OBS and nowcast 9PM tonight-8A Wednesday for a general 2-5" rain, isolated 8" possible. 40-60 kt damaging wind likely Tuesday-early Wednesday. Focus for damaging wind and heaviest rain is the I95 corridor to the coasts. Power outages esp CT LI.

[donsutherland1]

35 minutes ago, wdrag said:

NYC heading for a 7" month of October with over 1.95" for this storm as of 7A. Seldom if ever see 4  onset months of 7+... not there yet but I think NYC heading for near 5 on this one. 

Added some rainfall totals... so far via CoCoRaHs and NYS mesonet. Also gusts 35-35 KT now north shore of LI as sfc low near Sandy Hook. 

 

 

July-September 1971 and 2021 hold the NYC record for 3 consecutive months with 7” or more precipitation.

[Snowlover11]

heavy rain has shifted north and west, light rain till later.

[doncat]

Had a quick temp rise from 56 to 60 past 15 minutes...Rain up to 3.70"...light currently.

[weathermedic]

2.46 so far at my station in Sheepshead Bay.

[snywx]

22 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

2.55", which includes the .32" from Sunday night into yesterday morning.

2.85” here that does not include yesterday morning. 

[wdrag]

4 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

July-September 1971 and 2021 hold the NYC record for 3 consecutive months with 7” or more precipitation.

Looking for 4 consec months.  We are now, 10+ 3 consec months in NYC.  

 

NYC now as of 8AM 2.92" monthly seemingly heading for 5 by the time this is done (i think-maybe am too high?). 1.8" past 6 hrs.

 

Wantage now at 3.57" for the storm.  STP's from DIX especially too low per earlier CoCoRaHs match. So my rainfall might be a tad high but wxunderground has lots of support here in nw NJ. 

[wdrag]

Here are some 4+" amounts...remember, some of these reported at 6A, others at 830A...makes a big difference.   All smooths out tomorrow morning when we do the two day. 

No SVR occurred last night in our area.  However, NWS PHI now has two rivers in NJ forecast to moderate FS and many reports of rescues, and further reports 4+". 

[wdrag]

storm centered near JFK at this time. NLY wind gusts 30KT up in Kingston. 

[FPizz]

Up to 3.1 on my weather station.  Will check the cocorahs gauge when this storm is done and compare.

[wdrag]

I think the 12z 3K NAM and 12z HRRR/HRRRX will ice it for whether damaging wind occurs as now outlooked by HRRR/HRRRX, 3K NAM for CT/e LI. 

[hudsonvalley21]

2.37 in the bucket so far for this event.

[crossbowftw3]

11 minutes ago, wdrag said:

I think the 12z 3K NAM and 12z HRRR/HRRRX will ice it for whether damaging wind occurs as now outlooked by HRRR/HRRRX, 3K NAM for CT/e LI. 

Walt: I assume wind potential for us inland folks probably won’t be too significant? I’m thinking maybe higher spots see 40+ gusts but most everywhere sees 20-40.

[NJwx85]

1 minute ago, crossbowftw3 said:

Walt: I assume wind potential for us inland folks probably won’t be too significant? I’m thinking maybe higher spots see 40+ gusts but most everywhere sees 20-40.

West of the Hudson 20-30MPH with a few gusts over 40MPH. Hudson river to the Suffolk County line 30-40MPH with a few gusts over 50MPH. Highest potential is Suffolk, especially the North shore for sustained over 40MPH with gusts 60+.

[donsutherland1]

000
NOUS41 KOKX 261312
PNSOKX

NOUS41 KOKX 261243 PNSOKX CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-
NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-270036-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
911 AM EDT TUE OCT 26 2021

...RAINFALL REPORTS OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS...

LOCATION                     AMOUNT    TIME/DATE       PROVIDER             

...CONNECTICUT...

