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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2021 OBS Thread


Rtd208
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1 hour ago, The Iceman said:

Looks like Sunday is off the table now. All guidance has the clipper fizzling out before it reaches us now and the coastal is too far off the coast to have any effect. Oh well.

Don't look at the GEFS....first half Dec may be off the table too. Thinking a painfully slow start this year then we get chances in early/mid Jan.

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17 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Don't look at the GEFS....first half Dec may be off the table too. Thinking a painfully slow start this year then we get chances in early/mid Jan.

First half looks better than it did weeks ago. We will get chances in December.  2nd half of winter might be the problem. 

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2 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Don't look at the GEFS....first half Dec may be off the table too. Thinking a painfully slow start this year then we get chances in early/mid Jan.

GFS is a waffle house bro, every other day it shows winter of yore in December or spring. But yeah the euro is looking polar vortex consolidated and Pacific flow. 

 

 

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1 hour ago, RedSky said:

GFS is a waffle house bro, every other day it shows winter of yore in December or spring. But yeah the euro is looking polar vortex consolidated and Pacific flow. 

 

 

GEPS is suggesting the same. TPV is anchored, NAO going positive, AO positive, and PNA going negative. The PJ is just ripping. So as usual Nina fashion, which will continue to build into Dec, Southern features will get shredded and PJ clippers will continue to our North. Wont take much from the AO/EPO to nudge the PJ underneath us at times, but the overall theme early is going to be close calls. Mid 40s to low 50s general theme, ie seasonal. 

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Nothing here, kind of a bummer, but I'm also ok with it since I have an 8am flight back to CA tomorrow morning. I do not relish spending the next three weeks out in the Mojave while all of this delicious cold weather is taking place back home, but at least we got all of the Christmas decorations up today, so that will be nice to come home to.

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