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October Discussion: Bring the Frost-Hold the Snow


40/70 Benchmark
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1 hour ago, moneypitmike said:

Wild applause for using a median and not just a mean.  That provides so much more context to what's being depicted.

Now if we can start using SD, people will stop thinking that "normal" and "average" are the same thing.......

Color me still stupid, as the "normals" are 30-year "averages".   However I agree that medians are more valuable than averages, especially in smaller sample sizes.

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29 minutes ago, tamarack said:

Color me still stupid, as the "normals" are 30-year "averages".   However I agree that medians are more valuable than averages, especially in smaller sample sizes.

Don't get me wrong.....there's value in knowing the mean, but to view that as the sole arbiter of 'normal' would be problematic.  If you did, very few days would be "normal".  The vast majority would be either above or below.

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2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It’s also giving clown solutions from Temps barely supportive of snow. Hard sell.

Just looked for the first time in quite some time at a model and it was very marginal on temps thats why i made the comment as well.

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Interesting to see the different traces between sites nearby based on how tucked into the valley they can get.

Some sites as low as 25F locally.  Others barely below freezing just a few hundred feet higher.  Seeing how different elevations react to the cooling with the T/Td separation.

Three sites going down in elevation around the Village:

1200ft… barely below freezing, can see temp/dew separation.

FDBDD676-E5BB-4455-B5D5-068E3DAA18D2.jpeg.b71d3ef07aff6f44bd58acf1d438bfb0.jpeg

800ft much colder at 27F right on the edge of shallow inversion.

C35F9D3C-ECAE-43B0-B5A8-2CA8AE5AC82A.jpeg.4d788a164b54bddb737f8ae7eb130c8e.jpeg

Then 755ft along river just fully under the inversion and an ice box to 25F.

39E1F288-C07B-4080-9DC1-9A9A429C079C.jpeg.f344e7dbf3512e94d43bb1aa9065e30d.jpeg

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4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Got down to 32.5 at my place...going to assume there was a frost, but not there to verify.

Your lawn is a savanna right now. The top of the blades are tickling your temp sensor. 

  • Haha 4
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