...FAIRFIELD COUNTY...               
ARMONK                       1.99 IN   0820 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
GREENWICH                    1.73 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                                  
STAMFORD                     1.55 IN   0825 AM 10/26   AWS                  
3 N NEW CANAAN               1.47 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                                    
DANBURY                      1.36 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
OLD GREENWICH                1.35 IN   0800 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
DANBURY                      1.26 IN   0819 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
STAMFORD                     1.24 IN   0829 AM 10/26   AWS                  
NORWALK                      1.22 IN   0800 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
WESTPORT                     1.20 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
DANBURY AIRPORT              1.18 IN   0753 AM 10/26   ASOS                 
BRIDGEPORT                   1.15 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
BETHEL                       1.12 IN   0730 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
FAIRFIELD                    1.11 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
STAMFORD                     1.10 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
DARIEN 3.6 N                 1.05 IN   0827 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             

...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
CHESTER CENTER 2.7 WNW       1.50 IN   0758 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
KILLINGWORTH                 1.47 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
CLINTON                      1.47 IN   0816 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
KILLINGWORTH                 1.42 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
SAYBROOK MANOR               1.41 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
ESSEX                        1.35 IN   0754 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
WESTBROOK                    1.32 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
DURHAM                       1.24 IN   0825 AM 10/26   AWS                  
SALEM 2.8 WNW                1.23 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
HIGGANUM                     1.16 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
MIDDLETOWN                   1.09 IN   0819 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
MIDDLEFIELD                  1.07 IN   0829 AM 10/26   AWS                  

...NEW HAVEN COUNTY...
KILLINGWORTH                 1.20 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
GUILFORD                     1.02 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COOP                 
GUILFORD 1.7 W               1.00 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS                             

...NEW LONDON COUNTY...
NORWICH                      1.56 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COOP                 
OLD LYME 1.7 NNE             1.50 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
PRESTON                      1.43 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
NEW LONDON                   1.42 IN   0820 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
GROTON AIRPORT               1.35 IN   0756 AM 10/26   ASOS                 
NORWICH                      1.34 IN   0600 AM 10/26   COCORAHS                            
NORWICH 5.2 SE               1.27 IN   0645 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
COLCHESTER 0.6 ENE           1.23 IN   0600 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
LYME                         1.03 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 

...NEW JERSEY...

...BERGEN COUNTY...
WALDWICK                     3.79 IN   0810 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
NORTH ARLINGTON              3.77 IN   0800 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
OAKLAND                      3.70 IN   0800 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
HASBROUCK HEIGHTS            3.36 IN   0819 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
OAKLAND                      3.03 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS                             
PARK RIDGE                   2.94 IN   0800 AM 10/26   IFLOWS               
OAKLAND                      2.72 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
NEW MILFORD                  2.69 IN   0825 AM 10/26   AWS                                  
FAIR LAWN                    2.60 IN   0820 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
TETERBORO AIRPORT            2.54 IN   0811 AM 10/26   ASOS                 
OAKLAND                      2.49 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
RIVER VALE                   2.47 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
PARAMUS                      2.43 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
1 SSE FRANKLIN LAKES         2.40 IN   0745 AM 10/26   IFLOWS               
MAHWAH                       2.36 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
EMERSON                      2.30 IN   0728 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
FAIR LAWN                    2.26 IN   0641 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
1 WSW WASHINGTON TOWNSHI     2.24 IN   0700 AM 10/26   TRAINED SPOTTER      
RIVER EDGE 0.4 NNE           2.23 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
LODI                         2.20 IN   0745 AM 10/26   IFLOWS               
MAHWAH                       2.15 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
LITTLE FERRY                 2.12 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
CRESSKILL                    1.93 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
LEONIA                       1.91 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
0.6 SW HILLSDALE             1.88 IN   0815 AM 10/26   IFLOWS               
TENAFLY                      1.87 IN   0730 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
HACKENSACK                   1.84 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
BOGOTA                       1.73 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
MAYWOOD 0.2 SW               1.12 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             

...ESSEX COUNTY...
CALDWELL                     3.53 IN   0801 AM 10/26   ASOS                 
LIVINGSTON TWP 2.0 NNE       3.51 IN   0755 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
WEST CALDWELL                3.02 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
LIVINGSTON                   2.95 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
MONTCLAIR                    2.94 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
MAPLEWOOD                    2.92 IN   0754 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
WEST CALDWELL                2.92 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
BLOOMFIELD                   2.84 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
WEST ORANGE                  2.81 IN   0819 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
MONTCLAIR                    2.69 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
MILLBURN                     2.61 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
0.6 SW CALDWELL              2.56 IN   0745 AM 10/26   IFLOWS               
MILLBURN                     2.55 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
WEST ORANGE                  2.45 IN   0830 AM 10/26   URBANET              
ORANGE RESERVOIR             2.44 IN   0800 AM 10/26   IFLOWS               
VERONA                       2.29 IN   0805 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             

