Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2021


WxWatcher007
 Share

Recommended Posts

Probably need to consider that late mid range look in the GFS off the SE U.S. coast. 

That's -NAO incarnate with that easterly flow setting up.  It's a region of enhanced cyclogenic properties in having warm easterly theta-e long fetch piling into a region with relatively cooler anticyclone ..stalled and anchored over New England and the lower Martime.   A slowly evolving cyclogen that gradually phase transitions hybrid sas some climate presentation to go with theory.  .. for now, most favorable region is S of the Va Capes and NE of Tal. FL

The 006 z GFS has the same sort of cyclogenic synoptic evolution, but actually pulls a real TC into the mess of it.  Regardless, all models indicate the evolution of a large lower troposphere blocking anticyclone N, with that eventual inverted trough and easterly flow into that region. 

 

 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 1 month later...

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...