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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat


NorthHillsWx
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As I mentioned earlier, the southward trend has definitely stabilized and even reversed in some instances. 

No changes to my earlier map. But gut says its going to be difficult to get the Hwy74 corridor below freezing for any real long length of time.

We will see.

**Edited to clarify Hwy 74 corridor Gastonia-CLT-Monroe**

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Feel sorry for the NWS folks. I have a feeling this might be a NC/VA border Ice Storm. HRRR, NAM, and Euro have verified warmer than forecast. If this would have happened 10 to 20 years ago, this would have been almost all snow. This is why analogs are useless now. 

 

Almost all of NC is above freezing wet bulb temperatures now. 

image.png.99b818c049992014d935dc80eaf6bde9.png

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Just now, WeatherWeenie87 said:

Feel sorry for the NWS folks. I have a feeling this might be a NC/VA border Ice Storm. HRRR, NAM, and Euro have verified warmer than forecast. If this would have happened 10 to 20 years ago, this would have been almost all snow. This is why analogs are useless now. 

 

Almost all of NC is above freezing wet bulb temperatures now. 

image.png.99b818c049992014d935dc80eaf6bde9.png

The storm is 18 hours away and you're calling it a bust?

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Just now, WeatherWeenie87 said:

Feel sorry for the NWS folks. I have a feeling this might be a NC/VA border Ice Storm. HRRR, NAM, and Euro have verified warmer than forecast. If this would have happened 10 to 20 years ago, this would have been almost all snow. This is why analogs are useless now. 

 

Almost all of NC is above freezing wet bulb temperatures now. 

image.png.99b818c049992014d935dc80eaf6bde9.png

The wet bulb map will be pretty useless until we see how much quick cooling we see early this evening before clouds thicken up. 

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As I mentioned earlier, the southward trend has definitely stabilized and even reversed in some instances. 
No changes to my earlier map. But gut says its going to be difficult to get the Hwy74 corridor below freezing for any real long length of time.
We will see.
**Edited to clarify Hwy 74 corridor Gastonia-CLT-Monroe**

Matt, same idea as you head west on 74 back into Cleveland and Rutherford?


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Just now, strongwxnc said:


Matt, same idea as you head west on 74 back into Cleveland and Rutherford?


.

I am leaving things status quo for now....but the warmer solutions are especially evident around the CLT metro. 

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9 minutes ago, WeatherWeenie87 said:

Feel sorry for the NWS folks. I have a feeling this might be a NC/VA border Ice Storm. HRRR, NAM, and Euro have verified warmer than forecast. If this would have happened 10 to 20 years ago, this would have been almost all snow. This is why analogs are useless now. 

 

Almost all of NC is above freezing wet bulb temperatures now. 

image.png.99b818c049992014d935dc80eaf6bde9.png

No way..... CAD is normally  Better than Modeled. I would Think Anyone North of HWY73/152 will be just fine as far as Cold those areas always stay Colder longer. 

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2 minutes ago, PantherJustin said:

No way..... CAD is normally  Better than Modeled. I would Think Anyone North of HWY73/152 will be just fine as far as Cold those areas always stay Colder longer. 

 

11 minutes ago, msuwx said:

The wet bulb map will be pretty useless until we see how much quick cooling we see early this evening before clouds thicken up. 

We will see. I'm sticking with my thoughts. I respect your opinions. 

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