...HUDSON COUNTY...
SECAUCUS                     3.66 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
HARRISON                     3.45 IN   0852 AM 10/26   CWOP
KEARNY                       3.22 IN   0820 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
JERSEY CITY                  2.75 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                                  
HARRISON                     2.68 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
1 SW JERSEY CITY             2.62 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                                  
1 ENE JERSEY CITY            2.19 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
HARRISON                     2.10 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
BAYONNE                      1.92 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
HOBOKEN                      1.65 IN   0816 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
KEARNY                       1.30 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
JERSEY CITY                  1.26 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  

...PASSAIC COUNTY...
LITTLE FALLS                 3.92 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
LITTLE FALLS TWP 0.2 NE      3.83 IN   0800 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
WAYNE                        3.63 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS                         
0.8 SE POMPTON LAKES         3.61 IN   0730 AM 10/26   HADS                 
0.8 E WEST PATERSON          3.48 IN   0745 AM 10/26   HADS                 
CHARLOTTESBURG RESERVOIR     3.32 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COOP                 
HAWTHORNE                    3.28 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
WEST MILFORD                 3.19 IN   0819 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
WEST MILFORD TWP 5.7 N       3.12 IN   0740 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
0.9 S WAYNE                  3.00 IN   0745 AM 10/26   IFLOWS               
2.1 E RINGWOOD               2.76 IN   0745 AM 10/26   IFLOWS               
1.5 SW RINGWOOD              2.72 IN   0745 AM 10/26   IFLOWS               
CLIFTON                      2.69 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
RINGWOOD                     2.63 IN   0710 AM 10/26   RAWS                 
WEST MILFORD                 2.56 IN   0745 AM 10/26   IFLOWS               
HAWTHORNE                    2.34 IN   0820 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
HEWITT                       1.95 IN   0745 AM 10/26   AWS                  
PASSAIC                      1.48 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
OAK RIDGE                    1.19 IN   0810 AM 10/26   AWS                  
CLIFTON                      1.02 IN   0145 AM 10/26   AWS                  

...UNION COUNTY...
NEW PROVIDENCE               3.95 IN   0730 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
MOUNTAINSIDE                 3.47 IN   0730 AM 10/26   IFLOWS               
WESTFIELD                    3.35 IN   0745 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
CLARK                        2.96 IN   0715 AM 10/26   COCORAHS                        
NEWARK AIRPORT               2.70 IN   0751 AM 10/26   ASOS                 
BAYSIDE                      2.63 IN   0818 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
WESTFIELD                    2.58 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             

...NEW YORK...

...BRONX COUNTY...
HARLEM                       2.00 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  

...KINGS COUNTY...
BROOKLYN                     3.25 IN   0820 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
PROSPECT PARK                3.18 IN   0825 AM 10/26   AWS                  
SOUTH SLOPE                  2.70 IN   0820 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
BROOKLYN COLLEGE             2.67 IN   0830 AM 10/26   NYSM                 
SHEEPSHEAD BAY               2.44 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
DYKER HEIGHTS                2.37 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 

...NASSAU COUNTY...
GREAT NECK                   2.20 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
EAST ROCKAWAY                1.83 IN   0811 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
NORTH MASSAPEQUA             1.70 IN   0816 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
MASSAPEQUA PARK              1.56 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
SYOSSET                      1.54 IN   0808 AM 10/26   COOP                 
MUTTONTOWN                   1.52 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
ALBERTSON 0.5 SW             1.51 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
SEARINGTOWN                  1.51 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
LYNBROOK 0.6 ENE             1.49 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
GLEN HEAD                    1.48 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
HEWLETT                      1.48 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
MINEOLA                      1.46 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
LEVITTOWN                    1.45 IN   0816 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
VALLEY STREAM                1.39 IN   0816 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
THOMASTON                    1.38 IN   0829 AM 10/26   AWS                  
OYSTER BAY                   1.33 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
LEVITTOWN                    1.33 IN   0825 AM 10/26   AWS                  
EAST HILLS                   1.32 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
MASSAPEQUA 1.1 SE            1.30 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
WANTAGH                      1.29 IN   0830 AM 10/26   NYSM                 
ALBERTSON 0.2 SSE            1.22 IN   0635 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
MUTTONTOWN                   1.19 IN   0829 AM 10/26   AWS                  
MASSAPEQUA PARK              1.17 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
ROCKVILLE CENTRE             1.14 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
FREEPORT                     1.02 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  

