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April Discobs 2021


George BM
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High Wind event possibly on the way - 

 

National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
513 AM EDT Wed Apr 28 2021
In the wake of the front, a secondary vorticity lobe (stronger than
previously expected) is forecast to dive quickly south across the
region. This will be accompanied by a low-level surge in cold air
advection as the surface pressure gradient continues to tighten
behind the departing and intensifying low. West to northwesterly
winds will increase substantially as a result, especially into the
evening hours, as mid-level height falls and cold advection will
support efficient mixing to the 850-900 mb levels. Models indicate
winds speeds in these levels during this time increasing to 40-45+
kts. Expect sustained winds of 20-25 mph with gusts of 30-40 mph by
the afternoon hours, with gusts potentially increasing to the 45-50+
mph range during the evening hours. At this point, a Wind Advisory
seems probable for at least some if not most of the area, but given
the major shift in the forecast, confidence is not particularly high
on the details of this strong wind threat at this time. We will
continue to monitor this threat.
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We do heat, and we do wind..

The stronger synoptic low and cold front will approach the area Thursday night as the initial main trough axis races quickly from the Great Lakes late Thursday and then offshore by Friday morning. impressive height falls will result in a rapid intensification of the surface low as it moves off the New England coast by midday Friday. Southwesterly winds should start to increase overnight Thursday night as the surface low draws near. This will keep temperatures mild as well, with lows around 60 degrees. The strong cold front looks to cross the area around daybreak Friday with temperatures and dewpoints falling in its wake. In the wake of the front, a secondary vorticity lobe (stronger than previously expected) is forecast to dive quickly south across the region. This will be accompanied by a low-level surge in cold air advection as the surface pressure gradient continues to tighten behind the departing and intensifying low. West to northwesterly winds will increase substantially as a result, especially into the evening hours, as mid-level height falls and cold advection will support efficient mixing to the 850-900 mb levels. Models indicate winds speeds in these levels during this time increasing to 40-45+ kts. Expect sustained winds of 20-25 mph with gusts of 30-40 mph by the afternoon hours, with gusts potentially increasing to the 45-50+ mph range during the evening hours. At this point, a Wind Advisory seems probable for at least some if not most of the area, but given the major shift in the forecast, confidence is not particularly high on the details of this strong wind threat at this time. We will continue to monitor this threat.

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39 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

I think the forecast for sunny conditions today needs to be changed to cloudy conditions. Looks like thick clouds back to Ohio. I'm ok with not having a sunny 90 degree day anyway. 

Yeah, I was surprised at the heavy cloudiness when I went out at dawn today. Dew point creeping up too. I hope that trend doesn't catch on for a while yet.

61f 

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10 hours ago, WeatherShak said:


Went from heater to AC in a matter of 48 hours.

lol that was us yesterday. started the day off with the heat on in the house, opened the windows by 10am, AC by 4pm 

good ol' mid-atlantic spring 

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17 minutes ago, mattie g said:

@Mrs.J and @WxUSAF...

How much solar do you get in the winter? You'd have to get some, even with the low sun angle, right?

What percentage of your energy use in the winter comes from solar?

Minimum is like 300-400 kWh in December and January. Ends up being like 15-20% of total power. Our system doesn’t generate enough to run off credits in the darker months. We end up getting about 6-7 months of the year off the panels more or less. Winter is our biggest power usage from heating, way more then A/C in the summer.

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