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Henri: Moderate-Major impacts NYC subforum this weekend, possibly into Monday August 21-23, 2021


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so i was doing some reading and learned Hurricane Sally cost $7.3 billion and was the most expensive storm not to be retired.

kind of funny that Henri is going to be one of the rainiest events ever for NYC and very likely isn't going to be retired, unless it unleashes some serious flood disasters tomorrow as it pivots.

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MOST RECENT DATA: 10pm edt   22-AUG-21
NEW YORK CENTRAL PARK, NY (   89')                   LAT=40.77N LON= 73.98W   
STA     TMP DP RH  WD WS  G PRS  ALT PCPN     CLOUD LEVELS HGT TYP   VIS  WX
NYC  5pm 71 70 96 280  3    085 2981 1.49   11 BKN  48 BKN  75 OVC 1 1/4 RF
     6pm 71 69 93 000  4    083 2980         8 SCT  13 BKN  80 OVC     2 RF
    1820 71 69 93               2981                 7 BKN  12 OVC     3 R-F
    1831 71 69 93 000  4        2980                 9 SCT  15 OVC     4 R-F
    1836 71 69 93 000  3        2981                 9 BKN  17 OVC     4 RF
    1848 72 70 93 000  4        2981        12 BKN 110 BKN  HI ???     5 R-F
     7pm 71 69 93 000  5    086 2981                12 SCT 110 OVC     5 R-F
     8pm 70 68 93           087 2982 1.83   90 SCT 110 BKN 240eOVC     3 R-F
     9pm 71 69 93 230  3    088 2982               120 SCT 250eOVC     3 R-F
    10pm 71 69 93 230  4    089 2982        28 SCT  37 BKN  70 OVC     8
NYC    6 temps: high=  72 at 1848 low=  70 at  8pm mean=  70.8   precip=  1.83 + 4.45 = 6.28" for the last 2 days thru 8pm.

btw:    What caused this deluge in August 2011?      It is not Irene.       That was at the end of the month.

https://weatherinnyc.blogspot.com/2011/08/aug-14-2011-storm-updates.html

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6 minutes ago, CIK62 said:
MOST RECENT DATA: 10pm edt   22-AUG-21
NEW YORK CENTRAL PARK, NY (   89')                   LAT=40.77N LON= 73.98W   
STA     TMP DP RH  WD WS  G PRS  ALT PCPN     CLOUD LEVELS HGT TYP   VIS  WX
NYC  5pm 71 70 96 280  3    085 2981 1.49   11 BKN  48 BKN  75 OVC 1 1/4 RF
     6pm 71 69 93 000  4    083 2980         8 SCT  13 BKN  80 OVC     2 RF
    1820 71 69 93               2981                 7 BKN  12 OVC     3 R-F
    1831 71 69 93 000  4        2980                 9 SCT  15 OVC     4 R-F
    1836 71 69 93 000  3        2981                 9 BKN  17 OVC     4 RF
    1848 72 70 93 000  4        2981        12 BKN 110 BKN  HI ???     5 R-F
     7pm 71 69 93 000  5    086 2981                12 SCT 110 OVC     5 R-F
     8pm 70 68 93           087 2982 1.83   90 SCT 110 BKN 240eOVC     3 R-F
     9pm 71 69 93 230  3    088 2982               120 SCT 250eOVC     3 R-F
    10pm 71 69 93 230  4    089 2982        28 SCT  37 BKN  70 OVC     8
NYC    6 temps: high=  72 at 1848 low=  70 at  8pm mean=  70.8   precip=  1.83 + 4.45 = 6.28" for the last 2 days thru 8pm.

That source is way off for today’s rainfall. At 4 pm, the daily climate summary showed 1.90”. More fell since then.

000
CDUS41 KOKX 222034
CLINYC

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY
434 PM EDT SUN AUG 22 2021

...................................

