March 27-28 Severe Storms

[PowellVolz]

From TYS looking north




.

[jaxjagman]

4 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

From TYS looking north




.

By Maryville?

[janetjanet998]

 

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0278  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
1155 AM CDT SAT MAR 27 2021  
  
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF EASTERN AR...MUCH OF TN...NORTHERN  
MS/AL...AND EXTREME NORTHWESTERN GA  
  
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY   
  
VALID 271655Z - 271930Z  
  
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT  
  
SUMMARY...THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON  
ALONG AND SOUTH OF A FRONT. A FEW TORNADOES, LARGE HAIL, AND  
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ALL APPEAR POSSIBLE. WATCH ISSUANCE IS LIKELY BY  
EARLY AFTERNOON.  
  
DISCUSSION...16Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A CONVECTIVELY REINFORCED  
FRONT DRAPED GENERALLY WEST TO EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN TN. SCATTERED TO  
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING MAINLY ALONG/NORTH OF  
THIS FRONT OWING TO CONTINUED SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL WARM  
ADVECTION. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE FURTHER  
THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON AS SURFACE DEWPOINTS REACH THE MID/UPPER  
60S ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR. MODESTLY STEEPENED MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES  
SHOULD ALSO OVERSPREAD PARTS OF EASTERN AR INTO WESTERN TN AND  
NORTHERN MN/AL. CONTINUED MODEST DIURNAL HEATING COMBINED WITH THE  
RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND STEEPENING LAPSE RATES ALOFT WILL LIKELY  
SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF 1500-2500 J/KG OF MLCAPE BY PEAK  
AFTERNOON HEATING ALONG/SOUTH OF THE FRONT.  
  
LARGE-SCALE FORCING APPEARS NEBULOUS WITH AN UPPER TROUGH REMAINING  
WELL TO THE WEST OF THIS REGION. STILL, THE FRONT MAY LIFT VERY  
SLOWLY NORTHWARD ACROSS TN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH PERSISTENT  
25-35 KT OF SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW. A BROAD SWATH OF 50-60 KT  
OF WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AT MID LEVELS WILL FOSTER AROUND 40-50  
KT OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR. THIS WILL LIKELY SUPPORT SUPERCELL  
STRUCTURES AND SMALL BOWING LINE SEGMENTS WITH ANY STORMS THAT CAN  
DEVELOP ALONG/SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT. LARGE HAIL WILL BE A CONCERN  
WITH ANY DISCRETE STORMS GIVEN THE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, AND SOME  
ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL OF 2+ INCHES IN DIAMETER APPEARS POSSIBLE  
WHERE THE GREATEST INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP (LIKELY EASTERN  
AR/WESTERN TN/NORTHERN MS). AT LEAST ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS  
MAY ALSO OCCUR IF STORMS CAN CONGEAL AND MOVE EASTWARD ALONG THE  
FRONT WHILE REMAINING SURFACE BASED.  
  
ALTHOUGH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW IS NOT OVERLY STRONG AT THE MOMENT, IT  
SHOULD GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN LATER THIS AFTERNOON. REGARDLESS, AROUND  
150-200 M2/S2 OF EFFECTIVE SRH WILL LIKELY SUPPORT UPDRAFT ROTATION,  
AND A FEW TORNADOES MAY OCCUR WITH ANY SUPERCELLS THAT CAN FORM. THE  
TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL LIKELY BE MAXIMIZED ALONG THE WARM FRONT,  
WHERE SURFACE WINDS SHOULD BE BACKED TO A MORE EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY  
DIRECTION, ENHANCING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR. A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO ALSO  
APPEARS POSSIBLE, MAINLY LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING AS  
LOW-LEVEL WINDS GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN. CURRENT EXPECTATIONS ARE FOR  
STORMS TO GRADUALLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THROUGH THE  
EARLY AFTERNOON. ACCORDINGLY, A TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED  
IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.  

[MattPetrulli]

Just now, janetjanet998 said:

ESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0278  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
1155 AM CDT SAT MAR 27 2021  
  
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF EASTERN AR...MUCH OF TN...NORTHERN  
MS/AL...AND EXTREME NORTHWESTERN GA  
  
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY   
  
VALID 271655Z - 271930Z  
  
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT  
  
SUMMARY...THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON  
ALONG AND SOUTH OF A FRONT. A FEW TORNADOES, LARGE HAIL, AND  
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ALL APPEAR POSSIBLE. WATCH ISSUANCE IS LIKELY BY  
EARLY AFTERNOON.  
  
