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March 2021 Weather Discussion


CoastalWx
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Damn...anyone watching the cell southwest of Atlanta? NWS Peachtree might be taking shelter shortly. 

1206 AM EDT Fri Mar 26 2021

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR The City of Newnan...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM EDT FOR CENTRAL
COWETA COUNTY...

At 1206 AM EDT, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located
over Newnan, moving northeast at 55 mph.

TORNADO EMERGENCY for Newnan. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS
SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

 

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9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

My agenda? The climate is warming and I am republican as they come . You are clueless as usual . Go back to bed . Get up on the other side 

Just look at the facts. I get up at 430 everyday.  Nice rain this morning hopefully your yoga pants got soaked on your run. What does climate warming, March and Republican have anything to do with with your silly post. Facts are facts. Climate is warming but by tenths and mostly higher low temps. March hasn't changed. Sometimes cold and snowy sometimes warm and dry or wet. I mean the facts are right in front of your nose but you have an agenda to push so why look at facts.

chart (3).jpeg

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31 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Just look at the facts. I get up at 430 everyday.  Nice rain this morning hopefully your yoga pants got soaked on your run. What does climate warming, March and Republican have anything to do with with your silly post. Facts are facts. Climate is warming but by tenths and mostly higher low temps. March hasn't changed. Sometimes cold and snowy sometimes warm and dry or wet. I mean the facts are right in front of your nose but you have an agenda to push so why look at facts.

chart (3).jpeg

Just so I know and can be informed.. what is my agenda? 

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7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

You have to have no soul if you don't appreciate this stretch we have had. If we are going snowless in March, this is how you do it. 

Exactly . It’s better than watching snow melt while it’s falling. Iron clad. Even next week is looking better . More warmth mid week . One dat cool shot Thursday and a nice Easter weekend 

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12 hours ago, PhineasC said:

Been pleasantly surprised here with the biting bugs. Everyone warned me about the black flies, but I don't think I had any last year, or if I did they were not bothersome at all and I never noticed them. I also didn't have too many issues with mosquitoes, nothing too irksome at least compared to anywhere else. The mosquitoes we did have were comically huge though -- like three times the size of a mosquito from MD. My property is very marshy in spots so I was expecting a lot of those bastards.

We did have some huge hornets in May and June. Freaking fat assholes buzzing you all day and flying around the house. They seemed to die down by July. Also many large moths swarming every light. The bugs here are all super-sized, it seems, like a prehistoric land that time forgot.

 

if i remember right, you moved in over the summer last year? i think you may have missed black fly season up there. it's usually April down here, so i suspect you will start seeing them mid-April into late may.

The hornets were looking for a nice place to build a home in the eaves of your house. they love the sunny warm sides. it's hard to keep them away, you just have to keep them from building a nest.

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42 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

You have to have no soul if you don't appreciate this stretch we have had. If we are going snowless in March, this is how you do it. 

Wish I was skiing. Nothing better than sun warmth and skiing on silk. Doing yard work and chores in the sun warmth was cool just wish it was gonna stay.

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5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Definitely a lot of variability lately. 

Yeah gotta go back to the the 1940s/1950s to see a similar period of volatility......the epic back to back March torches of '45 and '46 and then the frigid '40, '41 and '50 years.

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5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah gotta go back to the the 1940s/1950s to see a similar period of volatility......the epic back to back March torches of '45 and '46 and then the frigid '40, '41 and '50 years.

At least we didn't get a kick in the nads this month. Sucks we had no snow, but at least the weather has been nice. 

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23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

At least we didn't get a kick in the nads this month. Sucks we had no snow, but at least the weather has been nice. 

Yeah the worst would have been frigid and getting porked like 2014. I did go up to Sunday River that month though and they were utterly buried, so not all was lost. But if you were just down in SNE, then it was blue balls.

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1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

haha

image.png.d704654eb6546676a764a48a3cfe23ac.png

 

I get the chastising and finger pointing of the playground antics thing but ...  

C'mon Will - remove 2015's deep anomaly and that Trend "surges" all the way to a fiery +0.001  

LOL

In his "sort of like" defense ( I guess...), I will say ..I've personally noted some distinctly warm anomaly 'periods' that are sub monthly in scale, spanning the  last 7 or 8 years.  Thus anecdotal, these did actually take place in either February, March or Aprils. They were particularly obscene, and nothing like I had ever experienced or ever thought possible at this latitude at during late winter into early spring. 

Those longer term statistical graphs ... hide those, thus negate their significance.  However indicative they are or not, at least for this 8 or so years... hell call it 12 and include those crazy warm weeks in April of 2009, too ... A conclusion could be fairly made that isolated warm intraseasonal events are increasing in frequency ?  

I mean, that is empirically shown - ..so those stats should count for something too.. Open-minded:  Maybe this is how it begins ?  We start increasing frequency of 2 ... 3, 5 -day long +20 events enough, and we're 'playing with fire' - haha.  But we may start smearing some together and ... smear enough, there goes March..  -who knows when that would ultimately be, just sayn'

In fact, not only do those warm events host record breaking temperatures, I feel confident that if ever a metric could be derived, call it the "integrated kinetic index" ( kind of like ISE for TC... only "IKE" for warm events etc..), those events that each lasted multiple days? They probably best most warm anomalies that have happened in history, too - even if by decimals...  I'm sure there are/would be those that are comparable... ( say in the 90th %tile ...), sprinkled over the hundreds of years of climo, of course, but increasing frequency - that's the argumentative tell.

But 2009, 2013, 2017, 2018 ... last year... now...  I remember one year on Easter Sunday, at my sister's place up there in Winchendon, it was 87 F ...Anyway, I think the point is valid -

Having said that, it doesn't mean the March is no longer a winter month - not yet anyway.  No more than it would mean February is non-winter months in that list.  Funny thing is, those years that did that... had cold shots and CAA with virga exploded CU and packing pellet showers ...if not a synoptic threat or two, just the same. 

interesting... more of an "unstable" climate than one that qualifies no longer cold and snowy March's  - that much seems clad

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We got stuck with the paint-spill-on-the-freeway look...

It's my euphemism for when the ongoing traffic of synoptic cloud patternization glides over top a permanent white substrate on hi res visible satellite looping ... said substrate is strata and murk too dense to allow the sun through.  It reminds me of white latex paint outta the back of a stoned house painter's van on a road surface with cars flyin over it

It can 'burn' off but there's just enough of said real cloud over top to slow that process...  It's like yesterday...probably we wait until 18z to clear out and there goes our thunderstorm threat - ..

Lol, f'n March in region proven to be a convection sink anyway - what were we thinkin'

 

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15 hours ago, PhineasC said:

Sure glad I don't live there.

Midges (purely vegetarian) naturally come out weeks earlier than mosquitos, and the two are nearly indistinguishable.  With some magnification (or 20/15 vision) one can detect that skeeter antennae are single spike and midges' are branched like mini-feathers.  I can't see what you're seeing, so neither will I state which diptera species they are. 

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