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May 2021 Discussion


weatherwiz
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21 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

What I would really like to see is data going back say over the last 50 years showing the number of like 60+, 70+, 80+ days during the months of March, April, and May and see if there has been an increase in the number of days for these occurrences over the years (I think we know the answer to this but would be nice to see). 

No idea whether the format will arrive as I now see it, or all scrambled.  :wacko2:     Worth noting is that thru August 1966 the obs sites (moved a few times) were all in town on relatively level ground.  In Sept that year the obs moved to the present site 1.5 miles to the north, in a residential  area along Rt 4, on a sidehill with fields below and woods above, though the instrument site is flat.  Other than the warm mid-20th and a slight warming in the past 2 decades, not much to see.  Only 2 years, 1917 and 1924, failed to reach 60 in March, 70 in April or 80 in May.

WARM SPRING DAYS   FARMINGTON, MAINE CO-OP                  
                               
  March Years 60-64 Years 65-69 Years 70-74 Years 75+ Years Per. Tot. Years Zero years  
  93-00 8 2 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 4 2 6     all but 93,94
  01-10 10 10 6 1 1 2 1 1 1 14 6 4     01,06,08,09
1913 msg 11-20 9 11 3 1 1 2 1 0 0 14 3 6    11,12,14,15,18,19
  21-30 10 5 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 6    23,24,26,28-30
  31-40 10 3 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 4 2 8    all but 36,38
  41-50 10 13 4 2 2 1 1 2 2 18 5 5   41-44,47  
  51-60 10 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 9  all but 53  
1970 msg 61-70 9 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 7   61,64-69  
  71-80 10 7 4 1 1 1 1 0 0 9 5 5   71,72,75,78,80
  81-90 10 2 2 6 5 3 2 0 0 11 6 4   82-84,88  
  91-00 10 6 5 3 2 2 1 0 0 11 5 5   92,94-97  
  01-10 10 7 4 1 1 1 1 0 0 9 4 6   01,03-05,08,09
  11-20 10 7 3 0 0 1 1 4 1 12 3 7   13-15,17-20
                               
    126 74 31.75% 19 13.49% 15 8.73% 7 3.17% 115 38.10% 61.90%    
                Total         Total      % 1+   Total      % 1+         Total        % 1+           Total        % 1+         Total       % 1+    % zero    
  Average per decade 5.69   1.46   1.15   0.54   8.85        
                               
                               
  APRIL Years 70-74 Years 75-79 Years 80-84 Years 85+ Years Per. Tot. Years Zero years  
  93-00 8 13 6 11 5 5 4 2 2 31 6 2    93,98  
  01-10 10 4 3 7 6 1 1 0 0 12 7 3    04,06,09  
  11-20 10 12 7 5 5 6 3 1 1 24 9 1 1917  
  21-30 10 15 7 6 5 1 1 3 2 25 8 2    24, 26  
  31-40 10 16 8 7 5 4 3 2 1 29 9 1 1939  
  41-50 10 16 8 8 4 4 3 3 2 31 8 2    44, 50  
  51-60 10 12 7 4 2 1 1 0 0 17 7 3    53,56,60  
  61-70 10 4 3 1 1 2 2 0 0 7 4 6    61,63,65-67,69
  71-80 10 10 5 7 3 2 1 2 1 21 5 5     71,72,75,78,80
  81-90 10 12 6 10 5 1 1 1 1 24 8 2    88, 89  
  91-00 10 10 4 1 1 1 1 0 0 12 6 4    93,95,97,99
  01-10 10 15 8 9 7 5 4 2 1 31 10 0    
  11-20 10 13 8 6 2 1 1 0 0 20 8 2    14,20  
                               
    128 152 62.50% 82 39.84% 34 20.31% 16 8.59% 284 74.22% 25.78%    
                Total       Total      % 1+  Total      % 1+         Total      % 1+         Total        % 1+         Total       % 1+      % zero    
  Average per decade 11.69   6.31   2.62   1.23   21.85        
                               
                               
  MAY Years 80-84 Years 85-89 Years 90-94 Years 95+ Years Per. Tot. Years Zero years  
  93-00 8 22 8 13 5 8 4 2 1 45 8 0    
1909 msg 01-10 9 21 8 6 4 1 1 0 0 28 9 0    
  11-20 10 27 8 10 5 5 2 1 1 43 9 1 1917  
  21-30 10 18 6 8 3 5 3 1 1 32 7 3    24,25,27  
  31-40 10 27 10 24 8 3 1 2 2 56 10 0    
  41-50 10 31 9 13 7 3 2 0 0 47 9 1 1945  
  51-60 10 30 10 14 6 1 1 0 0 45 10 10    
  61-70 10 19 8 7 5 2 1 1 1 29 9 1 1967  
  71-80 10 9 6 10 6 6 4 1 1 26 9 1 1973  
  81-90 10 21 9 6 5 0 0 0 0 27 9 1 1983  
  91-00 10 11 6 6 4 3 1 0 0 20 7 3    95,97,00  
  01-10 10 14 7 10 6 3 3 0 0 27 8 2    05, 08  
  11-20 10 18 8 11 5 2 2 0 0 31 8 2     14, 19  
                               
    127 268 81.10% 138 54.33% 42 19.69% 8 5.51% 456 88.19% 19.69%    
                   Total          Total      % 1+   Total      % 1+         Total      % 1+        Total        % 1+          Total       % 1+        % zero    
  Average per decade 20.62   10.62   3.23   0.62   35.08        
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3 hours ago, jbenedet said:

Nova Scotia has been taking the brunt of every nor-Easter since February it seems. 
 

