Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,501
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ChicagoGuy
    Newest Member
    ChicagoGuy
    Joined

IDA remnants OBS-nowcasts (storm total rain and/or unusual flooding, wind damage-power outage, gusts ~45+ MPH) Wed-Thu morning Sept 1-2, 2021


wdrag
 Share

Recommended Posts

7 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

RGEM did very well. Quite a few of its runs had a swath of 8 to 10 inch rains going across central NJ.

I don't think an assessment of which models performed best is quite so simple. Some were right about the initial bands staying NW but wrong about the quick hitting main show and vice versa. There were different aspects - duration, placement, intensity etc that each model had partly right and partly wrong. I don't think any guidance really nailed the evolution perfectly. And which run(s) do we make the judgement based on? As is often the case, some kind of combination would have worked best.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

south shore of nassau getting hit hard too, news 12 just said everyone on long island will have 4 inches plus before it's all over

 

I don’t know about everyone, probably only nassau, much of suffolk has an inch or less still and the bulk of the remaining rain will miss besides maybe nw suffolk

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

Latest Raritan flooding forecast is several feet less than it was for Floyd, which had record flooding on the Raritan. Will still be major flooding, though according to the graphic, assuming that graphic is correct.  

VO2vpw3.png

Those river forecasts are grossly underestimated at this point. They don't even come close to lining up with the current trajectories unfortunately. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I had to let water out of the pool because it runit over...My rain guage which I think is a jinx because I started using it for Henri...Since then NYC must of had the wettest three week period on record...or close to it...After this storm that guage is going back into retirement...I'll bring it out for snow chances and see if it works that well with snow...

  • Like 1
  • Haha 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, guinness77 said:

Damn. Kicking here now. Worst of the rain and wind right now. Wish I could see any of it. Windiest it’s been all Summer. Almost 40mph probably. Lightning like crazy too. 

thats the only thing, I really wish this happened during the day

I hate night time snowstorms too

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...