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March Long Range Discussion


stormtracker
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40 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Eps keeps the March 19th hope alive 

 

 

 

 

- Snowflake-

12z mean is actually a little better as low pressure moves off the coast imo. A weakling won't get it done though.  Seeing the suggestion of a decent CCB, but this time of year need a legit low to get the combo of cold and rates.

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31 minutes ago, WVclimo said:

Lots of focus on Colorado, but Wyoming looks like ground zero for this one.  Here is Laramie's forecast.  Check out the winds.

image.thumb.jpeg.549609b799f3b849bfc09f047e7c0315.jpeg

That would lead to literally life threatening conditions. If you went out in that you could easily become disoriented and lost within a very short period of time.

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45 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

That would lead to literally life threatening conditions. If you went out in that you could easily become disoriented and lost within a very short period of time.

Yep. The wording for the areas in the purple (Extreme) category on this map spells out the potential impacts pretty well.

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1 hour ago, Wentzadelphia said:

You guys think we should make a last second shift to Laramie?! 

If you move don’t go to Laramie. Like MN said that are in a shadow zone. Where are you exactly?  The front range in northern CO looks good. Ground zero (other then really high elevations) might be places just north of Cheyenne WY like Chugwater to Wheatlant.  

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5 hours ago, Ji said:

Gfs went way south for late week

GEFS with big changes compared to yesterday. Looks more like the EPS/GEPS at h5. The trend to watch imo is the stretching of the wave and the possibility for it to be weaker/ pushed even further south. Not like we haven't seen that a bunch of times this winter when there was otherwise a pretty decent synoptic setup. As advertised the upper ridge to the west is impressive.

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10 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

6z Eps is less progressive and stronger fwiw

Yeah a tad maybe. With that wall of high pressure to the NW and some decent cold pressing in, it would be nice to see more indications of the low deepening as it gets to the coast- better chance of a more significant period of frozen on the back end. Plenty of time for some changes.

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