Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

Will a portion of the NYC subforum receive a refreshing few more inches of snow Mon Feb 22-Tue Feb 23


wdrag
 Share

Recommended Posts

30 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

Friday was light snow all day though, if its heavy and it looks like this comes in heavy I'm not sure temps will matter as much (at least up to a point, yea above 35 it's going to have a hard time accumulating) 

if it's heavy it can stick right away even in April.....remember April 2003 and April 2018!  6-8 inches of snow all during the day!

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

34 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

if it's heavy it can stick right away even in April.....remember April 2003 and April 2018!  6-8 inches of snow all during the day!

 

A cold airmass is more vital than the sun angle and it's still only February.

The biggest problem for tomorrow is the wind direction rather than daylight. However in marginal situations the daylight does matter.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

if it's heavy it can stick right away even in April.....remember April 2003 and April 2018!  6-8 inches of snow all during the day!

 

I remember April 6 - 7, 1982 snowstorm while living in Hawthorne, NJ. Sunny and 55 degrees on April 5 with approaching storm. Temps dropped to 35 by midnight when rain started, then by 12:30am turned over to snow. I had 4 or 5 inches accumulate by dawn. Temps for that storm were much colder as they dropped down into the low 20's by sunrise and stayed there all day. Heavy snow continued all morning and became lighter by mid to late afternoon. I ended up with 12 inches from that storm. And very low temps for a couple of days after.

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

All: 18z/21 NAM FOUS suggests a pretty good chance of 0.2 to 1.5" snow event in the 18z/22 ob for NYC CP.  We'll see if the increasingly faster NAM and reality are truth. Meanwhile no changes to prior early morning updated thread.  With snow in the air excepted into NYC, will begin the OBS thread at about 5AM, Monday.  Still a short fuse attempt at targeting best spot for 3- at most 6" in a 5 hour period. Whether or not it falls at 33F, rate so heavy for a short time that will make treated roads mess, probably imo,  even to NYC, till melting takes over when rates decrease or it changes to rain. Won't add anything more til early Monday.   Have good night. 

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

NWS regionalized snowfall forecast as issued in their 4PM products, also the HREF in gradations of 1,2,4 (blue shades, green is 6), and the NWS Blend of Models snowfall by 12z/Saturday.  That gives enough snow to pop CP close to#5 by then.  My guess is that NYC will get an accumulative of 0.2 to 1.4" midday Monday with possibly a little more Friday night-Saturday morning. Probably the much lighter amount (0.2" Monday) but it's timing with the 18z ob and melting the keys to less than the max of 1.4". My feeling it will snow close to a moderate rate by 1230-45PM in NYC. The answer by this time Monday. 

Screen Shot 2021-02-21 at 6.17.52 PM.png

Screen Shot 2021-02-21 at 6.18.53 PM.png

Screen Shot 2021-02-21 at 6.16.49 PM.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 hours ago, Snowzone said:

I remember April 6 - 7, 1982 snowstorm while living in Hawthorne, NJ. Sunny and 55 degrees on April 5 with approaching storm. Temps dropped to 35 by midnight when rain started, then by 12:30am turned over to snow. I had 4 or 5 inches accumulate by dawn. Temps for that storm were much colder as they dropped down into the low 20's by sunrise and stayed there all day. Heavy snow continued all morning and became lighter by mid to late afternoon. I ended up with 12 inches from that storm. And very low temps for a couple of days after.

the funny thing was that entire week was cold and we had another daytime snow event a week later!  I wonder what was going on back then to make it so cold so late?

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The latest 04z HRRR continues to print out a lot of QPF. Over 0.5" for everybody except Sussex, Orange, an Putnam Counties. Even a few isolated areas near 0.75". Snow near and west of 95 with a sharp cutoff. It looks like a summer squall line. I wonder if some of the QPF could get lost to graupel. If rates are intense as some of the mesomodels indicate, it could get pretty wild tomorrow even into or close to the City.

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...