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September Discobs 2021


George BM
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From Mount Holly AFD.. Nice.

If you like fall weather, next week is the week for you. Following the cold frontal passage on Tuesday, several days of near to slightly below seasonable temperatures and mainly dry weather are expected. The large scale pattern will be dominated by deep upper level low pressure over New England, which will slowly drift south- southeast through the week. Strong ridging will be present over the Great Lakes and Midwest. Despite the close proximity of the upper low, it is unlikely to be a problem for us, with a lack of moisture and forcing over the mid-Atlantic preventing rainfall. However, the low will serve to keep away the anomalously warm air associated with ridging to our west, which at least for the time being will prevent any resurgence of summer-like air.

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Maybe some small hail with stronger storms on Tuesday.

 

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
A progressive short wave trough will move over the Great Lakes
Monday night with an attendant surface low and cold front moving
towards our region out of southern Canada. While moisture is
still limited, there is still weak instability forecast along
and ahead of the front, so will keep scattered showers and
thunderstorms in the forecast on Tuesday. Steep lapse rates and
the slightly drier mid- level profile could lead to some small
hail with the stronger of these thunderstorms.

  

 

 

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