David-LI Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Just now, Sn0waddict said: Um that’s not the 993mb low the other maps shows. Wtf! My guess is that some websites use their own calculations with data provided by the model to produce a map. Hence the discrepancy in pressure on different websites. That's just a guess I have no idea how it works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I'd say that for the power infrasturre (1/3 of CT loses power everytime Kevin farts). For most of us, I think we're done. A little breeze, a little rain. We meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: The trees are blocking the wind but I can hear it just above them. Poundmetown winds. I thought I was going to get struck by lightning on my jog (CGs 5 miles away). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 8" of rain on the UK in NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 ...Been told by work to be prepared to come in Sunday....Making preparations around town right now to protect some of our more vulnerable buildings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Always good to see when JB is levelheaded and doing his best to calm the masses 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 20 minutes ago, csnavywx said: That very well may just be convection wrapping upshear as the shear magnitude lessens (down to ~13 kt on CIMSS, probably sinking <20 in the mid-upper levels). Yeah on visible it still looks to have a slight westerly component. I wouldn't be surprised to see the LLC loop into the MLC as shear decreases later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 I was just looking at the tide charts for NYC ... Looks like the 8:55 am Sunday tide ..should the west correction become more real, is unfortunately timed rather well with the approach to the coast that morning. If this thing is a category 2 and it is moving headlong, bee-lined into the Bite region on top of that high tide cycle... oy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 HMON into NJ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 minute ago, Sn0waddict said: HMON into NJ?? Could be... it's way west at 48 compared to last run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 With the last 24 hour inevitable Messenger ticks east that always occur .. let’s have today’s runs show as far west as possible .. before they correct east overnight and tomorrow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TPAwx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 You really don’t want that HMON solution up yonder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 LOL HMON into C-NJ...I have never really followed it much but I think the HWRF tends to be way more accurate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: LOL HMON into C-NJ...I have never really followed it much but I think the HWRF tends to be way more accurate LOL I was just noticing that quote from me you have in your sig...I remember I made that out of frustration when the GFS pulled the rug out and a good snow event ended up a rainer. I was so pissed bc I was calling for a huge snow month, which eventually worked out, thankfully lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 I'm not buying this far swing west until we see some consistency. Just like when it swung east a day or two ago. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I was just looking at the tide charts for NYC ... Looks like the 8:55 am Sunday tide ..should the west correction become more real, is unfortunately timed rather well with the approach to the coast that morning. If this thing is a category 2 and it is moving headlong, bee-lined into the Bite region on top of that high tide cycle... oy As a benefit will see how much was (not) learned post Sandy. A microcosm of our macroeconomic system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Oh to be a fly on the wall at OKX or BOX right now. Obviously a busy couple of days ahead for all of them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Oof that HMON run brings worst case scenario surge into NY harbor... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 HWRF actually much more east from 6z. And HMON goes into Asbury park. LOL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 HWRF east at 12z. Not surprised. It's also the leading hurricane model in medium range 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 minute ago, DotRat_Wx said: HWRF east at 12z. Not surprised. It's also the leading hurricane model in medium range 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Just now, DotRat_Wx said: HWRF east at 12z. Not surprised. It's also the leading hurricane model in medium range Thats basically the first model to shift east in 36 hours but given the WAR I feel that is too east...maybe only by 20-30 miles but right now I still say this comes in near HTO or a bit west. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: HWRF actually much more east from 6z. And HMON goes into Asbury park. LOL. Which ironically may become "ass - buried" park. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: Fun time for Hoth on Fishers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Which ironically may become "ass - buried" park. Full fist 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Hammer time for BI on that run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 HWRF is east... landfall is at Watch Hill, RI... continues NW trajectory into CT... huge difference from HMON lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 6 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: That might actually bring surge waters into downtown Providence in that scenario. I think who's a 1938 aficionado ...I'm almost certain there's a high-water mark around Town Hall that has the 1938 ... I may be fantasizing that ... but, that Buzzard Bay in a bad bad spot for that stream line analysis - heh. Actually edit: that's kind of a weaker system there... well, maybe not. But if a stronger system moving into that position would be - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said: HWRF is east... landfall is at Watch Hill, RI... continues NW trajectory into CT... huge difference from HMON lol... Worst case scenario for Cat 1 for Misquamicut Charlestown barrier beaches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 HMON likely Ron Washington of tropical models. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now