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March 2021


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6 minutes ago, bluewave said:

All the cold comes in behind one of the cutters leading to the wave break and blocking. We would probably need a stray lake effect streamer or weak upper disturbance. So maybe one last T or perhaps .01 for somebody? Hard to tell this far out in time. But this will continue the ridiculous AO swings  pattern.

Remember April 2006, Chris?  Is that what happened?  NYC got its 0.1 to get to 40.0 and JFK had 1-2 inches of snow, that was quite heavy early in the morning of that day.

The other one I distinctly remember was in early April 1990 after it had already gotten into the mid 80s in the middle of March.

Were both of these that type of event?

 

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14 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Remember April 2006, Chris?  Is that what happened?  NYC got its 0.1 to get to 40.0 and JFK had 1-2 inches of snow, that was quite heavy early in the morning of that day.

The other one I distinctly remember was in early April 1990 after it had already gotten into the mid 80s in the middle of March.

Were both of these that type of event?

 

 

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1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

Didnt get much here near JFK, maybe half an inch of rain?

 

JFK should easily break Friday's record, dont you think, Don?

 

Just go to the 3 day weather history on the noaa point and click and it gives you all the rain totals for each site. Looks like most of the heavy rain stayed to our west. 

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1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

April 2 - April 5 looks like the peak of the chill, then moderation beyond there.  Could be backdoor/onshore city for a period though so the warmup may not be that warm during the day.   

The only thing that could ruin a warm, sunny spring day is an easterly fetch off those cold Atlantic waters. 

We've seen a lot of that lately and we'll have too see if the -NAO is transient it longer lasting.

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1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

The only thing that could ruin a warm, sunny spring day is an easterly fetch off those cold Atlantic waters. 

We've seen a lot of that lately and we'll have too see if the -NAO is transient it longer lasting.

If we see the trough build over the Maritimes and a big high, we know what that means. Garbage as long as that’s there. 

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Unusually high number of 60° days for Long Island in March. We moved into 3rd place today at 6 days. Tomorrow will be day 7 with the big warm up.

 

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Month of Mar
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 60 
Missing Count
1 2016 10 0
- 2012 10 0
2 2010 7 0
- 2003 7 0
- 1987 7 0
3 1986 6 0
  2021 6 7
4 2020 5 0
- 2002 5 0
- 2000 5 0
- 1998 5 0
- 1995 5 0
- 1979 5 0
- 1977 5 0
- 1973 5 0
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5 hours ago, SACRUS said:

April 2 - April 5 looks like the peak of the chill, then moderation beyond there.  Could be backdoor/onshore city for a period though so the warmup may not be that warm during the day.   

Right now the models are showing just a brief cool shot for a couple days, and then it quickly warms back up to the 60s for sunday April 4th and beyond. But as we get closer we'll have to see if the models pick up on the possibility of chilly weather lingering longer due to the NAO being negative. Hopefully it will be quickly back to 60s like the models are showing right now. It's miserable when chilly weather lingers in April.

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Record high of 67° at Islip.

MacArthur/ISP  PTSUNNY   67  56 
Data for March 25 - ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Date
Max Temperature 
Min Temperature 
Precipitation 
Snowfall 
Snow Depth 
1987-03-25 66 31 T 0.0 0
2017-03-25 61 40 T 0.0 0
2016-03-25 60 43 0.01 0.0 0
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The  first 7 days of April were averaging  35/49  =  42  on the 0Z..............the 12Z has it 44/65 = 54.         This is called an improved GFS?.        EURO is back with some snow  on April  Fool's Day night.        Joke  is on the User, however.

As I predicted with the HRRR,  T would peak about 2pm  and fall back.         I got to 63* and fell back to 56*.       I even got the fog back!

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