Ginx snewx Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 28 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Nope. 0.0% Day later 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 On 9/2/2021 at 10:15 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just entered my radar, but still not interested. 30 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This was never interesting in the least to me...not for a second. I know the trend has reversed, but even before that. 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Day later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 Thankfully shear looks a bit unfavorable in the Gulf this week but that tropical wave which emerges into the Gulf is sure going to try I bet 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Thankfully shear looks a bit unfavorable in the Gulf this week but that tropical wave which emerges into the Gulf is sure going to try I bet Yea, its watchable, but my interest is pretty tempered...not only battling shear, as you mentioned, but lots of land interaction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 I think the fact that the NHC headline in relation to Larry has included some mention of "rip currents" all week has continued to reveal all you need to know about their stance on the storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, its watchable, but my interest is pretty tempered...not only battling shear, as you mentioned, but lots of land interaction. Agreed. I mean if anything, torrential rains and gusty winds could certainly cause a bit of a setback with power restorations and clean-up. Last I heard there are still many people without running water and access to clean water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 Larry is juicing up this afternoon we rip current lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Larry is juicing up this afternoon we rip current lol In the words of the early 90s Rap Group Das Efx.....Yiggity Yawn. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 7 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Larry is juicing up this afternoon we rip current lol Here's your Larry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 Pickles boy Larry 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 Larry getting no respect but will be dropping double overhead bombs at a point near you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 Here he comes …. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 Might be east of the Andrea Gale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 Looks like it crossed the 15th parallel closer to 42 W ...where as that EPS mean has it crossing(ed) back near 40 (~40.5W) That subtle variance means almost nothing in the near term ... but could imply there is a model bias-tug to pull it N prematurely in general. Other than that ... yeah, the attitude in the models has stopped .. or even reversed in some cases, trying to draw Larry out early. There was steady left correction for about three days ...not huge, but 100 to 200 naut mi per cycle, more noticeable accumulated by the 96 to 120 hour range. 00z last night behavior stopped pretty hard. Watch the convection flaring east of the TUTT off the SE U.S. coast ... that could dump some latent head E and S of whatever that is. For that matter, am noticing the TUTT has a pretty robust circulation identity - The "Schwoeglerian" almost wonders if these guidance' are using it/mistaking it as a steering field. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 18z GFS a little west but still far out Bermuda needs to watch for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 21 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 18z GFS a little west but still far out Bermuda needs to watch for now Certainly did come west a bit...I can tell b/c the western fringe of it makes an appearance in the window on the US View on the Cod maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 2 hours ago, ineedsnow said: Bye Larry Cosgrove 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 Gfs is still a miss but is it possible both lows can phase with each other and cause a fujiwhara? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 Cmc LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 10 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Cmc LOL I've never felt safer. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 2 hours ago, MJO812 said: Gfs is still a miss but is it possible both lows can phase with each other and cause a fujiwhara? No h watch this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 I've never seen this before. The GFS was too far NE across the Basin in the early days...but by D7 lead it corrected.. In all, the blend NAILED Larry's track guidance from 8 days out. Other than very trivial nuances that really don't mean anything - there's not been substantive deviation. There were a couple days of left correction but in the time, those were not nearly enough to matter or really change expectations. Amazing. Track guidance in practice and science has certainly improved over the years but I wonder if this is just an easy scenario for the technology, too. We are not typically that confidence in a D8 position over the MDR - lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 Tropics are boring right now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 14 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Tropics are boring right now Good news. I'm ok with a more stable regime for a few weeks. October usually has some fun and games. Let the rivers / water tables recede and let some people recover. I like exciting weather like anyone ,but the human/ infrastructure toll has been sad to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 Ya maybe in October we can get a tropical disturbance turned snow maker , like last year (zeta) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 36 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Tropics are boring right now 91L now up to 40 percent.. That might be one to watch doesnt look half bad today.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 10 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 91L now up to 40 percent.. That might be one to watch doesnt look half bad today.. That’s probably going to continue east into the Atlantic after Florida anyway, no? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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