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December 2021 Obs/Disco...Dreaming of a White-Weenie Xmas


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GFS takes that energy off the Baja and swings it up and combined with a sheared out nrn stream mess. The Ukie looks great for SNE. gets the Baja energy out well to our south, and the nrn stream s/w digs nicely and goes out underneath. I'd sign for that. Not as good for NNE though, but they would get some snow.

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4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

GFS takes that energy off the Baja and swings it up and combined with a sheared out nrn stream mess. The Ukie looks great for SNE. gets the Baja energy out well to our south, and the nrn stream s/w digs nicely and goes out underneath. I'd sign for that. Not as good for NNE though, but they would get some snow.

Cmc also looks better than the gfs

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2 minutes ago, Hazey said:

Blended guidance is a decent hit for a lot of folks. Adds a bit more confidence. Hope this one doesn't fade

I do like seeing some southerly solutions. This thing is prob gonna trend north with that pig SE ridge so we're prob gonna need some wiggle room.

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15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I'd take the GFS even....it's like 3-4" here.

Obviously I'd like more, but I wouldn't complain with an advisory snowfall with some ZR mixed in there.

Narcan doesn't look like it gives you that much.

I get like 5"....better than I had thought, but tight gradient near pike.

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