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June 2021


Stormlover74
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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

The Euro has low 90s for us and mid to upper 90s in Maine.

 

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026D2142-CBE0-4F4A-958E-638988169A05.thumb.png.155efb8265b0a074a86bd5795f1c10da.png

 

Are we sure we are not getting this confused with the worthless  GFS.          The EURO has no 90's for NYC>

1624384800-AYhLbXf8Hhs.png

 

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The last 8 days of June are averaging 77degs.(68/85), or +1.0.

Month to date is  73.1[+2.2].       June should end near  73.6[+1.6].

July Fourth WE again looking like a rainout.

56*(75%RH) here at 6am, m. clear.         67* by Noon.

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Morning thoughts...

This morning, temperatures were in the 50s across the region. 7 am temperatures included: Albany: 50°; Allentown: 51°; Bridgeport: 58°; Islip: 57°; New York City: 57°; Newark: 57°;  Philadelphia: 57°; Poughkeepsie: 52°; and White Plains: 55°.

Brilliant sunshine will be accompanied by a refreshing breeze. After a cool start, temperatures will likely reach the upper 70s in most places today.  Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 77°

Newark: 80°

Philadelphia: 77°

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 82.0°; 15-Year: 81.9°

Newark: 30-Year: 84.3°; 15-Year: 84.3°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 85.5°; 15-Year: 85.7°

Tomorrow will be fair and pleasant.

An extreme to perhaps historic heatwave will likely begin to descend on the Pacific Northwest on Friday. At its height numerous June and perhaps all-time high temperature records will tumble, including at Portland and Seattle.

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1 hour ago, CIK62 said:

The last 8 days of June are averaging 77degs.(68/85), or +1.0.

Month to date is  73.1[+2.2].       June should end near  73.6[+1.6].

July Fourth WE again looking like a rainout.

56*(75%RH) here at 6am, m. clear.

You always say the weekend is looking like a rainout. One of these days it will happen :)

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Our area may be able to challenge the June 500mb height record next week. Looks like the OKX record for June is near 595 dm. The PAC NW all-time record could fall with heights above 597 dm. It appears that these record breaking ridges that get stuck in place are related to areas of marine heatwaves and drought on land. We have seen frequent near to record WAR amplifications near the Northeast in recent years with the record SSTs east of New England. The Western US has also experienced record ridging in association with the warm blob off the West Coast and historic drought conditions. So these features seem to go together. 

107F0CF3-4627-497C-B6B1-9D4531558700.thumb.png.77fd53df42de2f734db3c12538c4e883.png


8ACD3A68-5109-4D60-A648-AC2F575BEE4D.gif.bd0f079dc417da0798624b4a4e779a42.gif

18EA209F-7BAB-4DB1-ABD7-418FFA95ECEE.png.55802f5cbd6ff7ae95c4f40fa72df6a1.png

 

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48 hours of California like weather before Miami pattern arrives.  Dry, sunny and very nice out mid 70s to near 80 today (wed) and Thu (6/24).  Transition to a more southerly / humid flow and warmer temperatures.  Western Atlantic Ridge builds back west 6/27 into July.  Humid and warm - hot a times. 90s potential 6/28  into July.  Increased rain / storms chances in a Miami style pattern.  Way beyond it continues to look overall warm to hot as the W Atalntic Ridge looks to grow along the east coast, need to watch as pieces of the western heat migrate east and merge with the eastern ridge.

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42 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Our area may be able to challenge the June 500mb height record next week. Looks like the OKX record for June is near 595 dm. The PAC NW all-time record could fall with heights above 597 dm. It appears that these record breaking ridges that get stuck in place are related to areas of marine heatwaves and drought on land. We have seen frequent near to record WAR amplifications near the Northeast in recent years with the record SSTs east of New England. The Western US has also experienced record ridging in association with the warm blob off the West Coast and historic drought conditions. So these features seem to go together. 

107F0CF3-4627-497C-B6B1-9D4531558700.thumb.png.77fd53df42de2f734db3c12538c4e883.png


8ACD3A68-5109-4D60-A648-AC2F575BEE4D.gif.bd0f079dc417da0798624b4a4e779a42.gif

18EA209F-7BAB-4DB1-ABD7-418FFA95ECEE.png.55802f5cbd6ff7ae95c4f40fa72df6a1.png

 

Hopefully that ridge shifts further SW so we can get a drier albeit hotter pattern rather than a hot and humid one

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