Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 4 minutes ago, JC-CT said: subforum Ah, pretty much a 6 to 10 storm in my eyes. Maybe some good snow growth and some one pops a foot? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Its creeping NE every run. 8 to 10 meh on a couple of tenths. Ratios probably better up here so little final difference Why would ratios be better when the more intense lift is SW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, radarman said: 3 or 4 seems like a decent call right now I will take the over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 The 850 0°C line gets a few miles N of the canal at best. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You know my thoughts on gulf lows. Not always, but watch them creep north. And juice up on the moisture. I don’t hate where everything sits at 48-60 hours out. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: And juice up on the moisture. I don’t hate where everything sits at 48-60 hours out. I don't either. I'm comfy with my initial 5-10", but I would like to see the 00z Euro a bit more aggressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Why would ratios be better when the more intense lift is SW? Colder? Longer duration of snow, more sleet mix in that high lift zone as you can see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: And juice up on the moisture. I don’t hate where everything sits at 48-60 hours out. It’s not a bad look as is, but there is definitely some upside if we can catch a few breaks. People have certainly been excited for worse looks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: I will take the over I expect the CT death band to set up nicely over YBY for a spell while we moderate snow at .5"/hr after virga early on. But anyway, advy events aren't bad. We'll take it. Would have preferred the true SWFE event thump to mix though if we were trying to verify warning criteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: And juice up on the moisture. I don’t hate where everything sits at 48-60 hours out. I'm very much tuned into both yours and Scott's sitting back and watching this develop. When you are both in that head space good things could be brewing...the trend might be good tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 15 minutes ago, radarman said: 3 or 4 seems like a decent call right now That's my guess and a clear trend south on the last 3 GFS runs makes me think it could be less.. Sure it could change but as of now looks meh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 19 minutes ago, radarman said: 3 or 4 seems like a decent call right now In my opinion we will see around quadruple those numbers, euro isn’t by any means bad (it has 6-8 inches using kuchera which I think is underdone looking at the dynamics and temps), Canadian is extremely close to blizzard conditions in eastern mass, and the navy has over 30 hours of snow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 7 minutes ago, radarman said: I expect the CT death band to set up nicely over YBY for a spell while we moderate snow at .5"/hr after virga early on. But anyway, advy events aren't bad. We'll take it. Would have preferred the true SWFE event thump to mix though if we were trying to verify warning criteria. Wagons north on thumpy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 18 hours ago, George001 said: Take my forecasts and cut them in half 16 minutes ago, George001 said: In my opinion we will see around quadruple those numbers double would be good 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 I’ll be snow to sleet with this in 48hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 19 minutes ago, dendrite said: I’ll be snow to sleet with this in 48hrs. Or smoking cirrus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 21 minutes ago, dendrite said: I’ll be snow to sleet with this in 48hrs. 1 minute ago, PhineasC said: Or smoking cirrus. There’s a solid chance imho that NNE gets in on good snows in this even if they aren’t the jackpot. This has the look of models not pushing the forcing far enough north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 58 minutes ago, George001 said: In my opinion we will see around quadruple those numbers, euro isn’t by any means bad (it has 6-8 inches using kuchera which I think is underdone looking at the dynamics and temps), Canadian is extremely close to blizzard conditions in eastern mass, and the navy has over 30 hours of snow. Are you related to the great James of Harwich, MA, USA, Earth, Milky Way? 1 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Are you related to the great James of Harwich, MA, USA, Earth, Milky Way? It’s him. I noticed it this morning 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There’s a solid chance imho that NNE gets in on good snows in this even if they aren’t the jackpot. This has the look of models not pushing the forcing far enough north. Would that get mixing issues deep into SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Are you related to the great James of Harwich, MA, USA, Earth, Milky Way? Strange that we haven't heard from James on this upcoming storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Would that get mixing issues deep into SNE? Maybe. But not necessarily. It could be that SNE sees a stronger thump but NNE is getting some 500-600mb goodies...I remember this happening in the 12/19/08 storm. Either way it would remain frozen/freezing given the surface high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Man euro is dung. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 How is that confusing? Gets going too Far East. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Take em down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 45 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There’s a solid chance imho that NNE gets in on good snows in this even if they aren’t the jackpot. This has the look of models not pushing the forcing far enough north. We've seen this many times before. Of course, then there's the EC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Fat lady warming up the vocals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Hey that 50+ miles north and it’s a good solution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 WTH was that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 The 18z Euro has been quite a nasty critter lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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