...THE CENTRAL PARK NY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR AUGUST 22 2021...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1869 TO 2021


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR
                                                  NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
 TODAY
  MAXIMUM         76    408 AM  95    1916  83     -7       88
  MINIMUM         71    253 PM  52    1895  68      3       73
  AVERAGE         74                        76     -2       81

PRECIPITATION (IN)
  TODAY            1.90R         1.85 1994   0.14   1.76      T
  MONTH TO DATE    7.81                      3.31   4.50     4.24
  SINCE JUN 1     21.52                     12.45   9.07    12.58
  SINCE JAN 1     39.42                     31.62   7.80    26.97

 

 

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1 hour ago, CIK62 said:
MOST RECENT DATA: 10pm edt   22-AUG-21
NEW YORK CENTRAL PARK, NY (   89')                   LAT=40.77N LON= 73.98W   
STA     TMP DP RH  WD WS  G PRS  ALT PCPN     CLOUD LEVELS HGT TYP   VIS  WX
NYC  5pm 71 70 96 280  3    085 2981 1.49   11 BKN  48 BKN  75 OVC 1 1/4 RF
     6pm 71 69 93 000  4    083 2980         8 SCT  13 BKN  80 OVC     2 RF
    1820 71 69 93               2981                 7 BKN  12 OVC     3 R-F
    1831 71 69 93 000  4        2980                 9 SCT  15 OVC     4 R-F
    1836 71 69 93 000  3        2981                 9 BKN  17 OVC     4 RF
    1848 72 70 93 000  4        2981        12 BKN 110 BKN  HI ???     5 R-F
     7pm 71 69 93 000  5    086 2981                12 SCT 110 OVC     5 R-F
     8pm 70 68 93           087 2982 1.83   90 SCT 110 BKN 240eOVC     3 R-F
     9pm 71 69 93 230  3    088 2982               120 SCT 250eOVC     3 R-F
    10pm 71 69 93 230  4    089 2982        28 SCT  37 BKN  70 OVC     8
NYC    6 temps: high=  72 at 1848 low=  70 at  8pm mean=  70.8   precip=  1.83 + 4.45 = 6.28" for the last 2 days thru 8pm.

btw:    What caused this deluge in August 2011?      It is not Irene.       That was at the end of the month.

https://weatherinnyc.blogspot.com/2011/08/aug-14-2011-storm-updates.html

that was training storms I believe we got 10" in southwest Nassau too!  Do you have JFK totals for that storm?

 

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42 minutes ago, guinness77 said:

I couldn’t get a good picture of it with my phone, but the moon looks absolutely gorgeous right now, it’s very comfortable out and not a breeze to be felt. If you had told me this even just 24 hours ago I would have said you were crazy. 

Yeah I was suprised to see it but it sure is bright, with thin clouds racing by in front

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Wantage NJ (this part) in extreme nw NJ.  5.10" since 9PM/21, includes 4.1 yesterday most of which feel between 6P and 9P/22.  For an early look 8AM/22 to 4AM/23...radar multi sensor rainfall...conservative for sure but the idea of max axis. I say give the SPC HREF some props, as well as sometimes the HRRR,  often the HRRRX, and even the GGEM tho it was wayyyy off on tracking Henri. I'll add a very general wrap on the storm and CoCoRAHS 2 day acscums, probably this evening around 9P> 

Screen Shot 2021-08-23 at 4.53.51 AM.png

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Boy did my area luck out with the rain yesterday and last night.    Probably not even an inch yet.   I was basically dry slotted all day in Eastern Orange county....I know more is still out there, but right now I'm basically back smack in the middle in the dry/drizzle slot

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12 minutes ago, nyrangers1022 said:

Boy did my area luck out with the rain yesterday and last night.    Probably not even an inch yet.   I was basically dry slotted all day in Eastern Orange county....I know more is still out there, but right now I'm basically back smack in the middle in the dry/drizzle slot

Interesting, West Point had 2.40” and one of our regular posters from New Windsor had just over 2”, 2.92” here in Campbell Hall. 

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11 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

Interesting, West Point had 2.40” and one of our regular posters from New Windsor had just over 2”, 2.92” here in Campbell Hall. 

I don't have a gauge, but it was drizzle most of the day, and dry for s couple hours too here.  Couple heavy showers that lasted 5-10 minutes.    No idea what it did overnight tho. Although in a moderate shower now

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