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March Long Range Discussion


stormtracker
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9 minutes ago, Amped said:

UKMET and GFS have similar snow amounts in CO despite the UKMET being 18 hrs slower.

I don't remember any  major Front Range snowstorms that were also big east coast snowstorms.   

They usually cut so far west they bring rain to Chicago

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33 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_59.png

Even though it is almost at the end of its run I find it cool to just look at the made up storms. It looks like a nice late March nor-easter. The best part though, is that it falls apart and becomes suppressed before reaching us now we can't even get virtual snow.

354 hours.

Yall kinda get out of control with this.

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Just now, NorthArlington101 said:


That is a crazy run-to-run shift on the mean.

its not crazy for that range though... some subtle shifts in the longwave pattern at that range has significant impact on the synoptic details.  Maybe it shifts back next run who knows...but that's why I was lol at the "its over" posts the last 24 hours.  I would be equally LOL at any "it's gonna snow" posts too.  Maybe the winter got to everyone because some people are acting silly lately with making determinations about synoptic details from ranges that are not realistic.  

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19 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

354 hours.

Yall kinda get out of control with this.

I know, but I just find looking at storms that far out interesting not because it will happen but because it shows a simulation of a storm. Even though the storm won't happen I find it still interesting to look at. 

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23 minutes ago, Ji said:

the precip is so paltry---id be more excited about flurries in october

The event hasn't happened yet.  There was no snow modeled at all until recently.  There is plenty of time for the modeled solution to get better or to vanish, but pretending like this is the final solution and saying it isn't a big enough event to be exciting is a bit much.

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34 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

This is good stuff lol. 

But not sure how tenacious one has to be to track snow in mid March:popcorn:. And actually you were pretty civil to me for the record. 

You have to be VERY tenacious.  In Dec-Feb, I don't give up easy.  But March, especially going into Mid March....I dunno man.  I become worse than Ehoffman or Baltwx.   It takes a lot to get me on board.  I haven't completely given up, I just don't expect much or follow nearly as closely.  I would love one last hurrah tho.  Would be a shame to waste that 1030 high/wedge 

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