Brian5671 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, guinness77 said: Winds do seem to be subsiding a bit, maybe because that pivot you guys spoke of is in the process of starting (guessing winds picked up in the last hour because that was the end of that band of precip) but I’m already thinking NWS is downplaying these winds. Max gusts on their forecast for the afternoon is “only” 30mph, and I would say we already topped that. Then only calling for 36mph gusts for tonight/early am? I don’t buy that. Again, thanks for all the info, it’s much appreciated. BDR has gusted to 44 already.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 3.35” so far.. Not much wind to speak of Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 The rain has pushed to the north. Picked up 3.65" here. A lot of rain obviously and flooding in some spots, but thankfully nothing like Ida. Last night I moved my cars to higher ground to make sure they wouldn't get flooded again in case the worst case scenario of getting 6+ inches of rain happened, but thankfully that didn't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Euro and EPS have been trash. No one should take it seriously anymore. I think the 6z run from yesterday had the storm tucked near the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Euro and EPS have been trash. No one should take it seriously anymore. I think the 6z run from yesterday had the storm tucked near the coast. The storm will be pinwheeling back towards the coast tonight. We will get the strongest winds tonight into tomorrow. The rain will pick back up too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Rain has stopped and I see some blue sky to my south -southwest toward the ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Inbound to EWR. On time. Rain stopped. SW winds at 10 knots at the moment. They even turned the airport around to land on the 22s. Not anything like the aviation forecast from this morning…happily Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Currently 1.45 in the rain bucket, rain has subsided to a drizzle here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
guinness77 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Winds have subsided significantly so maybe my lol was a little premature. Precip has completely stopped, but it is muggy as hell. Uncomfortable, even. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 absolutely ripping rain here street looks like a river currently. should be fun riding to check out a potential new house yoday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Cloudy here with skies brightening here in Brooklyn. More rain on the way later as the storm backs in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Absolutely pouring here in Ramsey, NJ under the pivot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 The initial dry slot over the immediate coast is because the parent low is tucked right into the coast near NY harbor. The surface low that will be brining the wind is still located well Southeast of the benchmark. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The initial dry slot over the immediate coast is because the parent low is tucked right into the coast near NY harbor. The surface low that will be brining the wind is still located well Southeast of the benchmark. Yep. The LLJ is also pushing north which means once the rain stops the winds should subside for a while. The parent low will die off and the one offshore will take over, meaning the rain will pivot back south and winds increase as it pinwheels. If this was winter, this front end batch would be a driving rain for most of us or snow to rain because of that tucked in low reflection near JFK. The precip pivoting back south would be snow due to the offshore low taking over. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 dry slot has pushed in here-way north of where any model had it. Amazing the NAM and HRRR could bust that close in.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 the city will bust and not get to where the nws had predicted for rainfall totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Barometer down to 991 at my station with a total of 2.73 inches of rain so far. Winds light with a W-SW component. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 1 minute ago, nycwinter said: the city will bust and not get to where the nws had predicted for rainfall totals. eventually we'll see rain push SW again,but doubt it's as heavy as what we saw on the front end 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 12 minutes ago, nycwinter said: the city will bust and not get to where the nws had predicted for rainfall totals. What did they predict? 3-6"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 14 minutes ago, nycwinter said: the city will bust and not get to where the nws had predicted for rainfall totals. We have still a long ways to go. The rain pushing back south won’t be as heavy as the front end but it’ll still be 1-3 more inches probably. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 18 minutes ago, nycwinter said: the city will bust and not get to where the nws had predicted for rainfall totals. The storm isn't over I see we are in winter mode 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 not bad outside temps near 60 no rain some brightening in the sky cover.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 dear lord at the bust calls this was a given a break till later tonight. another 1-2” iso 3” amounts are possible later this evening into early morning 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Current rainfall totals as of 1:00 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Look to be approaching 4” here and still raining at a very solid clip, but the dry slot is trying to come in and shut us off. After that our most significant rains are probably done here n/w of city proper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 9 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said: Look to be approaching 4” here and still raining at a very solid clip, but the dry slot is trying to come in and shut us off. After that our most significant rains are probably done here n/w of city proper. Yes but later on this evening/tonight the rain will move back in as well will the winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 a road closure due to flooding in North Plainfield delayed my trip to Costco to get a hot dog for lunch, so i am upgrading this storm to NESIS 5 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 15 minutes ago, allgame830 said: Yes but later on this evening/tonight the rain will move back in as well will the winds. I’m far enough away from NYC that I would be considered as just being on the fringes of this subforum, if that helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STORMANLI Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 2.69" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Some sun has come out here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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