December 2021

[wdrag]

38 MPH gust at 841PM in Wantage NJ.

 

Awaiting on threads for the 6th and 8th for more consensus. Too close to being ordinary.  Hope EC is right but little worried when consensus is lacking. 

[weathermedic]

13 minutes ago, White Gorilla said:

Pretty out of the ordinary isn't it? 

Becoming more ordinary as the years go on.

[hudsonvalley21]

19 minutes ago, wdrag said:

38 MPH gust at 841PM in Wantage NJ.

 

Awaiting on threads for the 6th and 8th for more consensus. Too close to being ordinary.  Hope EC is right but little worried when consensus is lacking. 

Gust of 34 here with 0.24 in the bucket for the15 minute FROPA event. No thunder.

A few days of model runs to see what’s trending for next Monday and Wednesday. Maybe some severe wx on Monday.

[CIK62]

For reference:

[Brian5671]

wind hail and heavy rain here with that line

[Eduardo]

4 hours ago, bluewave said:

Same here. I continue to love snowstorms as much as I did when I was young. So the lack of cold doesn’t really bother me that much. I can still remember going to the bus stop for school in the brutally cold 76-77 winter. That was probably our only winter that could resemble something during the little ice age. 

Ah this is one of the only subjects on which we part ways, Chris.  I live for face-burning cold in deep winters.  It’s a source of both personal pride and social ostracism.

[nycwinter]

wind really starting to pick up in the city..

[eduggs]

Both the 18z GFS and 0z NAM show a period of scattered flurries or light snow for parts of the area early Saturday morning. It's very light and a little warm, so not very exciting. But it's also the kind of weak but focused overrunning event that can get overlooked. The kind of situation where if you expect nothing and wake up to a surprise coating you're excited.

[STORMANLI]

Pea-sized hail now in with gusty rain shower.

First time hail in December.

[psv88]

Crazy hail squal!!!

house was under attack 

[uofmiami]

46 mph gust at my house in Syosset.

[psv88]

Just now, STORMANLI said:

Pea-sized hail now in with gusty rain shower.

First time hail in December.

Some of those were larger than pea size 

[jm1220]

Just had a heavier shower here but wind definitely picked up.

[weathermedic]

Showers moving at 100 mph! Is that a typo?

At 1017 PM EST, Doppler radar was tracking showers along a
broken line extending from Clark to Middle Island to near Guilford.
Movement was east at 100 mph.

[STORMANLI]

Apparently not:

 

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
1003 PM EST Thu Dec 2 2021

CTZ006>008-010>012-030400-
Southern Middlesex CT-Southern New London CT-Northern New London CT-
Northern New Haven CT-Northern Middlesex CT-Southern New Haven CT-
1003 PM EST Thu Dec 2 2021

...Showers and thunderstorms will impact portions of New London,
central New Haven and Middlesex Counties through 1100 PM EST...

At 1002 PM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a broken line of showers
and thunderstorms along a line extending from 8 miles northwest of
Port Jefferson to near Ashford. Movement was northeast at 90 mph.

[weathermedic]

I don’t ever recall seeing a special weather statement with those speeds 

[STORMANLI]

Looked at soundings forecast for KISP  03z and had 109kts/ 125 mph @  24,000 to 25,000 feet

 Gusted to 45mph here

[MJO812]

Alot of nice gefs members for next week. Ukie is also flatter along with the cmc compared to the gfs.

[LibertyBell]

3 hours ago, Eduardo said:

Ah this is one of the only subjects on which we part ways, Chris.  I live for face-burning cold in deep winters.  It’s a source of both personal pride and social ostracism.

and huge heating bills

[LibertyBell]

7 hours ago, bluewave said:

Same here. I continue to love snowstorms as much as I did when I was young. So the lack of cold doesn’t really bother me that much. I can still remember going to the bus stop for school in the brutally cold 76-77 winter. That was probably our only winter that could resemble something during the little ice age. 

if we had as little snow during the little ice age as we did in 76-77 no thanks, must have been boring back then

 

[LibertyBell]

7 hours ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

76-77 was fantastic. I would sign up for a repeat of that winter 

no way, I want coastal storms, 76-77 was meaningless cold, only good for lake effect areas

 

[LibertyBell]

7 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Maybe a blowtorch December like 2015 will lead to a monstrous snowstorm in Jan. The waters are gonna be like rocket fuel ,

That's been one of the themes following a massive torch. We saw it after the 80F Feb reading as well.

2015-16 all the way

 

[LibertyBell]

6 hours ago, bluewave said:

That was the last time we had a top 10 coldest fall and winter.

