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Major Hurricane Ida


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1 minute ago, cstrunk said:

 

Well, losing a engine would certainly be a good reason to not fly into a Cat 4 'cane. But what are we doing? Flying WW2 planes into hurricanes? It's 2021 for crying out loud. This program needs more funding.

It’ll be a mixture of highly engineered drones soon I’m thinking. Later human presence will be then evaluated. 
 

there will be humans in the thing I’m guessing either way always obviously regardless 

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4 minutes ago, cstrunk said:

 

Well, losing a engine would certainly be a good reason to not fly into a Cat 4 'cane. But what are we doing? Flying WW2 planes into hurricanes? It's 2021 for crying out loud. This program needs more funding.

Yes, what is going on! These planes have numerous issues season after season! I don't understand...are they old? Is it because they take such a beating? Funding severely lacking? But what is the excuse then for the AF planes, one would imagine there's no lack of funding there?

These planes are so imperative to keeping people safe, I just do not understand why they continue to be plagued with issues.

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 Currently based on Radar, with  a possible more dominant northern vortex. This looks like currently it’s goin straight northly

 

Dynamically it can pull some of the rest  northerly in natural fluidity

 

Next hour will be interesting 

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Eyewall looking less perfect on radar at the moment. Erc? Or just fluctuation?
 
Speaking mostly about how the SW outer band is pulled in.
Visually, Ida is essentially text book for an intensifying eyewall at present. You get deformation from isolated intense cells bursting within the eyewall and as such can lead to meso vortices. Also radar is still long range with the beam height above ~25 k ft at this time; so it is possible the reflectivity dbz of the core band will become more of a bright ring as Ida gets closer and the beam reflects from lower in the eyewall. We're essentially limited to the higher/most intense elongated cells at this height.
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5 minutes ago, Windspeed said:
16 minutes ago, NeonPeon said:
Eyewall looking less perfect on radar at the moment. Erc? Or just fluctuation?
 
Speaking mostly about how the SW outer band is pulled in.

Visually, Ida is essentially text book for an intensifying eyewall at present. You get deformation from isolated intense cells bursting within the eyewall, this leads to mesos. Also radar is still long range with the beam height above ~25 k ft at this time, so it is possible the reflectivity dbz of the core band will become more of a bright ring as Ida gets closer and the beam reflects from lower is the eyewall. We're essentially limited to the higher/most intense elongated cells at this height.

Do more dominant meso(s) have an effect more or less of steer. Wobble more or less?

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I mean, not to be repetitive here with the radar shots, but even at a distance, this is a very impressive eyewall. Ida is putting on a show. Not to sound happy about it either. Just from a meteorological perspective. Obviously this is a dire situation developing for landfall. We're, what, 9 hrs away?6df3231e798823354f3bcb9fc74d2b39.jpg

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Do more dominant meso(s) have an effect more or less of steer. Wobble more or less?
Sure, it's one of many internal structure processes that can cause an eye to wobble. Obviously concentric eyewalls may produce the most evident trichoidal variety. Hurricanes wobble wobble. But it's back and forth micro perturbations within the macro steering flow/motion.
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5 am on Ida

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N  89.1W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  946 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 150SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N  89.1W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  88.7W
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