DISCUSSION...16Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A CONVECTIVELY REINFORCED  
FRONT DRAPED GENERALLY WEST TO EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN TN. SCATTERED TO  
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING MAINLY ALONG/NORTH OF  
THIS FRONT OWING TO CONTINUED SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL WARM  
ADVECTION. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE FURTHER  
THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON AS SURFACE DEWPOINTS REACH THE MID/UPPER  
60S ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR. MODESTLY STEEPENED MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES  
SHOULD ALSO OVERSPREAD PARTS OF EASTERN AR INTO WESTERN TN AND  
NORTHERN MN/AL. CONTINUED MODEST DIURNAL HEATING COMBINED WITH THE  
RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND STEEPENING LAPSE RATES ALOFT WILL LIKELY  
SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF 1500-2500 J/KG OF MLCAPE BY PEAK  
AFTERNOON HEATING ALONG/SOUTH OF THE FRONT.  
  
LARGE-SCALE FORCING APPEARS NEBULOUS WITH AN UPPER TROUGH REMAINING  
WELL TO THE WEST OF THIS REGION. STILL, THE FRONT MAY LIFT VERY  
SLOWLY NORTHWARD ACROSS TN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH PERSISTENT  
25-35 KT OF SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW. A BROAD SWATH OF 50-60 KT  
OF WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AT MID LEVELS WILL FOSTER AROUND 40-50  
KT OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR. THIS WILL LIKELY SUPPORT SUPERCELL  
STRUCTURES AND SMALL BOWING LINE SEGMENTS WITH ANY STORMS THAT CAN  
DEVELOP ALONG/SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT. LARGE HAIL WILL BE A CONCERN  
WITH ANY DISCRETE STORMS GIVEN THE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, AND SOME  
ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL OF 2+ INCHES IN DIAMETER APPEARS POSSIBLE  
WHERE THE GREATEST INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP (LIKELY EASTERN  
AR/WESTERN TN/NORTHERN MS). AT LEAST ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS  
MAY ALSO OCCUR IF STORMS CAN CONGEAL AND MOVE EASTWARD ALONG THE  
FRONT WHILE REMAINING SURFACE BASED.  
  
ALTHOUGH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW IS NOT OVERLY STRONG AT THE MOMENT, IT  
SHOULD GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN LATER THIS AFTERNOON. REGARDLESS, AROUND  
150-200 M2/S2 OF EFFECTIVE SRH WILL LIKELY SUPPORT UPDRAFT ROTATION,  
AND A FEW TORNADOES MAY OCCUR WITH ANY SUPERCELLS THAT CAN FORM. THE  
TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL LIKELY BE MAXIMIZED ALONG THE WARM FRONT,  
WHERE SURFACE WINDS SHOULD BE BACKED TO A MORE EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY  
DIRECTION, ENHANCING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR. A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO ALSO  
APPEARS POSSIBLE, MAINLY LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING AS  
LOW-LEVEL WINDS GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN. CURRENT EXPECTATIONS ARE FOR  
STORMS TO GRADUALLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THROUGH THE  
EARLY AFTERNOON. ACCORDINGLY, A TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED  
IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.  

Fairly large MD too.

[Icy Hot]

Round 2 just went thru Kingsport. 47 mph wind gusts, heavy rain. Easily exceeded the 1/2" predicted for today.

[janetjanet998]

35ish warnings since 12z out of the old TN system now moving into NC (meso out)

21 filtered severe hail reports including one 2 inch report

 

no watch

 

 

[Carvers Gap]

RE: First line that came through TRI this morning....

The hail photos out of Kingsport and JC are crazy.   Today was our long run.  Miles 1-4 were uneventful.  We could hear the storm coming up behind us.  Called my wife to get to our pick-up point early which is at mile 6.5.  We hit mile 6.3(just .2 from the car) and had to stop under a bridge as the storm crossed the ridge and went bonkers.  I wasn't sure we could get across the parking lot without getting hit by lightning.  Temps began to drop quickly.  They came over and picked us up.  We all sat in the car as the storm roared through.  We had nickel to quarter size hail.  Picked up one dent - old van and not worried.  Managed to get some video and photos near the last 1/3 of the storm.  The Greenbelt was flooded within minutes in that section.    @tnweathernut shared this with me...

 

 

[janetjanet998]

RGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED  
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 59  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
145 PM CDT SAT MAR 27 2021  
  
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF   
  EXTREME NORTHERN ALABAMA  
  EXTREME EAST CENTRAL ARKANSAS  
  NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI  
  SOUTHERN PARTS OF WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE  
  
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 145 PM UNTIL  
  900 PM CDT.  
  
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...  
  SEVERAL TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY  
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75  
    MPH LIKELY  
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3  
    INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY  
  
SUMMARY...SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED BY MID AFTERNOON AND  
STORMS WILL PERSIST WELL INTO THIS EVENING.  THE STORM ENVIRONMENT  
FAVORS SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A COUPLE OF STRONG TORNADOES  
AND VERY LARGE HAIL NEAR THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS.  AS STORMS CLUSTER  
MORE INTO THE EVENING, THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS WILL INCREASE,  
INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS.  

