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Hurricane Henri


WxWatcher007
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1 minute ago, turtlehurricane said:

GFS keeps shifting west. Last night it was eastern New England, today New York City. In a couple more days we will know for sure, but I’ll say now this has a high probability to be the Northeast Hurricane that all the weather enthusiasts up there have been waiting for. 

Isn’t it moving a bit too slow for that though?

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1 hour ago, turtlehurricane said:

GFS keeps shifting west. Last night it was eastern New England, today New York City. In a couple more days we will know for sure, but I’ll say now this has a high probability to be the Northeast Hurricane that all the weather enthusiasts up there have been waiting for. 

You need a fast moving hurricane traveling over 20mph to do that lol. since its going to be a slow mover its going to spend too much time over cold water that can't sustain anything super strong. it definitely could be new englands first hurricane in 30 years but not anything like the cat 3's that have struck it if it's slow

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56 minutes ago, WeatherAU said:

Lots to talk about the recent 12z GFS run.

This is MDL - Main Development Low ::: Mason Dixon Line is similar but call it this way - no problemo...

It is a line that tells how far a TC needs to go to potentially affect Central NJ works for Nor'Easters as well

 

Stop posting crap

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19 minutes ago, TheDreamTraveler said:

You need a fast moving hurricane traveling over 20mph to do that lol. since its going to be a slow mover its going to spend too much time over cold water that can't sustain anything super strong. it definitely could be new englands first hurricane in 30 years but not anything like the cat 3's that have struck it if it's slow

21 hours ago, MattPetrulli said:

Clear trend on last few GFS runs to the west with a faster storm

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_fh120_trend.gif

You are correct concerning the wind threat, which is what most weenies crave.  The coastal flooding and precip of course could be higher end, even historic

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3 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

You are correct concerning the wind threat, which is what most weenies crave.  The coastal flooding and precip of course could be higher end, even historic

Yeah the surge and flooding could be bad. The thing that worries me is a ton of people there have never experienced a hurricane in their lives because Bob was 30 years ago. I doubt there's a lot who even know what to do in case of a hurricane right now

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5 hours ago, turtlehurricane said:

GFS keeps shifting west. Last night it was eastern New England, today New York City. In a couple more days we will know for sure, but I’ll say now this has a high probability to be the Northeast Hurricane that all the weather enthusiasts up there have been waiting for. 

My chase of Fred was a bust, however your post has me on high alert .

This has all the potential to be worse than Sandy.  Going to begin enacting our family evacuation plans tomorrow if these trends continue. 

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5 minutes ago, SandySurvivor said:

My chase of Fred was a bust, however your post has me on high alert .

This has all the potential to be worse than Sandy.  Going to begin enacting our family evacuation plans tomorrow if these trends continue. 

You’re funny. Obviously not serious 

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0Z UKMET: more ominous run for CT/RI/inland MA as it goes NNW to near RI/CT border and then continued NNW into west central MA

 TROPICAL STORM HENRI      ANALYSED POSITION : 29.7N  68.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082021

                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND
      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)
      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------
    0000UTC 19.08.2021    0  29.7N  68.2W      999            50
    1200UTC 19.08.2021   12  29.5N  70.6W      984            64
    0000UTC 20.08.2021   24  29.4N  72.7W      978            74
    1200UTC 20.08.2021   36  29.7N  74.3W      977            66
    0000UTC 21.08.2021   48  30.6N  74.7W      974            73
    1200UTC 21.08.2021   60  32.7N  73.9W      967            79
    0000UTC 22.08.2021   72  36.1N  72.4W      958            85
    1200UTC 22.08.2021   84  39.9N  71.5W      958            81
    0000UTC 23.08.2021   96  42.0N  72.0W      984            44 (CT/MA border)
    1200UTC 23.08.2021  108  43.0N  72.4W     1001            25 
    0000UTC 24.08.2021  120  43.2N  71.8W     1005            19
    1200UTC 24.08.2021  132  43.8N  69.4W     1007            19
    0000UTC 25.08.2021  144              CEASED TRACKING

 

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