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Central PA - Summer 2021


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CTP had good info in their discussion today.

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1045 AM/1445Z update:

Some adjustments to the forecast and HWO product, as per SPC
outlook for this aft. Main change was an increase in concern
for strong to severe winds with storms this afternoon across
north central PA. Showers and storms moving just north of east,
at about 35 knots, so not seeing a threat of flooding. Limiting
factor is dewpoints not expected to be all that high. Main
support is a rather strong upper level trough moving across the
region for the first day of August. Most of the activity will be
between 18 and 00Z.

Earlier discussion below.

715AM/1115Z: Near term fcst is in pretty good shape and
therefore no significant changes with the final midshift update.
Showers/storms will initially be focused over the far northwest
and southeast portions of the CWA through midday. Latest hires
data continues to suggest a line of convection capable of
producing strong to locally damaging winds will push southeast
across CPA between 18Z-24Z.

 

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3 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

My post didn't age well. A downpour ensued right after I posted. Approaching a quarter inch already.

 

46 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

There is a bit of training going on West of E-Town.  Not super heavy but same areas keep getting rain.  Some areas over 3/4". 

Yeah I’ve noticed that, would love for some of that action to make its way over here but it doesn’t seem to want to move much. I only have ~.05 so far.  We’ll see what that line brings with it later this evening. 

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The darkness and increased winds have arrived but Williamsport is not part of the 4:14pm Special Weather Statement issued for nearby places due to thunderstorms.  Now I hear the thunder.  Let us see what we get.

4:57 Update.  Now we are included.  So far we have gotten thunder without lightening and the rain is not as bad as I thought it might be.

ISSUED: 4:52 PM AUG. 1, 2021 – NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PARTS OF SOUTHERN LYCOMING...
SOUTHERN CLINTON...UNION...NORTHUMBERLAND...MONTOUR...JUNIATA...
HUNTINGDON...MIFFLIN...SNYDER...AND SOUTHERN CENTRE COUNTIES UNTIL
530 PM EDT...

At 450 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated strong thunderstorms along a
line extending from near Petersburg to Williamsport moving east
southeast at 40 mph.

5:20 By the way, from our Area Forecast Discussion:

CLIMATE...
July 2021 ranked as the 10th wettest at Williamsport (4.64"|
+2.35") 9th wettest at Harrisburg (8.00"|+3.26") and 3rd
wettest at Bradford (4.16"|+2.59").

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3 hours ago, Bubbler86 said:

There is a bit of training going on West of E-Town.  Not super heavy but same areas keep getting rain.  Some areas over 3/4". 

 

2 hours ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

 

Yeah I’ve noticed that, would love for some of that action to make its way over here but it doesn’t seem to want to move much. I only have ~.05 so far.  We’ll see what that line brings with it later this evening. 

.37" here so far today.

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1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said:

Radar does not look great for areas south of Harrisburg so probably good you scored just in case.   Maybe something more develops in the next hour or two.   But I just watered the grass as I am not optimistic down here. 

Did you water the grass at the golf course as well.  Thanks in advance.  

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