...NEW YORK COUNTY...
MIDTOWN MANHATTAN            3.00 IN   0825 AM 10/26   AWS                  
BATTERY PARK                 2.80 IN   0831 AM 10/26   MESONET              
MIDTOWN MANHATTAN            2.67 IN   0830 AM 10/26   NYSM                 
MANHATTAN                    2.46 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
CENTRAL PARK                 2.38 IN   0828 AM 10/26   ASOS                 
BATTERY PARK                 2.03 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  

...ORANGE COUNTY...
GREENWOOD LAKE               3.12 IN   0800 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
WARWICK                      3.08 IN   0830 AM 10/26   NYSM                 
OTISVILLE                    2.72 IN   0830 AM 10/26   NYSM                 
WARWICK                      2.56 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
2.6 NW TUXEDO PARK           2.40 IN   0745 AM 10/26   HADS                 
MIDDLETOWN                   2.38 IN   0820 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
0.8 N PORT JERVIS            2.30 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COOP                 
MIDDLETOWN                   2.28 IN   0816 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
PORT JERVIS                  2.27 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
MONTGOMERY AIRPORT           2.13 IN   0754 AM 10/26   AWOS                 
TUXEDO PARK                  2.10 IN   0829 AM 10/26   AWS                  
PORT JERVIS                  2.07 IN   0630 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
MONTGOMERY                   2.03 IN   0816 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
WEST POINT                   2.00 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
US MILITARY ACADEMY          1.99 IN   0755 AM 10/26   RAWS                 
GOSHEN                       1.88 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
VAILS GATE                   1.63 IN   0816 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
HARRIMAN                     1.57 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
NEWBURGH                     1.53 IN   0806 AM 10/26   CWOP                                 
WASHINGTONVILLE              1.29 IN   0820 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
CHESTER                      1.26 IN   0820 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
MONTGOMERY                   1.18 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 

...PUTNAM COUNTY...
MAHOPAC                      2.74 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
CARMEL HAMLET                1.73 IN   0808 AM 10/26   COOP                 
COLD SPRING                  1.54 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
BREWSTER                     1.14 IN   0830 AM 10/26   NYSM                 

...QUEENS COUNTY...
HOWARD BEACH                 2.46 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
KEW GARDEN HILLS             2.20 IN   0830 AM 10/26   NYSM                 
NYC/JFK AIRPORT              1.76 IN   0751 AM 10/26   ASOS                 
NYC/LA GUARDIA               1.74 IN   0751 AM 10/26   ASOS                 
BELLEROSE                    1.51 IN   0811 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
LITTLE NECK 0.3 SE           1.50 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
QUEENS 2.1 NE                1.03 IN   0610 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             

...RICHMOND COUNTY...
STATEN ISLAND                3.48 IN   0816 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
COLLEGE OF STATEN ISLAND     3.15 IN   0830 AM 10/26   NYSM                 
WESTERLEIGH                  3.02 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS                         
STATEN ISLAND (WILLOWBROOK)  2.56 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             

...ROCKLAND COUNTY...
SPRING VALLEY                3.24 IN   0814 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
SUFFERN                      3.24 IN   0830 AM 10/26   NYSM                 
NANUET                       2.72 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
0.9 N MONTEBELLO             2.68 IN   0800 AM 10/26   HADS                 
NANUET                       2.55 IN   0730 AM 10/26   IFLOWS               
POMONA                       2.47 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
BARDONIA                     2.33 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
MONTEBELLO                   2.29 IN   0819 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
1 NW STONY POINT             2.25 IN   0700 AM 10/26   TRAINED SPOTTER      
STONY POINT                  2.25 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
BLAUVELT                     2.19 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
POMONA                       2.15 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  