[MattPetrulli]

1 minute ago, janetjanet998 said:

RGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED  
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 59  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
145 PM CDT SAT MAR 27 2021  
  
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF   
  EXTREME NORTHERN ALABAMA  
  EXTREME EAST CENTRAL ARKANSAS  
  NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI  
  SOUTHERN PARTS OF WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE  
  
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 145 PM UNTIL  
  900 PM CDT.  
  
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...  
  SEVERAL TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY  
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75  
    MPH LIKELY  
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3  
    INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY  
  
SUMMARY...SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED BY MID AFTERNOON AND  
STORMS WILL PERSIST WELL INTO THIS EVENING.  THE STORM ENVIRONMENT  
FAVORS SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A COUPLE OF STRONG TORNADOES  
AND VERY LARGE HAIL NEAR THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS.  AS STORMS CLUSTER  
MORE INTO THE EVENING, THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS WILL INCREASE,  
INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS.  

SPC probably saw 17z HRRR and decided for 80/60 probs

[Runman292]

Interesting that they highlighted Southeast TN in the MD, but didnt include that area in the watch.

[janetjanet998]

18Z HRRR even more unstable with CAPE >3300 near Memphis by 22z

hopefully the storms over TN near the WF stay elevated

 

 

 

[WhirlingWx]

Those are some more stout probabilities than I expected, tbh

[janetjanet998]

18Z HRRR

 

[Carvers Gap]

 

[cheese007]

30 minutes ago, TexMexWx said:

Those are some more stout probabilities than I expected, tbh

Yeah same. My eyes got real wide when I popped open the SPC page

[janetjanet998]

back west]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0280  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0216 PM CDT SAT MAR 27 2021  
  
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TX...NORTHERN LA...AND MUCH  
OF SOUTHERN/CENTRAL/EASTERN AR  
  
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY   
  
VALID 271916Z - 272045Z  
  
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT  
  
SUMMARY...THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES, SOME OF WHICH MAY BE STRONG,  
VERY LARGE HAIL, AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON.  
TORNADO WATCH ISSUANCE WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.  
  
DISCUSSION...THE AIRMASS ACROSS THE ARKLATEX REGION CONTINUES TO  
DESTABILIZE THIS AFTERNOON, WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES GENERALLY  
REACHING INTO THE 70S AND LOW 80S AT 19Z. RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE  
ALREADY IN PLACE ACROSS THIS REGION COMBINED WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL  
LAPSE RATES OF 7-8 C/KM ARE SUPPORTING MLCAPE OF 1500-2000 J/KG.  
STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR OF 50+ KT WILL EASILY FAVOR DISCRETE  
SUPERCELLS WITH INITIAL DEVELOPMENT. GIVEN A LACK OF OBVIOUS  
LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT, THE PRIMARY UNCERTAINTY IS WHEN  
ROBUST STORMS WILL FORM. BEST ESTIMATE IS THAT WITH CONTINUED  
DIURNAL HEATING AND WEAK LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG/SOUTH OF THE  
WARM FRONT, STORMS WILL PROBABLY INITIATE BY 20-21Z AS A WEAK  
LOW-LEVEL CAP CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY ERODE.  
  
LARGE TO VERY LARGE (2+ INCH) HAIL WILL LIKELY BE THE MAIN THREAT  
WITH SUPERCELLS INITIALLY, AS LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS NOT VERY STRONG AT  
THE MOMENT. BUT, A LOW-LEVEL SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY JET SHOULD  
STRENGTHEN LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING, AND TORNADO  
POTENTIAL WITH ANY DISCRETE STORMS WILL INCREASE. A STRONG TORNADO  
APPEARS POSSIBLE GIVEN 150-200 M2/S2 OF EFFECTIVE SRH BY MID-EVENING  
IF STORMS CAN REMAIN GENERALLY DISCRETE. AN INCREASING THREAT FOR  
DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALSO EVENTUALLY UNFOLD LATER THIS EVENING AS  
UPSCALE GROWTH OCCURS. BASED ON TOWERING CUMULUS BECOMING EVIDENT ON  
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY ACROSS AR, A TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY  
NEED TO BE ISSUED.  
  
