading into Monday. No shot I'm wasting my time intensely following model after model before later Fri/early Sat...it'll drive one nuts. 28F Oh, I'm not going to waste any time model-hopping and hoping for huge dumps. This isn't going to be the blockbuster event of the winter for most of us (if any). But it's a good sign this early into January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Ended up hitting 40 for a high yesterday and bottomed out at 26 this morning. Currently partly cloudy and 31 with dp 25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 LR ens still look active and cold to end the month. Stj still in play coming out of a split flow on the West Coast. Not a progressive nor warm look: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 We should get a 3rd significant winter storm during the last week of January which would make it a good winter month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Made it up to 48 here as a high and with some high clouds that were around on and off most of the day, it's currently 41 with dp 28. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 Winter 2021-22 highlights so far… -The Festivus miracle -LV guy getting the boot -It not being 70F on Christmas -3” of fluff from the Middle Finger storm -And the 6 hours Tuesday afternoon when I thought Redsky’s Hoochie Mama blizzard might be a thing 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 57 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Winter 2021-22 highlights so far… -The Festivus miracle -LV guy getting the boot -It not being 70F on Christmas -3” of fluff from the Middle Finger storm -And the 6 hours Tuesday afternoon when I thought Redsky’s Hoochie Mama blizzard might be a thing We avoided the catastrophic drought as well... Interesting weather for the Birds on Sunday in TB. T-storms and trashcan blowing winds: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:07 PM, Albedoman said: my first call 8-12 in for LV, thunder snow/ sleet maybe mixed in with some frizzle on top as we get dry slotted with wrap around snow of 1-2 in Monday afternoon. Then the 30-40 winds kick in with blowing and drifting roads shut in the open rural areas. Then the temps fall bigtime . Then come the parade of alberta clippers afterwards. so far so good with my first call 24 hours later. Many models are tuning in to this scenario for the LV. My totals seem a little high but I guess that is what my second call will iron out tomorrow night. The third and final call will be Sat night Nam Run. Additional issues I see popping up now in the models: 1. More sleet at the mid levels are becoming an issue in all of the models. 2. The dry slot is still near or over the LV affecting snow totals before the changeover to sleet/frizzle. The front end thump maybe just a speed bump if the dry slot kicks our ass.. 3. If the wrap around snow does not come to fruition as the low races to the north because of the dry slot, then blowing snow will be curtailed as the sleet and frizzle put the "icing on the cake" to prevent blowing and drifting. Other than thundersnow, I really want to see howling blowing snow that causes drifting as it is a rarity in these parts from this event 4. lastly this inland runner could still go east by 50 miles or so by tomorrow night bringing a lot of happy faces to the I-95 people. Just have to model watch, especially the SREF and NAM runs as they are just outside their model trustworthiness right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 5 hours ago, JTA66 said: Winter 2021-22 highlights so far… -The Festivus miracle -LV guy getting the boot -It not being 70F on Christmas -3” of fluff from the Middle Finger storm -And the 6 hours Tuesday afternoon when I thought Redsky’s Hoochie Mama blizzard might be a thing DC about to score better snow then the northern Philly burbs again this winter, and with a PA runner no less. Feeling a melt coming soon if I lose out on this one. It's almost got the taste of those really cold 3-7" January's in the 80's that were followed by mild blah February's. The long rangers are painting next month as ugly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 The Canadians 40" snow next week would get things back on track however Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Who likes cold 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 29f/dp27 cloudy skies, not sure what to expect out here in Western Berks Sunday night I’ve seen 1-4, 3-6 even 6-10 before changing to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 Goldilocks winter so far. First storm too south, second storm too Miller B-ish, this one too west. 35F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 We're certainly black sheep. I'm in a zoom call and everyone is happy that we're getting rain and not snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, JTA66 said: We're certainly back sheep. I'm in a zoom call and everyone is happy that we're getting rain and not snow. Part of it is sincere and part it's the trendy thing to say. (closet weenies) Pred: Start time 6-7pm as snow 10pm: Pingers invade maybe some freezing rain 11pm-12am: Changes to all rain Total Accumulation: 1-2" 39F/ Winds starting to pick up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Part of it is sincere and part it's the trendy thing to say. (closet weenies) Pred: Start time 6-7pm as snow 10pm: Pingers invade maybe some freezing rain 11pm-12am: Changes to all rain Total Accumulation: 1-2" 39F/ Winds starting to pick up Wondering if we can score a hat trick: WWA? Flood watch? Wind advisory? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacChump Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 18 hours ago, Birds~69 said: We avoided the catastrophic drought as well... Interesting weather for the Birds on Sunday in TB. T-storms and trashcan blowing winds: probably helps the birds i would think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, MacChump said: probably helps the birds i would think For sure...Birds running game is better. And Brady's throws may wobble all over the place in the wind... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 March looks great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 GFS kicking us when we're down. Temps dropping like a rock/winds...down to freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Temp has been dropping steadily after a high of 44 earlier today. Now down to 28 - but the big story is the dp that got up to 34 earlier this afternoon and has now crashed to 16. I expect the dp will be near or even below 0 sometime tomorrow (or at least sometime this weekend). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/6/2022 at 12:34 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Here's that period honking again centered around the 17th give or take a day. This has been a consistent signal for about a week already and moving up in time. No can-kicking this one: GEFS were all over it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 14 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: GEFS were all over it Still showing signal day 8-9? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Nova Scotia is experiencing a snowicane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Temp this morning is down to 14 and the dp did the dive and is -2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 12F / DP -2...coldest so far this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Current temp is 13 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 hour ago, Birds~69 said: 12F / DP -2...coldest so far this winter. Down to 10F but snow to rain tomorrow evening...go figure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 hour ago, Birds~69 said: Down to 10F but snow to rain tomorrow evening...go figure. Blame the upper level low digging in the back of the coastal low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Looks like I bottomed out at 12 but my dp has continued to go down (so far the lowest was -7). Currently mostly sunny and "up to" 14 with dp -6. Time to boil some sweet potatoes (or something) because the humidifiers are no match! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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