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Potential Major Noreaster 10-26 through 10-27


ineedsnow
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2 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Isn’t this really just a dual low set up 

tropical low well off shore gets pulled N then NW and May get far enough NW to crush se areas (if not they stand to see a big bust ) 

meanwhile the trough approaching NJ coast spasms it’s own low which can’t escape East so it just meanders around off NJ (S of L.I) and crushes NJ, NYC, parts of W CT

That's what some of the models are advertising. If the set up you describe occurs..then I could realistically see this being nothing but a cloudy, misty day in our backyard.

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9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Lol 68/62 here. 

70/62 here....warmer over here, lol. Trees are finally starting to change here, just in time for the rain and wind to knock them all off. Last mow of the season yesterday, hopefully. The grass is still quite green in the sunny areas.

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50 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Warm here in Branford and even a bit on the sticky side. 

That's why this looked quasi severe prone in the Euro, three days ago ...  It had that warm sector engulfing the whole region from mid VT-NH and south...

It was then carving the S/W underneath that, which if that ever took place would have been about as extreme a helicity scenario as can be imagine without actually already being inside 2 mile wide wedge ... ha -

No but, the Euro did pretty badly at 72 to 96 hours lead on today's depiction, wrt the position of this lead warm frontal position - which is probably more fairly a stationary BD front looking at the behavior of wind and sat.  The GFS and NAM nailed this - 

Euro is suspect in hidden ways and seems to get away with shit...

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47 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Warm here in Branford and even a bit on the sticky side. 

 

43 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Cool and overcast, very grey and sitting at 55 degrees.  

55 with misery mist at HFD. Feels like November lol

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11 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

70/62 here....warmer over here, lol. Trees are finally starting to change here, just in time for the rain and wind to knock them all off. Last mow of the season yesterday, hopefully. The grass is still quite green in the sunny areas.

I’ve already done two leaf cleanups and your just changing colors lol. 

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5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

That's why this looked quasi severe prone in the Euro, three days ago ...  It had that warm sector engulfing the whole region from mid VT-NH and south...

It was then carving the S/W underneath that, which if that ever took place would have been about as extreme a helicity scenario as can be imagine without actually already being inside 2 mile wide wedge ... ha -

No but, the Euro did pretty badly at 72 to 96 hours lead on today's depiction, wrt the position of this lead warm frontal position - which is probably more fairly a stationary BD front looking at the behavior of wind and sat.  The GFS and NAM nailed this - 

Euro is suspect in hidden ways and seems to get away with shit...

Hopefully the euro supposed wheel house of cold core coastals doesn’t fail us once we get to the season.   

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