Eastern sections of the subforum missed a BIG second half of winter by ~150 miles. 

No Stein up this way that’s for sure !  

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There's a personal preference for every degree on the temperature scale, and every watt per square meter along the sun on the dial. 

I have noticed a 'grousing bias' tendency during days of pall overcast.   Doesn't even matter as much if it is dry - just cloudy.  Hearkens to a touch of s.a.d. maybe? 

For me it is temperatures ... particularly, in the spring.  Bad temperature days can get me a tad disillusioned ... and if there happens to be an over-arcing theme of Pandemic and climate catastrophe, gun violence, WOKE oppressive fascism and lack of getting laid, that makes the former magnified.  

It would be nice to put down the internet, television, ...iphones and the like, and wonder through parks and farmer's markets, arts shows and picnic venues, under a nape bake light wind conveying lilac memories instead of all that bleakness, huh - 

Still, at least it is not wet.  At least the next time it is schedule to get wet, is overnight tomorrow night, leaving Sunday's sun and razor lower level warmth in light wind, unscathed. 

I don't think we're escaping the packing pellet air mass during the first half of the week - it may not do that under any virga busted cu fall, but the air mass would support it. And thus completing the 7th f'ing year in a row of stolen May calendar space in row, with this weird shit. 

I just hope that afterwards... round day 5, the Euro camp is right about the defined moderation of the 850 mb layout... In fact, from that point until D10 ..those 5 days show an abeyance of cold intrusions into the GL/OV/NE of 0C air at that baser metrical sigma level.   With west wind tendencies much of the time, and no real apparent theta-e transport, that may finally get us into a 70+ actual repetition of subsequent afternoons for the first time.  Not these drive-by warm pop shots followed by garden stunter CAA deals.  This bs is causing our montly means to be above normal, while concealing how cold it is synoptically.   Global warming seems almost as much about hiding itself insidiously - I wonder if the models forecast that:  'fantastically above normal while freezing ballz off'

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48 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

There's a personal preference for every degree on the temperature scale, and every watt per square meter along the sun on the dial. 

I have noticed a 'grousing bias' tendency during days of pall overcast.   Doesn't even matter as much if it is dry - just cloudy.  Hearkens to a touch of s.a.d. maybe? 

For me it is temperatures ... particularly, in the spring.  Bad temperature days can get me a tad disillusioned ... and if there happens to be an over-arcing theme of Pandemic and climate catastrophe, gun violence, WOKE oppressive fascism and lack of getting laid, that makes the former magnified.  

It would be nice to put down the internet, television, ...iphones and the like, and wonder through parks and farmer's markets, arts shows and picnic venues, under a nape bake light wind conveying lilac memories instead of all that bleakness, huh - 

Still, at least it is not wet.  At least the next time it is schedule to get wet, is overnight tomorrow night, leaving Sunday's sun and razor lower level warmth in light wind, unscathed. 

I don't think we're escaping the packing pellet air mass during the first half of the week - it may not do that under any virga busted cu fall, but the air mass would support it. And thus completing the 7th f'ing year in a row of stolen May calendar space in row, with this weird shit. 

I just hope that afterwards... round day 5, the Euro camp is right about the defined moderation of the 850 mb layout... In fact, from that point until D10 ..those 5 days show an abeyance of cold intrusions into the GL/OV/NE of 0C air at that baser metrical sigma level.   With west wind tendencies much of the time, and no real apparent theta-e transport, that may finally get us into a 70+ actual repetition of subsequent afternoons for the first time.  Not these drive-by warm pop shots followed by garden stunter CAA deals.  This bs is causing our montly means to be above normal, while concealing how cold it is synoptically.   Global warming seems almost as much about hiding itself insidiously - I wonder if the models forecast that:  'fantastically above normal while freezing ballz off'

I am always perplexed when news Mets toss the “feels like” temp out; it’s such a subjective thing which is used to make things seem extreme. 

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Spring blows in New England period.   Last Mother’s Day it was cold and blustery.   It does look like we turn the corner after the next 3-4 days and actually tomorrow looks nice.  Still....cloudy but manageable temperatures vs the shit of about a week ago.

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We really aren’t that alone. I mean the northern mid Atlantic knows our pain, bc they’re getting most of it too. That looks like snow in central PA tomorrow, during the day .

Storm tomorrow going to move in pretty quick. I’d err on the side of “worse than forecast” . Southern/western sections going to be under overcast probably by 11 a.m.

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19 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Get outside. Took the dog for a hike up to the near the alpine. Lots of people out and enjoying the day on the mountain.

Down to a foot of snow cover up here.

D2FCD27F-35B3-4815-A07C-E9EDA9B43FDC.jpeg.ba40af9df2fd607ebd48a72242c6b352.jpeg

0C070FE5-582D-4294-AD26-9F930842E79F.thumb.jpeg.37b34e1d30854eb475f24204d7b774f9.jpeg

Love your dog, my next dog is going to be a black lab, had two yellow labs and wife wanted to go in a different direction, now she wants a lab, lol. Love the dog I have, rescue dog, but she's a handful, labs are so easy.

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45 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

Love your dog, my next dog is going to be a black lab, had two yellow labs and wife wanted to go in a different direction, now she wants a lab, lol. Love the dog I have, rescue dog, but she's a handful, labs are so easy.

Not a huge dog guy but I've never met a bad lab.

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