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11 hours ago, wolfie09 said:

Seen this posted on another board a couple hours ago, down in the MA..(VA/MD).. Still some warnings out for that cell..

 


The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Central Carroll County in north central Maryland...

* Until 900 PM EDT.

* At 831 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located 7 miles north of Mount Airy, or 10 miles southwest of
  Westminster, moving northeast at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown,
           flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur.
           Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is
           likely.

Screenshot_20210503-203308.png.ff93c61c5

That was a nice looking cell. 

today.gif

 

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It's been a slow warm-up so far today, forecast yesterday was calling for near 70° but we have been stuck in the 50s with cloud cover..We obviously still have time to warm but doubtful without some sun lol I'm not complaining though, feels nice lol

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15 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

It's been a slow warm-up so far today, forecast yesterday was calling for near 70° but we have been stuck in the 50s with cloud cover..We obviously still have time to warm but doubtful without some sun lol I'm not complaining though, feels nice lol

We were holding in the 50s all morning...the sun poked out, and the temp, of course, soared at least 7 degrees in less than an hour in Sizzlercuse.

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8 minutes ago, Blue Moon said:

 

Do you believe that may have something to do with warmer winters -> less ice on the lake -> more lake effect snow?

Meanwhile our snowfall averages in the subtropics have dropped like a rock.

Quite possibly. Pittsburgh is another location where normal snowfall increased by several inches, and a fair portion of our snowfall is driven by the lakes. I’ll bet there are other more complex factors involved like storm tracks (that may also be affected by climate change).

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28 minutes ago, Blue Moon said:

 

Do you believe that may have something to do with warmer winters -> less ice on the lake -> more lake effect snow?

Meanwhile our snowfall averages in the subtropics have dropped like a rock.

It could be, but I don't think so. Syracuse has seen its averages decrease, so I would stay this is just a statistical anomaly for a 30 year period. 

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9 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

The 2000s were massive snowfall years for Central NY.

I wish I was here then! I'll have to go and check what the general patterns were like in those winters. I know there were a few really big synoptic storms thrown in during that decade.

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19 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

No more complaining from Rochester ever again. The new 30 year normals. 

C95B0E44-CC17-43CE-BFEC-0C1082A19F92.jpeg

Buffalo was on a course about 8 years ago at this time to drop to a sub-90” 30 year normal. A couple significantly higher than average years and several average years kept us from that ignominy.

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4 hours ago, TugHillMatt said:

I wish I was here then! I'll have to go and check what the general patterns were like in those winters. I know there were a few really big synoptic storms thrown in during that decade.

One of my favorite pages, obviously for kbuf CWA but it gives you a month by month breakdown..

https://www.weather.gov/buf/WinterSeasons

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5 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

image.png.c8a821b20ecbfc0fdb7ed832d130941f.png

I'm shocked our temp didn't rise more over the last 30 years with all the above normal temps we've been having. About .1 degrees every decade at current pace. Looks like 96-97 were quite cold years. The 2000-2030 update will likely see that average go way up unless we get some much colder air.

https://www.weather.gov/buf/BUFtemp

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On 5/4/2021 at 2:34 PM, TugHillMatt said:

I know I'm an oddball, but I am looking forward to the 50s for highs the next week...if it holds. Seems like it often gets warmer as the long range gets closer... but 50s with the sunshine is delightful to me.

50s for HT's suck.  Good for nothing.  Looking forward to 100 degree heat.

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