...SUFFOLK COUNTY...
RIDGE                        2.67 IN   0819 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
SOUTHOLD                     2.49 IN   0830 AM 10/26   NYSM                 
MATTITUCK                    2.32 IN   0800 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
STONY BROOK                  2.28 IN   0830 AM 10/26   NYSM                 
REMSENBURG                   2.22 IN   0816 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
STONY BROOK                  1.99 IN   0816 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
SMITHTOWN 2.0 SSW            1.92 IN   0800 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
WEST ISLIP                   1.90 IN   0814 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
MILLER PLACE                 1.87 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
NORTH PATCHOGUE              1.86 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
SHIRLEY                      1.86 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
BLUE POINT                   1.86 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
ISLIP AIRPORT                1.86 IN   0825 AM 10/26   ASOS                 
EAST SETAUKET                1.85 IN   0817 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
SELDEN                       1.83 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
SAINT JAMES                  1.81 IN   0814 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
MILLER PLACE                 1.81 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
FARMINGVILLE                 1.79 IN   0817 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
SMITHTOWN                    1.77 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
KINGS PARK                   1.77 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
SHIRLEY AIRPORT              1.77 IN   0828 AM 10/26   ASOS                 
SAYVILLE                     1.76 IN   0819 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
UPTON                        1.73 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COOP                 
GREENLAWN                    1.72 IN   0814 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
BAITING HOLLOW               1.72 IN   0820 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
BLUE POINT                   1.67 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
PORT JEFFERSON STATION       1.66 IN   0750 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
BLUE POINT 0.4 E             1.66 IN   0800 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
PATCHOGUE                    1.65 IN   0816 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
NORTHPORT 1.6 NNE            1.54 IN   0800 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
PATCHOGUE                    1.51 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
HUNTINGTON                   1.51 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
ORIENT POINT                 1.50 IN   0800 AM 10/26   COOP                 
SAGTIKOS PARKWAY             1.50 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
MATTITUCK                    1.49 IN   0819 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
CENTERPORT                   1.48 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COOP                 
FORT SALONGA                 1.46 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
SAYVILLE                     1.45 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
PATCHOGUE 0.9 SE             1.43 IN   0712 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
ORIENT                       1.43 IN   0817 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
SAYVILLE                     1.40 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
WEST BABYLON                 1.40 IN   0817 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
SETAUKET-EAST SETAUKET 0.7 S 1.35 IN   0645 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
ORIENT                       1.32 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
BAY SHORE                    1.30 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
WESTHAMPTON AIRPORT          1.23 IN   0800 AM 10/26   ASOS                 
AMITYVILLE                   1.21 IN   0750 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
EASTPORT                     1.21 IN   0759 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
N. BABYLON                   1.19 IN   0820 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
1 NNE WATERMILL              1.13 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
BRIGHTWATERS                 1.10 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
FARMINGDALE AIRPORT          1.06 IN   0753 AM 10/26   ASOS                 
EASTPORT                     1.05 IN   0745 AM 10/26   RAWS                 
BROOKHAVEN                   1.03 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
BAYPORT 1.0 SSE              1.02 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
WEST GILGO BEACH             1.01 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
NORTH BABYLON                1.00 IN   0812 AM 10/26   CWOP                 

...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...
OSSINING                     2.68 IN   0816 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
THORNWOOD                    2.64 IN   0827 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
NEW ROCHELLE                 2.61 IN   0825 AM 10/26   AWS                  
TARRYTOWN                    2.55 IN   0817 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
MIDLAND PARK                 2.48 IN   0745 AM 10/26   IFLOWS               
SOMERS                       2.42 IN   0830 AM 10/26   NYSM                 
KATONAH                      2.37 IN   0732 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
PEEKSKILL 0.4 N              2.26 IN   0800 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
ARMONK                       2.25 IN   0818 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
PLEASANTVILLE                2.25 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
EASTCHESTER                  2.22 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
NORTH TARRYTOWN              2.13 IN   0829 AM 10/26   AWS                  
ARMONK                       2.09 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
BRIARCLIFF MANOR             2.00 IN   0700 AM 10/26   COCORAHS             
ELMSFORD                     1.84 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
YORKTOWN HEIGHTS             1.82 IN   0825 AM 10/26   AWS                  
CHAPPAQUA                    1.74 IN   0815 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
WHITE PLAINS AIRPORT         1.63 IN   0756 AM 10/26   ASOS                 
PEEKSKILL                    1.37 IN   0818 AM 10/26   CWOP                 
ELMSFORD                     1.34 IN   0829 AM 10/26   AWS                  
SHRUB OAK                    1.30 IN   0630 AM 10/26   COCORAHS                          
RYE                          1.20 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
RYE BROOK                    1.15 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
CROSS RIVER                  1.03 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  
3 ESE GOLDENS BRIDGE         1.01 IN   0830 AM 10/26   AWS                  

