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Feb 18/19 Disco/Obs


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24 minutes ago, Ji said:
25 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:
UKMET has round 2 tomorrow night also...generally .2-.3 QPF across the area with that.  Just about all guidance has that now.  

Does it have round 1?

yes...actually focuses that further NW.  Bullseye of precip is Winchester northeast to Carroll County.  Would be mostly snow NW of a line from about Sterling to Owings Mills.  Mostly ice SE of there and looks like about 4-6" of snow with wave 1 NW of there.  

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51 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Since we're in the really short range so the hrrr should get the majority if not all the weight from here in. Unless it gets worse at 4z. 

How about if it gets better? I don't see any other meso doing this, but the HRRR is insistent on the best dynamics/rates being at the tail end of the thump. This would probably be a rather fun sounding..

download.thumb.png.34226e21edc3e89521fd10c934e818a8.png

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14 minutes ago, jayyy said:

HRRR trends are definitely encouraging for @WxUSAF @Scraff @MDweatherman and co

Hell yea! I’m def glad I don’t live south anymore. The last 4 years in McLean were rough - minus 2016. Always way better up in these parts! Just excited to play with my pup in the snow tomorrow whether its 2” or 6.5” 

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