 

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1871	51.7	0
2	1887	51.8	0
3	1875	52.0	0
4	1888	52.2	0
5	1869	52.4	0
6	1883	52.5	0
7	1917	52.7	0
-	1873	52.7	2
8	1889	53.2	0
-	1880	53.2	0
9	1876	53.4	2
10	1976	53.7	0
-	1872	53.7	0

 

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Season	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1917-1918	25.7	0
2	1880-1881	26.5	0
3	1903-1904	27.3	0
4	1919-1920	27.4	0
5	1874-1875	27.7	4
-	1872-1873	27.7	0
6	1904-1905	28.1	0
7	1935-1936	28.3	0
8	1976-1977	28.4	0
-	1884-1885	28.4	0
-	1882-1883	28.4	0
9	1892-1893	28.6	0
-	1887-1888	28.6	0
10	1878-1879	29.0	2

 

it was overrated because we had mediocre snow and February was warm

 

[LibertyBell]

6 hours ago, bluewave said:

That was the last time we had a top 10 coldest fall and winter.

 

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1871	51.7	0
2	1887	51.8	0
3	1875	52.0	0
4	1888	52.2	0
5	1869	52.4	0
6	1883	52.5	0
7	1917	52.7	0
-	1873	52.7	2
8	1889	53.2	0
-	1880	53.2	0
9	1876	53.4	2
10	1976	53.7	0
-	1872	53.7	0

 

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Season	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1917-1918	25.7	0
2	1880-1881	26.5	0
3	1903-1904	27.3	0
4	1919-1920	27.4	0
5	1874-1875	27.7	4
-	1872-1873	27.7	0
6	1904-1905	28.1	0
7	1935-1936	28.3	0
8	1976-1977	28.4	0
-	1884-1885	28.4	0
-	1882-1883	28.4	0
9	1892-1893	28.6	0
-	1887-1888	28.6	0
10	1878-1879	29.0	2

 

besides 1917 and 1976 all the coldest falls are from the 1800s?

clearly UHI at play there

 

[LibertyBell]

6 hours ago, EasternLI said:

This is some big time amplification way over in the western Pacific. It's in a location that promotes the -PNA pattern advertised. That's also a +nao signal too. The pattern shown on ensembles has tons of support. Still thinking the Typhoon gave a little boost here. Don't be surprised if some of that record heat is somewhere in the east at some point soon. 

good I want my 70s!

wont snow so lets get it hot

 

[LibertyBell]

5 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

Final Records for December 2, 2021:

Billings: 69° (old record: 63°, 1939 and 1956)

Casper: 66° (old record: 59°, 1939) ***new December record***

Cheyenne: 70° (old record: 64°, 1885) ***new December record***

Dodge City, KS: 80° (old record: 74°, 1995)

Grand Island, NE: 73° (old record: 70°, 2012)

Great Falls: 60° (tied record set in 1941 and tied in 1959)

Helena: 64° (old record: 58°, 1941)

Kalispell, MT: 59° (old record: 57°, 1941)

Lincoln, NE: 71° (old record: 68°, 2012)

Missoula: 61° (old record: 58°, 1941)

North Platte, NE: 71° (old record: 69°, 1885 and 2012)

Omaha: 68° (old record: 67°, 1973)

Phoenix: 84° (tied record set in 2017)

Rapid City: 75° (old record: 69°, 1960) ***tied December record***

Sheridan, WY: 77° (old record: 70°, 1941) ***tied December record***

Sidney, NE: 78° (old record: 67°, 2017) ***2nd consecutive new December record***

Wichita: 74° (old record: 69°, 2012)

whats keeping us from getting all this nice weather, Don?

 

[LibertyBell]

8 hours ago, Cfa said:

Our annual December torch appears to be right on schedule.

December should no longer be considered a winter month, it only is because of lazy "met winter"......winter should only be measured as two months long now, January and February

 

[LibertyBell]

9 hours ago, bluewave said:

All the long range guidance continues to advertise a very warm pattern this month. The only other highly amplified Aleutians Ridge, -PNA, +AO, and  SE Ridge La Niña December was 1984. But that doesn’t mean the rest of the winter will resemble 84-85 since we are in such a warmer climate now. A weaker match may mean that this winter tries to mount some sort of a comeback after December. Still way too early to speculate on the rest of the winter. 

 

EPS

Dec 6 to 13

Dec 13-20

Dec 20-27

 

 

 

 

Jan 1985 contained the greatest arctic outbreak of our lifetimes.....so if we get that again that would be fun.  Then let it warm up in February lol

 

[LibertyBell]

10 hours ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

Betting on warmth is like betting on Secretariat in 1972....

1973 lol

and that Belmont run was a thing of beauty

 

[guinness77]

The wind is ridiculous right now. I’m topping 40mph on gusts easily right now. Every freaking week, another wind event. I’m so tired of it but I know it’s going nowhere.