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April 2021 Discussion


Torch Tiger
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Yeah ..still a mild run ... still looks spring-like mild and actually D7-10 looks warm again with that attempt at continental warm sector...

It's actually a weird run. It did correct for that absurd out of nowhere 500 mb bomb it had on the 00z, but still looks too happy to drive a jet max SE from N. of the Lakes without having much previous day impetus to extrapolate from - just inserts it...  It's probably overdone in and of itself there.

That said, the whole thing could still be fragile if the Pacific were ever to respond to the MJO thing ... It may not - seasonal R-wave discontinuity may trunk that signal from transmitting.

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