..GLEASON/THOMPSON.. 03/27/2021  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT  

[janetjanet998]

small discrete storms developing over SW TN and eastern AR

WF slowly moving north

 

some clearing too ahead of them

LLJ  30knots on Mempis VAD

18z NAM increases to 40 kts by 00z and 50 knots at 03z

 

[jaxjagman]

12 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said:

small discrete storms developing over SW TN and eastern AR

WF slowly moving north

 

some clearing too ahead of them

LLJ  30knots on Mempis VAD

18z NAM increases to 40 kts by 00z and 50 knots at 03z

 

Yeah DP'S per Meso West are showing 68 right now in Memphis

[jaxjagman]

Mesoscale looks pretty unstable towards the TN/Ms line right now

[MattPetrulli]

Interesting thread regarding tor potential today

 

[janetjanet998]

cells over western TN trying to hook and rotate..these will move ENE but the likely turn east riding the WF ....

19z HRRR continues to show high tornado potential with these

 

also 6+ inches of more rain 

[janetjanet998]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0282  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0342 PM CDT SAT MAR 27 2021  
  
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF EXTREME EASTERN AR INTO WESTERN/MIDDLE  
TN  
  
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 59...  
  
VALID 272042Z - 272215Z  
  
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 59 CONTINUES.  
  
SUMMARY...THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL SHOULD INCREASE  
ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN/MIDDLE TN THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE  
AFTERNOON.  
  
DISCUSSION...BASED ON RECENT RADAR AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, IT  
APPEARS THAT ROBUST UPDRAFT DEVELOPMENT IS IMMINENT ACROSS PARTS OF  
SOUTHWESTERN TN. VWP FROM KNQA SHOWS AROUND 25-30 KT OF 0-1 KM  
SHEAR, AND NEARLY 200 M2/S2 OF 0-1 KM SRH. WITH 50-60+ KT OF  
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR AND 1500-2000 J/KG OF MLCAPE PRESENT ALONG AND  
SOUTH OF A WARM FRONT, SUPERCELLS STILL APPEAR LIKELY. THE BEST  
TORNADO THREAT ACROSS TORNADO WATCH 59 WILL PROBABLY FOCUS ACROSS  
SOUTHWESTERN TN AND VICINITY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS IN THE  
VICINITY OF THE WARM FRONT, AS THE GREATEST LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS  
PRESENT THERE. LARGE HAIL, POTENTIALLY GREATER THAN 2 INCHES IN  
DIAMETER, ALSO REMAINS A CONCERN GIVEN THE MODERATE TO STRONG  
INSTABILITY AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES.  

[PowellVolz]

By Maryville?

Yes. Airport down Alcoa Hwy.


.

[PowellVolz]

Several of these showers in middle Tennessee are dolphin shaped. Shear must be pretty good across MTn also.




.

[janetjanet998]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0284  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0356 PM CDT SAT MAR 27 2021  
  
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NORTHERN/CENTRAL MS/AL  
  
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE   
  
VALID 272056Z - 272230Z  
  
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT  
  
SUMMARY...IT REMAINS UNCLEAR WHETHER ROBUST STORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS  
AFTERNOON. IF THEY DO, THEN ISOLATED LARGE HAIL, STRONG WIND GUSTS,  
AND PERHAPS A TORNADO MAY OCCUR. WATCH ISSUANCE IS POSSIBLE.  
  
DISCUSSION...IT APPEARS THAT CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN  
BREACHED ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL MS INTO NORTHERN/CENTRAL AL, AS  
MULTIPLE LIGHTNING FLASHES HAVE RECENTLY BEEN OBSERVED IN OTHERWISE  
SHOWERY CONVECTION. TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S AND DEWPOINTS IN THE MID  
TO UPPER 60S ARE SUPPORTING MLCAPE IN THE 1500-2000 J/KG RANGE.  
ALONG WITH 45-55 KT OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR, THIS ENVIRONMENT  
CONDITIONALLY SUPPORTS A SUPERCELL THREAT. THE MAIN UNCERTAINTY IS  
WHETHER MULTIPLE ROBUST STORMS WILL DEVELOP SINCE THE MAIN FORCING  
FOR STORMS IS JUST A BROAD AREA OF WEAK LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION.  
STILL, IF CURRENT RADAR TRENDS CONTINUE, THEN ISOLATED LARGE HAIL  
AND STRONG/GUSTY WINDS MAY BECOME A THREAT THIS AFTERNOON. A TORNADO  
CANNOT BE RULED OUT EITHER, ALTHOUGH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW IS NOT THAT  
STRONG PER KBMX AND KGWX VWPS. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE CLOSELY  
MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE WATCH ISSUANCE.  
  
..GLEASON/THOMPSON.. 03/27/2021  
   

[Indystorm]

Low and mid level lapse rates are good in the affected watch areas.   Helicity at present could be higher but this could change.

[PowellVolz]

Two areas too watch in this cell heading towards Lexington Tn




.

[weatherextreme]

 

[jaxjagman]

2 minutes ago, weatherextreme said:

 

That's the cell i saw come ,but no rotation,yet

[jaxjagman]

Just now, jaxjagman said:

That's the cell i saw come ,but no rotation,yet