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August 9-12, 2021 Severe Threats


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5 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

cell approaching 90 in wi looks solid

that one is so close. once it moves right and interacts with the boundary in the next hour, look out. Any of these tail-end charlies have the best chance of remaining more discrete and interacting with the outflow from this morning. 

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Those storms moving through MI kind of fell apart as they moved into Detroit. It seems residual wake subsidence from the storms last night / this morning is the reason why. 

Probably still producing some modest outflow wind, but the lightning is virtually all gone and the returns aren't nearly as ominous. 

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29 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said:

As in the city in Green County, not Monroe County, correct?

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Green County.

Reasoning would have been... Better terrain, is still a quality environment as activity would work in.

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storms have seemed to weaken a bit over the past hour, not sure if reached some more statically stable air or other impact from the morning convection.   will have to keep an eye out if this trend continues or if there is an uptick in intensity.  The exception is the tail end storm near Prairie du Chien.   that thing has been producing monster overshooting tops for the past half hour.

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storms have seemed to weaken a bit over the past hour, not sure if reached some more statically stable air or other impact from the morning convection.   will have to keep an eye out if this trend continues or if there is an uptick in intensity.  The exception is the tail end storm near Prairie du Chien.   that thing has been producing monster overshooting tops for the past half hour.
Also in awful terrain.

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Tell tale sign has been the lack of cumulus forming in the free warm sector.   Only have cumulus forming closer to the front with the gravity wave perturbations showing the stable layer in the atmosphere.   Definitely a combo of the cap and outflow from morning convection like @Chicago Storm said

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  • Hoosier changed the title to August 9-12, 2021 Severe Threats
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