&&

[SnoSki14]

Storm is too far east imo.

Thought it would tuck in more but guess not. Don't see much problem with wind except C/E LI.

[NJwx85]

The HRRR doesn't have much of an inversion but the storm will occlude tonight as it rotates West and slowly weakens. It will still pack quite a punch but it will not be as intense the further West it gets.

[weathermedic]

Looks like precip on radar is about to shut off or at least become very light/drizzle for nyc.

[guinness77]

Whoa…thought I had a little longer to secure the backyard (waiting for some lighter precip, lol) and we just got a nice 35/40mph gust and a slightly lighter gust after that. Didn’t think we we’re getting any gusts like that yet. 

[MJO812]

13 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Storm is too far east imo.

Thought it would tuck in more but guess not. Don't see much problem with wind except C/E LI.

Perfect track during the winter 

[ForestHillWx]

Tremendous rain out this way. Thankfully getting a break. Just spent an 1:30 bailing out my basement. Last did that in Ida. Ha. 

[guinness77]

Big gusts coming from the northeast right now. Eerie, it’s either calm as hell or whipping around right now. Looks like we’re getting a little break from the rain at least (for now). 

[Tatamy]

24 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

West of the Hudson 20-30MPH with a few gusts over 40MPH. Hudson river to the Suffolk County line 30-40MPH with a few gusts over 50MPH. Highest potential is Suffolk, especially the North shore for sustained over 40MPH with gusts 60+.

Recent gusts along Fire Island and Gilgo Beach already up to 40 and 44 mph (Davis network).

[wdrag]

30 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said:

Walt: I assume wind potential for us inland folks probably won’t be too significant? I’m thinking maybe higher spots see 40+ gusts but most everywhere sees 20-40.

I agree, maybe few G45 MPH around 5A... b ut also at 11A when a quick 70KT speed max at 850MB rolls westward. BDR now gusting 38 kt. 

[Brian5671]

New NAM crushes LI and SW CT With another 3-5 inches of rain

[lee59]

2,5 inches of rain, still raining. Wind picking up.

[guinness77]

Wind advisory doesn’t start for almost 8 hours from now for me.  
 

lol

[jm1220]

10 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

New NAM crushes LI and SW CT With another 3-5 inches of rain

Yep there's going to be a pivot point somewhere over LI/S CT where the heavy rain will sit and eventually come back south. That's the area that will really get drenched with the 4-5"+ amounts. 

[NJwx85]

19 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

New NAM crushes LI and SW CT With another 3-5 inches of rain

It's just a little too far Northeast. The heaviest axis will be over the Hudson Valley and SW CT. The advance North has stopped and the band is starting to pivot.

[wdrag]

Updated title for damaging wind likely, strongest near sunrise Wed.  This is a big one. Already 4-5" in parts of NJ and another 0.5-1.5" coming north of I78 in NJ thru sunrise Wed.

 

Holding out for lower wind I do not think is prudent in the face of some of the short range guidance repeatedly stating 45-70 MPH gusts (HRRR/HRRRX and 3K NAM).  I could be wrong---not privy to all NWS guidance-analysis but rather not err on the low side. If everyone wakes up with power tomorrow...that's a plus.

[guinness77]

Winds do seem to be subsiding a bit, maybe because that pivot you guys spoke of is in the process of starting (guessing winds picked up in the last hour because that was the end of that band of precip) but I’m already thinking NWS is downplaying these winds. Max gusts on their forecast for the afternoon is “only” 30mph, and I would say we already topped that. Then only calling for 36mph gusts for tonight/early am? I don’t buy that. 
 

Again, thanks for all the info, it’s much appreciated.